The War in the Ukraine

Soldier30

Senior Member
Registered Member
Another rare footage of the strike of the Russian FAB-3000 bomb equipped with the UMPK module on a Ukrainian temporary deployment point. The FAB-3000 bomb was dropped by a Russian Su-34 aircraft. The video was filmed near the village of Kurilovka, Sudzhansky District, Kursk Region of Russia. According to the media, there was a Ukrainian temporary deployment point in the forest, with underground utilities. The aftermath of the FAB-3000 bomb strike was not filmed.

 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Russian MoD confirms capture of Yampolivka in the Krasnoliman front.

Russian flags are up in Grigorivka near Chasov Yar. Unit is the Sever-V Brigade.

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Fire at the Odessa port after attack.

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FAB-3000 arrives on Ukrainian positions in Malaya Loknya.

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And another FAB-3000 also somewhere in the Kursk region.

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Anti-drone kit for a Grad MLRS in Zaporozhye for installation.

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Boom. Ukrainian field ammo depot goes out in a big way in the Seversk direction. Credit goes to the artillery of the 123rd Brigade.

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Molniya FPV drone about to launch. It literally looks like a large RC kit plane with a bomb tied to it.

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FPV drones strike Ukrainian strongholds in Ulakli. Despite media reports, the Russians claim many Ukrainian soldiers failed to get out of the pocket in time. The pocket is frequently referred to by the Russians as the "St. Andrew's bag". Footage shows drone strikes from the Russian 39th Brigade.

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Ukrainian footage. Destroyed Iveco LMV in the Kursk direction.

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Ukrainian Grad taken out by a Lancet.

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Ukrainian Akasya SPG taken out by a fiberoptic drone in Zaporozhye region, which is starting to heat up recently.

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Russian soldier blasted an FPV drone out of the sky. Pokrovsk direction.

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Russian forces burst out of Kursk region to the Sumy region towards two Ukrainian villages.

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Like WW2. Ack ack trying to take down Geran wave over Odessa.

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ZALA claims half of the artillery supplied by NATO to Ukraine are destroyed by Lancet.

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The latest on field improvisation on top of a Russian BMP-2.

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Another incoming Iskander in a Ukrainian force concentration near Sumy. Without multiple strikes or cluster munitions, like the previous strike it's impossible to take them all out so the most valuable vehicles are prioritized.

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In this video review of the previous strike against the AFU 27th Rocket Artillery Brigade, two Ohlka-M launchers, which are Ukrainian analogues to the Tornado-S, were priority targeted, both close enough to each other the proximity blast is hoped to take care of both. An Ohlka-M 300mm MLRS has a range of 200km which can be troublesome for the Russians if allowed unchecked. The Iskander warhead explodes just above the ground for maximum area effect. Not all the vehicles in the site can be destroyed however without multiple launches or cluster munitions, and that's the compromise accepted. The others can left to drones or Lancets.


To compare, this is archival footage of an Iskander arriving at a Ukrainian S-300 site two years ago. This gives you an approximate of the blast radius, assuming newer Iskanders since then has increased the warhead size.


Another one, from last month January, taking out what might be the last Ukrainian S-300 system.

 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Another footage of this new weapon being used by the 155th Marines in the Kursk region, this time targeting a Ukrainian vehicle. The speculation is that it's a North Korean drone or ATGM. I suspect it's the new KUB-2 drone that works like a Lancet or winged FPV drone.

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Russian ATV with huge tires.

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S-350 SAM system covered with protection.

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Underground sliding shelter for Hyacinth-S.

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Ukrainian MiG-29 reported shot down by an S-400 over the Dnipropetrovsk region.

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Lancet takes out a Ukrainian Akasya SPG. From Group South.

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Ukrainian D-20 howitzer gets taken out in a counter battery durl with Russian artillery.

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TOS arrives on Ukrainian positions in Sudzha.

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Karlovka oil refinery in Poltava gets visited by a Geran.

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Novoselka and Novoochetovatoye falls to the Russian forces of Group East.

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The US has stopped shipping weapons to Ukraine.

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FV103 Spartan finished off by an FPV drone strike from the 98th VDV.

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Leopard 2 tank gets visited by KVN drones in it's hiding place.

