Seems to me like 30% is in the right ballpark.
The War in the Ukraine
- Thread starter SampanViking
- Start date
In Terny and Novosadove there are still sporadic battles over the area, so they are not entirely under Russian control. And Tors'ke is under Ukrainian control.
It seems that Ukrainians no longer feel the same sympathy as before:
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AFU attack foiled in Zaporizhzhia
@RWApodcast posted this on Twitter with regards to the attack on the Crimean bridge.
"The explosive device for the attack was shipped from Odessa port in early August. According
to the FSB, it was camouflaged in rolls of construction polyethylene film on 22 pallets with a
total weight of 22,770 kg.
From there, the cargo was transported to the Bulgarian city of Rusa, then to the Georgian city
of Poti and finally to Armenia. The route was organised with the participation of Ukrainian
citizens Mikhail Tsurkalo (1975), Denis Kovacs (1979) and Roman Solomko (1971), as well
as Georgian citizens Sandro Inosaridze and a broker named Levan. Armenian citizen Artur
Terchanyan (1975) also helped.
When the shipment arrived in Yerevan, it was cleared according to EurAsEC rules and the
documents were switched out. Afterwards, the shipper was "GU ARJ Group" (Republic of
Armenia, Alaverdi), and the recipient was "Leader" LLC (Moscow).
The explosives were then transported in a Georgian-registered vehicle through the Upper Lars
border crossing point. On October 6th, it was unloaded at the wholesale base of Armavir. On
October 7, with the assistance of Roman Solomko, Vladimir Zloba of Ukraine and five Russian
citizens, the documents were changed again. TEC-34 (Ulyanovsk) was named as the sender,
and the recipient was a non-existent company in Crimea.
On October 7, the device was loaded into Mahir Yusubov's car. He drove to Simferopol and
was blown up on the Crimean bridge. The entire operation was controlled by a GUR officer of
the Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, who introduced himself as Ivan Ivanovich.
He used a SIM card he had bought on the internet, registered to Serhiy Andreychenko, a resident
of Kremenchug, Ukraine, to coordinate."
"The explosive device for the attack was shipped from Odessa port in early August. According
to the FSB, it was camouflaged in rolls of construction polyethylene film on 22 pallets with a
total weight of 22,770 kg.
From there, the cargo was transported to the Bulgarian city of Rusa, then to the Georgian city
of Poti and finally to Armenia. The route was organised with the participation of Ukrainian
citizens Mikhail Tsurkalo (1975), Denis Kovacs (1979) and Roman Solomko (1971), as well
as Georgian citizens Sandro Inosaridze and a broker named Levan. Armenian citizen Artur
Terchanyan (1975) also helped.
When the shipment arrived in Yerevan, it was cleared according to EurAsEC rules and the
documents were switched out. Afterwards, the shipper was "GU ARJ Group" (Republic of
Armenia, Alaverdi), and the recipient was "Leader" LLC (Moscow).
The explosives were then transported in a Georgian-registered vehicle through the Upper Lars
border crossing point. On October 6th, it was unloaded at the wholesale base of Armavir. On
October 7, with the assistance of Roman Solomko, Vladimir Zloba of Ukraine and five Russian
citizens, the documents were changed again. TEC-34 (Ulyanovsk) was named as the sender,
and the recipient was a non-existent company in Crimea.
On October 7, the device was loaded into Mahir Yusubov's car. He drove to Simferopol and
was blown up on the Crimean bridge. The entire operation was controlled by a GUR officer of
the Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, who introduced himself as Ivan Ivanovich.
He used a SIM card he had bought on the internet, registered to Serhiy Andreychenko, a resident
of Kremenchug, Ukraine, to coordinate."
For some doubting the effect of good ISR combined with precision guided munitions, here's some recent footage of a large amount of Russian equipment being destroyed using a GMLRS creeping barrage. Its surprising that Russia does not have a AA umbrella over large convoys like these.
It also seems like Ukraine has enough stockpile of guided rockets now that they are using it on targets of opportunities rather than munition stores.
It also seems like Ukraine has enough stockpile of guided rockets now that they are using it on targets of opportunities rather than munition stores.
I am not able to identify the targeted and destroyed vehicles. What gives them away as Russian ?
Confession that I based it on information from the Reddit thread, but I don't really believe Ukraine is able to muster this amount of artillery/tanks in one place to be destroyed piecemeal anyhow. Also if it was AFU equipment best believe it'll be plastered all over Russian socials.
I can probably buy that but that doesn't explain why the x-ray machine trucks go through didn't detect it?
Without date or locations or any other detail, there is no way to guarantee even all the strikes are from the GMLRS. It could easily be a compilation over several weeks.
One of the segments was posted here a few days ago, as part of another video, claiming it was an Msta recently destroyed but the position of it was in the outskirts of Kupyansk which has been in Ukranians hands for a while now.
One of the segments was posted here a few days ago, as part of another video, claiming it was an Msta recently destroyed but the position of it was in the outskirts of Kupyansk which has been in Ukranians hands for a while now.
They only had that for truck movement from Crimea into Russia but not the other way around.