The War in the Ukraine

W20

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The video I posted had a long commentary, I took the trouble to write a long commentary, but I appreciate the confirmation message anyway.
 

FriedButter

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That map is horrible lmao. However, I don’t think Russia will cut them off in an encirclement. If the Russians are still following their previous strategy to minimize their own casualties. Then it’s more likely going to be knockoff version of Iraqi Highway of Death once the AFU supply lines are too overextended.
 

Stealthflanker

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So from that map, Ukraine basically makes a Salient. of course one can ask if they are able to make it Bloom. Otherwise they're highly vulnerable there.
 

FriedButter

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So from that map, Ukraine basically makes a Salient. of course one can ask if they are able to make it Bloom. Otherwise they're highly vulnerable there.

They would be highly vulnerable regardless. The Ukrainians don’t have an effective answer to deal with Russian artillery, missiles, and their airpower.
 

memfisa

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Apparently, Ukraine is committing their Bulat tank into it. Modernized T-64BM. Which is likely their best tanks.
They've pulled out all the stops here. It's starting to look to me like an all or nothing scenario with reports of pulling forces from other fronts to take part in this senseless death March.

I'm anxious to see in a couple days how this unfolded. This has the potential to be a major turning point in this war. It doesn't look good so far.

Especially with Elen banning all journalism
 

Sinnavuuty

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Analysis of Ukraine vehicles loses, NATO heavy vehicles supplies and predictions of future loses as of 30 August 2022. Total numbers based on Military Balance 2022 by International Institute for Strategic Studies, Wikipedia, Military wiki, Lost Armour and GlobalSecurity. Lost numbers reports from Russia MoD.
This does not include captured numbers into consideration.
Ukraine is suffering massive Tanks/IFV/APC loses from their failed Kherson offensive. As of right now Ukraine has lost 81.30% of all their Tanks/IFV/APC. Once Ukraine loses 98-99% of all their Tanks/IFV/APC they will no longer be able to do any meaningful offensives in many years.

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The AFU are constantly attacking the Antonovsky railway bridge to stop russian reinforcements to the south.

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The fight continues in the directions Artyomovsky and Avdeevsky - the main of the summary of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine:
▪️In the direction of Artemovsk, the RF Armed Forces are advancing in the directions of Artemovsk, Veselaia Dolina and Zaitsevo. The fight continues in Kodem.
▪️Towards Avdeevsky, Russian units are advancing towards Krasnogorovka and Maryinka.
▪️In the direction of Zaporizhia , the enemy is regrouping units and subunits with the aim of launching an offensive in the indicated direction.
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Apparently the AFU is preparing an attack near Kharkiv.

Against the background of counterattack attempts in the Kherson region, the Ukrainian army is increasing its forces towards Kharkiv, where it also wants to try to attack.
In particular, strengthening takes place in the settlement areas of Chepel and Velikaya Kamyshevakha (15 km from Izyum) and Prishib and Gusarovka (12-14 km from Balakleya). In total, at least five BTGs of 500 to 600 people each are concentrated here. The BTGs are represented by units of the 4th Operational Brigade, the 93rd Separate Mechanized Brigade, the 10th Separate Mountain Assault Brigade and the 92nd Separate Mechanized Brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The group's artillery was reinforced with Polish Krab self-propelled guns and American M109, NLAW ATGM crews. Armored units consist of several dozen obsolete Soviet T-72AV tanks, Polish T-72M1 in the export version, as well as the more modern PT-91 Twardy - also Polish.

In the last 24 hours, these AFU positions were targeted by Russian aircraft at least twice. The remnants of the national battalion "Kraken" were placed in the rear of the group. According to testimonies from local residents, nationalists have already fired on AFU fighters who left their positions after the VKS attack and forced them to return.

Currently, the group is being reinforced with about ten more territorial defense groups at battalion level, assembled within three months of the newly mobilized ones. So, in total, this grouping is unlikely to exceed 8-9 thousand people, which is comparable to the forces that Kyiv launched in the attack towards Kherson. At the same time, most soldiers are non-professional military personnel. Apparently, they want to use the superiority in manpower to tie them up in battle and thus reduce the influence of artillery and aviation to send their infantry forces to the advance. But given the technical superiority, training, border proximity and communication, I think this operation will be a failed attempt.
 
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