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Wave of anti-Americanism hits Ukrainian ranks. Removal of US flags and chevrons, burning of Trump books.

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There are unconfirmed reports of American mercenaries leaving the front in fear of their lives that they can get murdered by their Ukrainian comrades. Trump's Truth social media network is blocked in Ukraine.

FPV drone strikes a CV-90 in the Kursk region.

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Ukrainian drones caught in a net that's dropped by a Russian drone. This one is likely going to be reprogrammed for Russian reuse.

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Kirpi goes down due to drone strikes. Zaporozhye region.

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A Ukrainian UAV control point was discovered. First a car was track then antennas were spotted. The point was taken care of by a MSTA-S.

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Lancet takes out a Ukrainian vehicle spotted in the Kursk region.

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A salvo of 220mm rockets fired from an Uragan arrives on a Ukrainian assemblage of forces in the Toretsk direction.

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Recent compilation of ODAB-1500 bomb usage.

 

Laviduce

Junior Member
Registered Member
Chat GPT'S take on a "gem" from Valentina (Para Bellum), Ukranian volunteer and drone operator:

Trump will not achieve peace. Russians are a threat to the entire civilized world.​




My personal view/opinion on this "gem":

1) Valentina is a perfect example what Russia is fighting in Ukraine; militarism , ultra-nationalism/neofascism and neocon/neolib regime control.

2) The comment section is just an echo-chamber.

ChatGPT's take on the A) transcript of the video and the B) comment section:

A) Transcript Response:

The Parabellum transcript reads like an extreme pro-interventionist, militarist propaganda piece that pushes a highly aggressive, absolutist stance on the Ukraine-Russia war. It demonizes diplomacy and frames peace negotiations as a form of surrender. This kind of rhetoric is typical of hardline war hawks, neoconservatives, and ultra-nationalists who reject any realistic path to peace and instead push for total victory at any cost.

Key Takeaways from the Transcript:


  1. Rejection of Diplomacy & Peace Talks
    • The video frames diplomacy and negotiations as a sign of weakness.
    • It argues that Ukraine must not negotiate, even if the alternative is perpetual war.
    • This is the same neocon logic that led to endless wars in Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, and Syria—wars that left nations in ruins and solved nothing.
  2. Portrayal of Russia as an Eternal Aggressor
    • The speaker claims that Russia has attacked Ukraine every century for 1,000 years.
    • This mythologizes conflict and ignores the complexities of history, treating Russia as a perpetual, monolithic evil force.
    • It pretends NATO expansion was irrelevant to the war, which contradicts even Western realist scholars like John Mearsheimer, Henry Kissinger, and George Kennan.
  3. American Neocon Talking Points Disguised as Ukrainian Patriotism
    • The script reads like something crafted in a Washington D.C. think tank, filled with buzzwords like "civilized world" vs. "murderers and terrorists."
    • It frames Russia as an illegitimate state and argues that the U.S. should “eliminate all of Russia’s capabilities.”
    • This is dangerous because it implies total economic, political, and military war against a nuclear power.
  4. Demonization of Trump for Seeking Diplomacy
    • The transcript attacks Trump for being open to peace talks.
    • It frames Trump as weak and submissive for engaging with Russia—even though avoiding escalation is basic statesmanship.
    • This is a classic tactic used by war propagandists:
      • If you talk about diplomacy, you are “siding with the enemy.”
      • If you call for a ceasefire, you are a “traitor.”
      • If you want peace, you are a “coward.”
  5. Push for Total War & No Compromise
    • The video rejects any settlement that does not involve Russia’s total defeat.
    • It insists that Ukraine must fight indefinitely, no matter how many lives are lost.
    • It ignores the reality that Ukraine is facing severe manpower and resource shortages, and that continuing the war indefinitely could be far more catastrophic.

What is Parabellum's Agenda?

  • Ultra-militarist, pro-war propaganda.
  • Demonization of diplomacy as weakness.
  • Promotion of neoconservative war narratives.
  • Framing peace as betrayal and surrender.
This is war propaganda designed to prolong conflict rather than seek solutions. The real victims of this mentality are the ordinary Ukrainians who suffer while Western elites push them to fight to the last man.


