the most direct impact will be on command and control. it is no surprise that if you remove the head-honcho you also have to purge all of his protégé. what this implies is that his replacement will have to bring in a whole team, and they will all be new at this, and they will have zelensky breathing down their necks. this will also shake the confidence of the units at the front in the soundness of decision making which directs their operations.
The War in the Ukraine
- Thread starter SampanViking
- Start date
It will be a mess in the worst part of the year... they are low finance, low equipements, low ammunitions and low personnel situation at the front. You don't need a lot to tip the balance badly right now. Even one week to sorting things out with the new staff is too long.
Look more like a panic move than a clever one, doing it in august would have been more logic.
I'm going to quote wikipedia here: "In the aftermath of the failure at Moscow, Brauchitsch was dismissed as Commander-in-Chief of the German Army on 19 December and was transferred to the Führerreserve (officers reserve), where he remained without assignment until the end of the war; he never saw Hitler again."
The analogies write themselves.
The analogies write themselves.
The beginning of a purge appears to be imminent. As soon as the middle of this week if sources are to be believed.
I wonder if this purge means a switch of strategy? maybe switching from conventional warfare into asymmetrical warfare?
You talk about giving all Ukraine and do guerilla warfare in plain fields ??? It's full on in asymmetrical warfare with standoff weapons and FPV drones anyway...
Drawing a real line that could be defended behind the Dniepr and start fortification right now could keep the west of Ukraine whole and way to costly to take. After the line is set, hammer a new border at the Dniepr and a neutral stance. Keeping access to black sea is clearly a must economicaly.
Continue like that and i'm not sure at all what will be remaining in the end. Countries are starting to talk openly about getting parts of the west right now...what it will look like in one year ?
TASS is reporting that Zaluzhyii has been moved being the ambassador of the UK. The source that TASS says is Yevheniy Shevchenko or the 76th Region, Peoples Deputy of Ukraine. Resignation is expected around Feb 8, which matches what Pravda Ukraine is claiming.
He saved is life and he will carry with him his ''savings''. Maybe it's the plan that all the top politicians and brass will have these kind of posting soon.
If his resignation is confirmed, I think this is backlash after the shoot down of the Il-76 carrying the Ukrainian prisoners.
The Ukrainian army made Zelensky look bad basically. Zelensky's right hand guy is the person who negotiates the prisoner swaps.
The Ukrainian army made Zelensky look bad basically. Zelensky's right hand guy is the person who negotiates the prisoner swaps.
There are many things that you can blame shift onto Zaluzhny besides the big one the failed counterattack. He probably had a hand in planning the Krynky operation (although keep feeding men across the river for this long when it became apparent that its not making progress inland may not be a Zaluzhny idea), and with the impending fall of Avdiivka the timing may work out too to lay that blame on him.
I personally think the really big one, the failure of the counteroffensive being blamed on Zaluzhny insisting that not all 10 brigades be concentrated in a single direction but instead spread out into 3 separate direction is unfair. Sure the 3 pronged attack didn't work, but there isn't a lot of evidence to support if AFU focused all of that into a single thrust at Tokmak that it would fair any better.
I personally think the really big one, the failure of the counteroffensive being blamed on Zaluzhny insisting that not all 10 brigades be concentrated in a single direction but instead spread out into 3 separate direction is unfair. Sure the 3 pronged attack didn't work, but there isn't a lot of evidence to support if AFU focused all of that into a single thrust at Tokmak that it would fair any better.