The War in the Ukraine

On the one hand, I would laugh if ROC paid for new F-16V end up in Kiev.
On the other hand, those F-16V with their new AESA radar is a legit threat to VKS, although to a S400 it probably makes very little difference.

abc123 said:

Agreed. Russia simply can't do more conventionally, without using nukes.

And with all the talk these days that new mobilisation is needed, we can pretty much guess what happened with last 300 000. And Kremlin's reluctance to order new wave of mobilisation and scrapping the barrel of prisnosti instead, tells volumes about state of Russian moral too.

Click to expand...

I think the panic by Russian forces when Ukraine started localized counter attacks at the Bakhmut flanks is a bad omen of what's to come when Ukraine launches its offensive. Ukraine has been stocking up on 155mm and GMLRS and more are coming in with more launchers for the GMLRS. Russian trenches are going to get hit hard before any armor rolls in. It's a whole different army Russia is going to face Better trained and equipped with high morale it is very possible Ukraine can push Russia back close to pre 2022 lines.

Broken down Maxxpro being recovered by Ukrainian sapper.


Ukrainian incursion force towards Belgorod getting shadowed by drones and shelled. This looks like Krasnopols being used [0.16 of the video].


Russian FPV drone crashes to a Ukrainian ATGM nest near Ugledar. The crash is on target confirmed by third person POV. This scene looks to be geolocatable with it's background details which be useful for mapping the front line positions.


Remnant of Ukrainian APC, possibly in the Kremennaya forest area.


Russian FPV drone crashes to a Ukrainian tank. Note static in the drone screen which is indication of attempted jamming or interference by a portable jammer. The drone still managed to strike the tank. However third person point of view footage shows the Ukrainian tank still surviving and managed to escape. This underlines why TPV kill confirmation is still needed with these drones.

I’m confused, a small contingent of Ukrainian and Russian insurgents move into a little bit of Russian territory and western msm celebrates like Ukraine advices a major victory and we got a string of posters here estimating the imminent collapse of Russia already. Does Russia taking all of bakhmut mean that they are losing and hurt retreating westwards?

SolarWarden said:

I think the panic by Russian forces when Ukraine started localized counter attacks at the Bakhmut flanks is a bad omen of what's to come when Ukraine launches its offensive. Ukraine has been stocking up on 155mm and GMLRS and more are coming in with more launchers for the GMLRS. Russian trenches are going to get hit hard before any armor rolls in. It's a whole different army Russia is going to face Better trained and equipped with high morale it is very possible Ukraine can push Russia back close to pre 2022 lines.

Click to expand...

Wait, didn’t you also predict in the past that soledar would never be taken despite it falling a week later. Then you said soledar would be Russia‘s last victory and ukraine was going to get it back easily in their spring offensive (which didn’t happen)? then when the Russians surrounded bakhmut, you mentioned in early May that it would take another month or two to get all of bakhmut and the Russians took it 2 weeks later? At this rate if you say it’s sunny outside, people better bring an umbrella.

MortyandRick said:

I’m confused, a small contingent of Ukrainian and Russian insurgents move into a little bit of Russian territory and western msm celebrates like Ukraine advices a major victory and we got a string of posters here estimating the imminent collapse of Russia already. Does Russia taking all of bakhmut mean that they are losing and hurt retreating westwards?


Wait, didn’t you also predict in the past that soledar would never be taken despite it falling a week later. Then you said soledar would be Russia‘s last victory and ukraine was going to get it back easily in their spring offensive (which didn’t happen)? then when the Russians surrounded bakhmut, you mentioned in early May that it would take another month or two to get all of bakhmut and the Russians took it 2 weeks later? At this rate if you say it’s sunny outside, people better bring an umbrella.

Click to expand...

I said all that? Proof or it didn't happen.

SolarWarden said:

I said all that? Proof or it didn't happen.

Click to expand...

The War in the Ukraine

vincent said:

The War in the Ukraine

Click to expand...

This will LIKELY be their last "battle victory" for the foreseeable future

Click to expand...

I said LIKELY so not really a sure prediction. You know how many pro-Russian Nostradamus have predicted in here? Cut me some slack.


PS..... My prediction of Ukraine's major offensive outcome will L I K E L Y be proven correct. Need to protect myself just incase.

MortyandRick said:

I’m confused, a small contingent of Ukrainian and Russian insurgents move into a little bit of Russian territory and western msm celebrates like Ukraine advices a major victory and we got a string of posters here estimating the imminent collapse of Russia already. Does Russia taking all of bakhmut mean that they are losing and hurt retreating westwards?

Click to expand...

Who is doing this? Even the most dire predictions here is basically Russia need to shift troops to the border after the current incursion. A healthy dose of agree to disagree will do much good here rather than arguing for pages and pages since we don't even have the full picture to begin with.

MortyandRick said:

I’m confused, a small contingent of Ukrainian and Russian insurgents move into a little bit of Russian territory and western msm celebrates like Ukraine advices a major victory and we got a string of posters here estimating the imminent collapse of Russia already. Does Russia taking all of bakhmut mean that they are losing and hurt retreating westwards?


Wait, didn’t you also predict in the past that soledar would never be taken despite it falling a week later. Then you said soledar would be Russia‘s last victory and ukraine was going to get it back easily in their spring offensive (which didn’t happen)? then when the Russians surrounded bakhmut, you mentioned in early May that it would take another month or two to get all of bakhmut and the Russians took it 2 weeks later? At this rate if you say it’s sunny outside, people better bring an umbrella.

Click to expand...

Not sure where you read this and IMO no-one is hyping this as THE viceroy of the Ukrainian army, but regardless the more or less small military gains of this action, it is indeed embarrassing for Russia and as such a PR-Stund for Ukraine.

SolarWarden said:

I said LIKELY so not really a sure prediction. You know how many pro-Russian Nostradamus have predicted in here? Cut me some slack.


PS..... My prediction of Ukraine's major offensive outcome will L I K E L Y be proven correct. Need to protect myself just incase.

Click to expand...

This will likely be their last "battle victory" for the foreseeable future and I really do wonder what the reaction is going to be when Ukraine takes it back with its new armored vehicles and weapon systems this spring.

Click to expand...

no ifs here. Spring is over in 1 month on June 21.