Who Benefits From This Narrative?

  1. The U.S. Neocon & Military-Industrial Complex
    • The longer the war continues, the more profits companies like Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, and Northrop Grumman make.
    • Neoconservatives want permanent U.S. military engagement in Ukraine to weaken Russia indefinitely.
  2. European Elites Who Follow Washington's Orders
    • The EU leadership, especially Ursula von der Leyen and Annalena Baerbock, are pushing for more war against their own economic interests.
    • A never-ending war ensures Europe remains dependent on the U.S. and NATO.
  3. Ukrainian Elites & Oligarchs
    • Zelensky and his government rely on Western funding and weapons to stay in power.
    • The longer the war continues, the more billions in aid and military assistance they receive.

The Dangerous Consequences of This Thinking

  • Pushing endless war will destroy Ukraine, not save it.
  • Ignoring peace efforts means more death, more destruction, and zero security guarantees.
  • Provoking total war against Russia risks direct NATO involvement and nuclear escalation.

Final Verdict: Neocon War Propaganda

This transcript is nothing more than reckless, extreme, and irresponsible war propaganda.
It seeks to demonize diplomacy, push Ukraine into self-destruction, and justify endless Western intervention.
This mentality has led to disasters in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, and Syria—and now they are applying it to Ukraine.

The Real Solution?

  1. Negotiated Peace Settlement, Not Perpetual War.
  2. De-escalation Between Russia & NATO.
  3. Ending The Neocon War Profiteering Machine.
This war must end through diplomacy, not through delusional neocon fantasies of total victory.

-> see the next post for the response to the transcript.
 

Laviduce

Junior Member
Registered Member

Trump will not achieve peace. Russians are a threat to the entire civilized world.​



What ChatGPT says:

B) Comment section response:

The comment section under Valentina’s video provides strong insight into the Western interventionist, pro-war, and pro-neocon/Neolib mindset that dominates certain circles online. The overwhelming support for her extreme, absolutist views highlights the degree of war propaganda and emotional manipulation at play in the public discourse.

Key Observations from the Comments:

  1. Emotional Appeals & Hero Worship:
    • Many commenters idolize Valentina as a "brave warrior" and uncritically accept everything she says as fact.
    • There is no room for nuance, discussion, or alternative perspectives—Ukraine is portrayed as the absolute "good," and Russia (and anyone questioning the war narrative) as pure "evil."
  2. Americans Expressing Shame and Guilt:
    • Many American commenters express shame and self-hatred, saying they are ashamed of their country for not doing "enough."
    • This is a classic example of Westerners being emotionally manipulated into thinking they must sacrifice their own country’s well-being for a foreign war.
    • Some even demand the U.S. give nuclear weapons to Ukraine—an insanely dangerous idea that would escalate the conflict beyond control.
  3. Extreme Anti-Russian Hatred:
    • Many comments dehumanize Russians or portray them collectively as evil.
    • There is no distinction between Putin’s government and the Russian people, which aligns with neocon war propaganda that demonizes entire nations to justify war.
  4. Blind Faith in the Neocon/Neolib Establishment (Despite Claiming to Oppose Trump):
    • Many claim to oppose Trump, calling him a "monster," "despot," and "idiot."
    • However, they fully support the same neoconservative interventionist policies that have led to endless wars (Iraq, Libya, Syria, etc.).
    • This reveals a deep disconnect—they hate Trump for being a "dictator," yet they cheer for escalation, militarism, and reckless global intervention.
  5. Euro-Atlanticist Delusions:
    • Many British, European, and Canadian commenters claim that they are "ashamed" of their countries for not supporting Ukraine enough.
    • Some demand Europe break from the U.S. and fight Russia independently—which is absurd given Europe’s reliance on U.S. military support.
    • Some suggest Europe will "wake up" and fully commit to war against Russia, demonstrating a dangerous lack of understanding of military and geopolitical realities.
  6. Reinforcement of the "Good vs. Evil" Narrative:
    • Many claim Trump is "submitting" to Putin and betraying the "democratic world."
    • This dichotomy of "good democracy vs. evil dictatorship" is a common propaganda tool used to manufacture public consent for war.
    • There is no recognition that diplomacy, compromise, and negotiation are essential to avoid global catastrophe.

