The War in the Ukraine

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Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
CMP said:
Is it not reasonable to speculate the air force is being held in reserve to hedge against possibility of direct NATO/US attack?
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No, US directly attacking would escalate it into WW3 and it doesn't matter if Russia holds air forces in reserve or not, Russia cannot hold by it's own power against a full attack from EU and US land armies.

Honestly the current situation is similar to the one in Kherson, only with higher stakes for both sides and better odds for AFU. Ukraine will try to establish solid borders for the salient and cut off smaller Russian troop concentrations. Russia will try to move huge force concentrations to cut off the entire salient.

The air force would be used to support this move.
 
L

lolrus

New Member
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Seems like Ukraine found the areas that was guarded by the DPR/LPR to be the weakest point and sent the vast majority of their available manpower and western military aid to exploit that weakness. It got the greatest chance of success in all the counteroffensives so far, but by investing so heavy both in manpower and equipment, a loss here would be catastrophic both strategically and with respect to morale, especially given the apparent failure that their Kherson counteroffensive. I'm quite skeptical if Ukraine can keep their kharkov offensive up long term, there's already report that they just hit the wall, as Russian panicked and airdropped troops to stop the advancement, which seems to have worked. Now we're hearing that detachments nearby including wagner have just arrive at the front so their blitz have just ended as now they're no longer fighting against a skeleton crew of poorly trained milita. I'm predicting that Ukraine would pull back heavily to rush setting up defensive position in the certain areas they captured. Their current composition of lightly armed but fast and mobile that blitzed through the defenders would do terribly the the recent arrival of Russian heavy equipment. 09-09-en-1.jpg
 
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lolrus

New Member
Registered Member
sheogorath said:
Large convoy from O Group heading to Izyum. Here is where the lack of air power by the Ukranians makes itself felt

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Someone mentioned Mi-26's, seems they are being used to reinforce Kupyansk and Izyum

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anybody got a mirror for the bottom link? it just say the file is too large to be seem on telegram without an account.
 
A

Abominable

Major
Registered Member
pmc said:
no one is going to put million troops to secure every city. where there is threat of sabotage inside cities. Pull troops out and let Ukrainian take it and than deal with costly supply lines of each city.
by now Turks have good idea of both sides capability to sustain this operations and overall education level of society.

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That makes sense. I do hope the Russians didn't make the mistake they made before and have pulled out pro Russians in the area.
 
B

Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
Abominable said:
That makes sense. I do hope the Russians didn't make the mistake they made before and have pulled out pro Russians in the area.
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I think they do follow up on that pretty well ever since Bucha. We've not heard any such cases again.

Unless AFU is killing them without any evidence escaping but that seems very unlikely. If there was a possibility to commit a massacre, they would do so and then blame the Russians.
 
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