The War in the Ukraine

gelgoog said:

Eh, those articles look like a jumbled up mess. What the Russian government announced was that the Russian Army has finished its modernization of all army units to the Iskander-M. This means all units with the Tockha or the older Iskander launcher vehicles, which only could carry a single ballistic or cruise missile, have been taken out of service. And replaced with the Iskander-M launcher vehicle which can carry either two Iskander ballistic missiles or two Iskander-K cruise missiles.

Old Iskander vehicle taken out of service.

vs Iskander-M vehicle now in service.

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I didn't consult the primary source, I just read what was presented to me and it was really confusing. But in the last article that I attached, they claim that they are going to or are already producing 3,000 missiles for the newly deployed Iskander-M, with that information I would expect an increase in Iskander brigades which I think should still be at 13 brigade units with each brigade with 3 battalions with 4 TELs each, totaling 12 TELs per brigade, 24 missiles for the 12 Iskander-M TELs in each brigade added another 24 missiles for reserve, still 624 missiles Iskander total for Russia's ground forces.

It is very quite recently, no big movement on any side as I see, only marginal skirmishes.

Ukraine reinforcing the north borders, Russians reinforcing the contact lines as well.

Looks like the infrastructure strikes reached the saturation point, when any additional strike means blackout for large areas.

Is it the calm weather prior of storm ?

Anlsvrthng said:

It is very quite recently, no big movement on any side as I see, only marginal skirmishes.

Ukraine reinforcing the north borders, Russians reinforcing the contact lines as well.

Looks like the infrastructure strikes reached the saturation point, when any additional strike means blackout for large areas.

Is it the calm weather prior of storm ?

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Most likely both sides are just consolidating their position after a period of high tempo operation, Ukraine needs to secure/sweep newly captured ground and Russia needs to form new defensive lines and rebuild units with newly trained mobilized men, a pause in operation is good for both of them.

It's still very muddy in Ukraine too, despite some areas starting to get snow:
That would also limit maneuvers

A new POW execution video has just hit the social media, this one is unequivocally AFU shooting surrendered Russian troops and clearly warcrime.

One wonders what effect this one will have on attitudes towards Ukraine.

Some of our NATO friend will quickly come to point out the Russians have commited war crimes as well but at least it seems Russians are smart enough to not record themselves doing it and posting them on social networks to brag about it.

The Ukranians are well aware the West doesn't care about war crimes and nazis beyond the optics, even if it all it does is galvanize support for the war within Russian society which will enable further escalation.

sheogorath said:

The Ukranians are well aware the West doesn't care about war crimes and nazis beyond the optics, even if it all it does is galvanize support for the war within Russian society which will enable further escalation.

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Or all of the videos are proof of :
1. Ukrainan militayr units disorganised, lacking of proper central command structure , or many alternative units presents on battlefield, like warlord organised units as the Azov
2. Lot of neonazi presents in the ranks



No benefit to distribute these videos, beyond as part of a power trip for few grunt .

Anlsvrthng said:

No benefit to distribute these videos, beyond as part of a power trip for few grunt .

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I think it is the "unintended" side effect of letting your troops and mercenaries keep their cellphones/go-pros. Sure, it might provide useful footage of "captured" equipment and whatnot that can be used for propaganda from time to time, but it will also allow them to record themselves doing less "civilized" things specially as they are enboldened over their gains and how little pushback they get from their own nazi-filled high command and their backers in the west.

Temstar said:

A new POW execution video has just hit the social media, this one is unequivocally AFU shooting surrendered Russian troops and clearly warcrime.

One wonders what effect this one will have on attitudes towards Ukraine.

Click to expand...

The west didn't give a damm about civilian shelling in Donbass for 8 years, why would they care about an execution of Russian POW?

At best, they would admit Ukraine war crime but point out that Russian commit war crime too or Russian POW wouldn't be execute if Russia didn't invade.

12 minutes long video of one Ukranian offensives around Lysychansk from September. It includes parts of videos we have seen before.

Ukranian soldiers take position inside a trench and a nearby storage/substation and they eventually start to get peppered with artillery and Su-25's with some rounds landing inside the trenches. A group of 4 come out behind a wall to search for the wounded while soldiers in the substation get harassed with artillery as they are loading the wounded on a BMP, then a Russian T-72 takes position to fire on the substation as well. Eventually those left alive in the trenches and the wall retreat to the forest belt nearby which is eventually hit with MLRS and thermobaric bombs dropped by a Su-34