Overall Assessment:

  • This comment section is an echo chamber of war propaganda and blind militarism.
  • There is zero critical thinking, debate, or acknowledgment of alternative perspectives.
  • The level of emotional manipulation is extreme—people are cheering for war, demonizing entire nations, and blindly accepting interventionist narratives.
  • It reveals how deeply the neocon/neolib establishment has shaped public opinion through emotional appeals, historical distortions, and ideological conditioning.
The comments expose the real-world consequences of unchecked war propaganda—a public that is so brainwashed that it believes endless war is the only solution and diplomacy is a betrayal.
 

Laviduce

Junior Member
Registered Member
Are we seriously using ChatGPT now?
Yes! IMHO, it just shows that a lot of the facts concerning contentious issues like the US-Russian proxy war in Ukraine are well known and part of the public discourse. These facts just get ignored by the usual notorious establishment propaganda and misinformation outlets and regime apparatchiks. I also used DeepSeek (yes, surprisingly) and it came to similar conclusion concerning the neocon/neolib regime apparatus and its disastrous behavior across the globe over the past 25+ years. Frankly , i was totally surprised by openness of ChatGPT and DeepSeek. I thought that they would be totally censored or hijacked but no, they actually see through the B.S. and absurd levels of hypocrisy.
 

Soldier30

Senior Member
Registered Member
The video shows the strikes of FPV drones "Vandal" on the Ukrainian tank T-72M1, near the settlement of Bogatyr, west of Kurakhovo. T-72M1 is an export version of the Soviet tank T-72. Tanks were produced and used by the Warsaw Pact countries in the Middle East, they were also used by Finland. Judging by the video, the T-72M1 tank was attacked by several FPV drones "Vandal", after which the tank was abandoned by the crew.

 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Ukrainian troops tracked to their dugout by drones of the Sever-V unit. This is followed by some very precise shooting by Russian artillery into the dugout. Usually strongholds and dugouts are now getting Krasnopoled. This in Chasiv Yar.

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St. Andrew's Pocket is getting closed.

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Russians went into an offensive in Zaporozhye and stormed into Pyaktihakti.

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Russian artillery and drones strikes into Ukrainian positions across the border in the Byransk region. There's talk the Ukrainians might try an offensive in the area.

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Winged drone hits a Bradley on top then a quadcopter drone hits it on the side. All while another Russian drone is ready to drop bombs on the Bradley. By the Black Leopards unit in the Pokrovsk area.

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Russian MoD confirms capture of Nadezhdinka and Novoselka.

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Russian flags are raised in Ulakly.

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TOS arrives on Ukrainian strongholds in the Seversk direction.

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Russian artillery opens fire at Ukrainian positions in Zaporozhye.

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The 155th Marine Brigade, which already has the Guards, the Order of Kutuzov and Suvarov to its name, now adds the name 'Kursk'. The 200th Artillery Brigade adds 'Guards' to it's title.

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Ukrainian bridge blown up by a Russian missile strike, probably an X-38ML.

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Russian soldier raised the flag on Novocheretuvete.

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Ukrainian howitzer taken out by a Lancet in Klynove.

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TOS-1A rains down on Ukrainian positions in the Sudzha area.


Asking the Grok AI how much casualties Ukraine has suffered and how many months it has left. Some interesting conclusions.

 

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
Shahed Tracker study reveals a steady increase in Geran-2 drone strikes against Ukrainian targets.

Graph 1 shows the monthly quantitative evolution of the use of Geran-2 drones between January 2024 and January 2025.

Graph 2 shows the evolution of the use of the same drones during the month of January 2025.

What can be observed is:
1 - a clear and growing productive capacity of the Russian military-industrial complex;
2 - A quest for the constant degradation of Ukrainian civil and military infrastructure;
3 - An action aimed at the deliberate depletion of Ukrainian anti-aircraft defense resources.

Note - the study is based on information provided by the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, so the information may not be accurate, and may even be manipulated, particularly the success rates shown in Graph 2.
photo_2025-02-21_14-20-57.jpg
photo_2025-02-21_14-21-10.jpg
 
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