His domestic audience doesn't really care what exact words he uses, as long as the war and economy goes well.Putin was stupid to threaten nuclear war over such a small "red line". You should never write bigger cheques with your mouth than you can actually cash in. What is he going to do now? Tactically nuke Ramstein? It was a dumb ultimatum which was going to collapse at some point anyway.
The logical choice would be to arm the West's enemies in the MENA region, but Putin should have said so in the beginning instead of hyping some nonsense about nuclear weapons. And that's likely all that Russia will do in response to this (very minor) move by the West. Nothing much will fundamentally change, which is why Putin's hysterical rhetoric was a self-own.
A nation should have very few redlines which you are absolutely ready to back up if someone crosses them. A good example would be China's threat to encircle/invade Taiwan if Taipei were to announce independence. Everyone understands that China is serious. Putin by contrast clowned himself by pretending WW3 was going to break out over Ukraine hitting an ammo depot in Bryansk region. He not only looks weak to the West but also to his own domestic audience. Hopes he learn from this stupid mistake. Redlines should be few and realistic.
You say the Russian Su-24 has been flinging the UMPK, but all the videos I saw thus far used the Su-34 to do this.
The messages don't make sense because everyone knows Putin isn't going to go nuclear over an ammo depot in Bryansk being blown up by a long-range missile. Everyone knew this including Putin. So why did he make his dumb threat? He was bluffing. And NATO called his bluff.When the message doesn’t make sense to you, then you are not the intended recipient.
It is written in their nuclear doctrine. The Russians reserve the right for nuclear retaliation in case a conventional attack threatens the survival of the state.The messages don't make sense because everyone knows Putin isn't going to go nuclear over an ammo depot in Bryansk being blown up by a long-range missile. Everyone knew this including Putin. So why did he make his dumb threat? He was bluffing. And NATO called his bluff.
So my suggestion is simple: don't bluff on going nuclear when you can't back up what you say. It was an L by Putin and I'm tired of seeing people coping trying to pretend otherwise.
Pic of a FAB-500 M-62 bomb equipped with the UMPK glide kit on a Su-24M frontline bomber. To my knowledge, this is the first visual confirmation of the UMPK being used on this aircraft. So far it’s been mainly Su-34/35.I'm not going to go back through several hundred pages of this thread, but it has been posted here as well. The Su-24s go out with the same loadout of 4x UPMKs as the Su-34s mostly do.
A simple software update doesn't sound likely. Although I don't know how Russian aircraft work, software updates tend to be way faster and would see the entire fleet updated in very short time, days or at most weeks. That hasn't been the case.
TASS: Ukrainian Armed Forces losses since the start of the Northern Military District exceeded 900,000 servicemen killed and woundedBritish intelligence reveals over 700,000 Russian casualties in Ukraine plus the destruction of 3,558 tanks, 147 helicopters, 132 fixed-wing aircraft, more than 8,500 armoured vehicles, 1,750 artillery systems, and 26 warships.
Considering the amount of casualties which have been suffered by both sides, which had reached almost a million. I wonder whether Russia and Ukraine could recover from such losses, especially with their dropping fertility rates throughout the years.TASS: Ukrainian Armed Forces losses since the start of the Northern Military District exceeded 900,000 servicemen killed and wounded
The number of losses in 2024 exceeded Kiev's total losses in the first two years of the special operation, the agency's calculations show.
As some suspected, Trump's silence says a lot about the veracity of such facts.In such circumstances, it would be difficult for such a decision to have been made without the approval of President-elect Trump. Strategic decisions in the US are traditionally bipartisan. And this would be a strategic decision. Even with Trump's son's denial in a post on X. This may have been agreed upon at the meeting between Trump and Biden at the White House, and could be a measure to pressure Putin to the negotiating table.
If it is indeed confirmed, it could be part of Trump's strategy to try to force the start of negotiations. Personally, I think he failed to coordinate with the Russians. They are unlikely to accept this kind of pressure unless these attacks lead to internal upheaval such that a power shift occurs in Russia. The problem is that before that point is reached, nuclear weapons will be on Russia's list of priorities.