The War in the Ukraine

Interesting part here in fact isn't intercept itself, it's that shot was attempted and (probably) FCS considered it viable.
213km actual shot range(distance covered by missile, not at the moment of launch) in fact means that even forward bases of PSU are deep within R-37M range(deep enough so fighter can't escape even by turning full cold and running away) - and they still can operate.

This has implications for the Taiwan scenario.

One of the most destructive results in using the Krasnopol. An entire Ukrainian convoy headed to Rabotino was taken out by the 50th Guards Self Propelled Artillery Regiment. The column was hiding on the side of the road.


FPV drones from the 255th Regiment intercept various Baba Yagas and Vampire drones.


The Russians have occupied half of Niu York and advanced in Torestk.


Shelter used by Ukrainian forces hit by an FPV drone from the Sudoplatov.


Freshly captured Ukrainian prisoners in the Donetsk direction. These surrendered.


Another Ukrainian landing boat gets hit by artillery in the Dniepr.


The Black Hussars have raised their flag over Volcha.


The VDV destroyed an EW station and a SPG using Lancets in Kherson.


Baba Yaga intercepted by FPV drone over Glubokoe, Kharkhiv region.


Bradley from the AFU 47th gets hit by a Lancet.


Artillery counterbattery takes out an M119 howitzer.


The usual artillery and air strikes on Ukrainian positions in Volchansk.


M777 gets hit by a Lancet.


Aftermath of a missile strike in Liman, which could be a LMUR or Krasnopol.


Ammo depot in Kupyansk taken out by FAB-1500 in Boguslavka.


Previously reported FAB-3000 hit near Liptsy on a Ukrainian PVD proved to be a command post of the AFU 92nd.


Multiple Russian advances towards the Konstantinovka-Ugkedar T05-24 highway.


Multiple artillery strikes aided by drones in the Kharkhiv region by the 6th Army.

Another LMUR hit at Prechistovka.


Photo of alleged Bulsae-4 self propelled ATGM from DPRK spotted in the Belgorod region. Looks fuzzy to me for a definite but it's leaning there.


For comparison.


If this is true, there's going to be a world of hurt. The missiles, similar to the Chinese HJ-10 or Israeli Spike, have NLOS capability and can strike from 10 to 25km.

Allegedly this is a strike of the Bulsae-4 against a British AS-90. The distance from the front line is about 10km which matches the range requirement, at the same time, it curves not like a direct flight LOS ATGM, and too slow for an adjusted artillery shell like Krasnopol.


For me personally my theory is that this is more like a Kitolov-2M shot. The Kitolov is guided like a Krasnopol, but there's a version fired from a 120mm mortar and takes its flight from a mortar. Seen from a higher altitude, the flight of a mortar shell does not seem straight nor fast, and it takes a curved loop like trajectory that's not unsimilar to a mortar. The drone here is a lasing type like an Orlan or Granat, yellow target reticle indicative that lasing is being done.


The vehicle has six wheels, but it can be a BTR-80 that's missing a pair. The structure on top of the vehicle can be antidrone grills with EW modules. Incidentally there's a BTR-80 based vehicle that can fire a Kitolov, and that's a Nona-SVK. The range of the gun is said to be up to 12km, which also matches the range.

Next topic.

Leopard 2A4 destroyed by FPV drones and this one appears fitted with Kontakt-1 ERA. Credit goes to the 255th Regiment, which should be in the Center Group.


Lancet strike at an Su-25 in the Dolgintsevo airfield near Krivoy Rog. Yes, we know about the Su-25 decoys. I do lean thus one being real, as it caught fire and fire fighting vehicles rushed to the scene. But most importantly, having an airfield within Lancet range is not very reassuring for F-16 deployment.


Ukrainian claim that the Russians have already entered and now fighting in Torestk. Russian sources on the other hand, are under operational secrecy.


Ukraine publishes photo of destroyed BMP-3 with 4S24 ERA modules, at least confirming the use of such,


Interview of a MSTA-S crew how they took out an Abrams with a Krasnopol shot.


A Turkish Kirpi APC gets taken out by FPV drones from troops of Group North.


More bombing in Prechistovka.


Russian D-30 howitzer of Group West takes out a Ukrainian 82mm mortar position.


We have not seen these for a while but here are Shturm-S self propelled ATGMs with Group North.


Two more M113 taken out by drone strikes in the Kupyansk region.


Grad MLRS landing on a Ukrainian position in Zaporozhye.


Group Center has taken the village of Leninskoye, according to the Russian MoD.


The headquarters of the AFU 58th Separate Mechanized Brigade gets an UPAB-1500 at Velyka Novoselka.


The 238th Artillery Brigade targets Ukrainian positions near the northern outskirts of Krasnogorovka using MSTA-B.


M777 and ammo depot gets taken out by Lancets.

The Russian Su-35S fighter jet shot down a Ukrainian MiG-29 for the first time with an R-37M missile at a colossal range of 213 km. This was reported by specialized Russian resources. It is worth noting that there are no photos or videos confirming this, in fact, it is impossible to confirm this, since the Ukrainian media do not publish footage of destroyed equipment. As reported, the Russian Su-35S fighter jet used ultra-long-range R-37M missiles, a link to a video about them is in the comments to the video. The MiG-29 was detected due to the fact that the Su-35S fighter jet is equipped with the N035 Irbis radar. The Irbis radar has a maximum peak power of up to 20 kW. Which allows it to detect targets at a range of up to 400 km. The MiG-29 has an RCS of approximately 5 m2, the N035 Irbis radar can detect an air target with an RCS of 3 m2 at a range of up to 400 km.

