The War in the Ukraine

FriedButter

FriedButter

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Article seems good. Tho it’s from the RIAC aka Russian Think Tank founded by former Russian ministers etc.

The reason is a shortage of personnel, which is a result of Russia’s refusal to implement mass mobilization… (…) … but still the density of the advancing ranks is three to five times lower than the normal rule in such situations, which cannot but affect the tempo. The main consequence is the inability of the advancing side to break through the frontline with rapid strikes and encircle the enemy.
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The Russian command seems to be aware of the problem, so in the first days of July, when the fate of Lisichansk had already been decided, it focused not on creating a tight encirclement ring, but on pushing as far west as possible on the heels of the retreating enemy.
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The direction of the campaign can be traced until autumn: Russia will continue to retake Donbass, while Ukraine will try to respond with at least one real, rather than virtual, offensive. The results of both will draw a line under the first military campaign.
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We did speculate that the Russians didn’t enforce a tight encirclement on Lysychansk.

Possible Russian Options
1) DPR breakthrough Seversk-Artemovsk line.
2) Move from Izyum/Bogorodichnoe to the rear of Slaviansk-Kramatorsk line.
3) North of Donetsk
4) Kherson-Nikolaev Area
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Possible Ukrainian Options
1) North of Kherson Region (Russian BTGs every 20km)
2) Kharkiv Region
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Looks like the assault on Seversk is coming soon.

Seversk-Zvanovka front, DPR Donbass region 10.07.2022 01:00 MSK - The village of Verkhnekamenskoe is entirely under Russian control. Securing positions 5 km from the town of Seversk. Assault imminent.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1545897070195838982
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⚡️⚡️ Reports of Ukrop militants leaving Seversk and hiding in the suburbs due to the offensive of Russian troops and allied forces - LPR Ambassador to Russia Rodion Miroshni

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S

Soldier30

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The Ukrainian army began to mine the roads leading to Belarus. Mining of roads is carried out because of the expected invasion of Belarus into Ukraine. The Command of the Joint Forces of Ukraine reported that the engineering equipment of the state border is underway, including the mining of the most dangerous areas.


Almost two months have passed since the Russian BMPT "Terminator" appeared in Ukraine. Despite such a period, no frames of the combat operation of the machines appeared, and it is not clear what this is connected with. The cars are not destroyed, as the video would have appeared long ago. BMPT "Terminator" are still in Ukraine and apparently work, as one of them arrived for maintenance in the workshops

 
ZeEa5KPul

ZeEa5KPul

Colonel
Registered Member
Godammit, @Patchwork_Chimera, you've been writing all these essays on LCD and next to nothing here. For the first time in all my years on Reddit, I regret being banned from some shithole sub. I'm going to try what goes on LCD, give you a one-sentence prompt and hope a 10,000+ word story comes out the other end:

If the PLA were waging this war instead of the Russian military, how differently would it have gone?
 
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