So we may easily end up having only current f16s well into 2030s. Still having this as a possibility is insane. I don't understand how the force is OK with such situation with all the maybes and ifs when we are surrounded with wars all around.
- Kaan: 2030s delivery if US agrees on the engine
- Eurofighter: They were saying production line was full until 2028 before Saudis recent order. So at least 2030 here and that is if Germany agrees to sell (this is the very same Germany that has not been selling tank engines for 5 years now)
- F35: dream
- Ozgur: US may not approve
This situation is wearing me out.
However if you think of situation in 2034-2035, it looks very clear just if US agrees. Which we will see this August or September. They are packing all of the things into a single package (F404, F110, T-70, Özgür, F-16V).
Lets see what happens if US agrees: (by 2035)
-assuming 20 Block 10s by 2030-
I have some dates and some other schedules, cant share them so take these as crude estimates.
We would have 20 Blok-10s,
3 years of Blok-20 production,
2 years of Blok-30 production.
F-16:
40 new F-16 Block 70s
29 F-16V (upgraded from Block 50+)
≈185 F-16 Özgür-2
If Germany agrees:
40 EF Tr5 (or the latest Tranche available at the time)
20 Tr1(could be upgraded by Turkey like Özgür, as they will be given with full access)
Kızılelma: (all according to Haluk Bayraktar, lets add a delay of 1 year)
12 Kızılelma in 2025
24 Kızılelma in 2026
48 in 2027 and every year until 2035
>that equals 420 Kızılelma, we dont know how many TurAF would buy. But lets say 1/3 which is 140
Anka-3:
I am going to assume 6 per year starting in 2026,
that would be 54 Anka-3's similar with KE we dont know how many would be in TurAF, so lets take 2/3 of it, 36 Anka-3
F-35 will remain a dream as long as we stay in Syria, EastMed and Iraq. Only way we would see F-35 is if we go to war against Iran or smt
Also Greek F-35s will be operational in 2034