Leninskoe is the old Soviet name for Pivdene, which fell to the Russians. Much more important strategically is the capture of the terracone near it, which gives the Russians a strong high ground advantage for miles.


Russians advance north of Liptsy. The Ukrainian counteroffensive at Glubokoe has all but failed.


Russians advance east of Urozhayne and west of Rabotino.


Russians advance south of Pobjeda taking the highway north of Konstantinovka village.


LMUR strike at Prechistovka followed by a FAB strike in the next building.


M777 gets taken out by Lancet from the 238th. Other channels say it's an M198.


Blue on blue. Columbian merc refused orders to storm Russian positions in Chasiv Yar. For that the Ukrainians tied him up and threw him in pit. His fellow Columbians attacked the Ukrainians to rescue 'Felipe'. The story did not end happily as this footage was recovered by the Russians from a dead Columbian.


FAB-1500 arrives on the Yuzhnodonbasskaya no. 3 coal mine, being used as a fortification by the Ukrainians.


Fire breaks out at Kursk refinery as a wave of Ukrainian drones attack. Most of the drones appear to be shot down but at least one appear to have gotten through.


Russian Grad of Group North hits the equipment hangers of the AFU in the outskirts of Volchansk.


Kozak APC hit by Russian artillery in Volchansk.


Interview of captured Ukrainian prisoner from the 57th, reveals he is a convicted criminal drafted from prison, given minimal training. In the end he went from one prison to another but at least that saves him from the meat grinder temporarily. In my opinion the Russians will eventually send him back as part of prisoner exchange, and the Ukrainians will send him back to the front.


Three FABs hit a PVD in the Kharkhiv region.


Drones from the Vostok group bomb Starlink terminals and a field equipment depot. Once again, not being careful with the Starlink arrays is bad as the arrays give away your position.


Not in Ukraine. Mali gov hit back at the Tuaregs that mounted the deadly ambush on Wagner mercs with Bayraktar strikes, claiming at least 10-40 killed.


More TCC vehicles burn in Kviv, seeds of popular uprising.


NYT publishes piece about a horrible massacre of up to 100 AFU troops in Urozhayne after commander told the 58th Brigade of the AFU and National Guard troops to hold their ground. Which is effectively ordering them to fight to the death. The troops wee subjected to heavy shelling and FAB bombs.


NATO warehouses in fire in Bulgaria. Sabotage?

Gloire_bb said:

Interesting part here in fact isn't intercept itself, it's that shot was attempted and (probably) FCS considered it viable.
213km actual shot range(distance covered by missile, not at the moment of launch) in fact means that even forward bases of PSU are deep within R-37M range(deep enough so fighter can't escape even by turning full cold and running away) - and they still can operate.

This has implications for the Taiwan scenario.

Click to expand...

Maybe I'm reading to much into things, but it is interesting to see that the concept of pure Interceptors might still have life left in it.

Train with at least 7 T-72B3M heading to the front

NYT article with some details with regards to the mobilization effort in Ukraine

• Some Ukranian officers claim they have been recruited 30.000 a month since May though the NYT couldn't verify the claim
• In some areas of the front, the Russians outnumber the Ukranians 7-to-1 acording to Gen. Yurii Sodol
• Ukraine has released more than 3,500 convicts in exchange for parole at the end of their duty
• A doctor in Toretsk, one of the hardest hit areas, said they have received +2,000 conscripts and convicts in the last 2 month.
• Zelensky says there is a shortage of training grounds and also shortage of training equipment due to the delays in the West.

sheogorath said:

Maybe I'm reading to much into things, but it is interesting to see that the concept of pure Interceptors might still have life left in it.

Click to expand...

Well, it's still a 45t bus with largest and most powerful fighter radar, throwing huge missiles from twice the normal bvr launch speed and altitude. Plus they can buddy guide.

Interesting to know by how much, but I have a gut feeling that while r-37m on su-35 is the weakest LRAAM of the 3(I. e. against pl-17 and aim-174), when on mig-31, it's probably still the strongest.

Gloire_bb said:

Interesting to know by how much, but I have a gut feeling that while r-37m on su-35 is the weakest LRAAM of the 3(I. e. against pl-17 and aim-174), when on mig-31, it's probably still the strongest.

Click to expand...

Guessing the limitation is due to the Su-35's radar size and performance relative to the Zaslon and lower top speed for a launch?

sheogorath said:

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• Some Ukranian officers claim they have been recruited 30.000 a month since May though the NYT couldn't verify the claim

Click to expand...

It has been reported that some Ukrainian units that would receive the mobilized personnel only exist on paper, that is, although their officers and commanders are already assigned to the unit, the filling of the ranks of these units does not exist, only on paper. The information says that this may be an attempt to defraud the process of raising money for these units that exist only on paper, in this way, with the officers and commanders receiving this money for their own benefit.

Another story of corruption in Ukraine.

Same thing happened with Germany and Italy in WW2. Instead of sending fresh troops into depleted units to bulk them up again they kept making all new units, while letting existing ones be attrited away. This resulted in units increasingly unable to operate effectively. All to make their troop numbers look nice on paper in face of the escalating Soviet manpower growth.