Eh people are emotional about the airbase explosion. Just like the sinking of the Moshka, just like the Belogorod explosions or the HIMARs hitting Russian supply depots. This is how fighting a war with a near peer competitor is like. Ukraine’s military is no slouch. Before the war they had high end Soviet military equipment. They have the S-300. They are receiving western aid. Plus before the war they had 400,000 active duty men. 600,000 combat vets and million of reserves. So they have the capability to do these little attacks that don’t do anything in the grand scheme of things.
Here are the facts. Ukraine has no offensive capability to retake the territory they lost. Their defense industry is totally destroyed. They depend on the west for tanks,bullets,grenades etc. They do not have enough tanks and armored vehicles to launch a major counteroffensive. They lack artillery. All they can do is send swarms of light infantry conscripts with two weeks of training to the Donbass to plug the gaps. They have lost the vast majority of their most battle hardened fighters in the Donbas to never ending Russian artillery. They are trying to hold the lines while getting pulverized with intense artillery. Their casualty figures are horrific but with their manpower reserves they can replace them but they are losing. The Russians are advancing while the Ukrainians are losing. They are on the process of losing Soledar which if it falls means game over for Bakhmut. Zaluzhny is begging Zelensky to have their forces retreat from the Seversk/Soledar/Bakhmut line because they are near collapse at Soledar. They have no chance in retaking Kherson because they lack artillery and tanks for an offensive not to mention air superiority in a flat terrain. All they can do is defend and slow down the Russians. They have tough fortifications in Donbas but what good use is these tough fortifications if they are static and can be pulverized by round the clock artillery bombardment.
So they will do these tactical victories that will only be effective on social media but have no real effective on the battle space. Just like the Syrian rebels before them which only cares about victories on social media only to get destroyed in real life. Nothing more nothing less.
Here are the facts. Ukraine has no offensive capability to retake the territory they lost. Their defense industry is totally destroyed. They depend on the west for tanks,bullets,grenades etc. They do not have enough tanks and armored vehicles to launch a major counteroffensive. They lack artillery. All they can do is send swarms of light infantry conscripts with two weeks of training to the Donbass to plug the gaps. They have lost the vast majority of their most battle hardened fighters in the Donbas to never ending Russian artillery. They are trying to hold the lines while getting pulverized with intense artillery. Their casualty figures are horrific but with their manpower reserves they can replace them but they are losing. The Russians are advancing while the Ukrainians are losing. They are on the process of losing Soledar which if it falls means game over for Bakhmut. Zaluzhny is begging Zelensky to have their forces retreat from the Seversk/Soledar/Bakhmut line because they are near collapse at Soledar. They have no chance in retaking Kherson because they lack artillery and tanks for an offensive not to mention air superiority in a flat terrain. All they can do is defend and slow down the Russians. They have tough fortifications in Donbas but what good use is these tough fortifications if they are static and can be pulverized by round the clock artillery bombardment.
So they will do these tactical victories that will only be effective on social media but have no real effective on the battle space. Just like the Syrian rebels before them which only cares about victories on social media only to get destroyed in real life. Nothing more nothing less.
