The War in the Ukraine

First loss of a Leo 1A5, though probably recoverable

sheogorath said:

First loss of a Leo 1A5, though probably recoverable

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1729611656676733097

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The Russians disabled the tank with just a near miss with artillery. It looks like there was damage to the tracks.
It is not that smart to use these old carcasses in the frontline in the first place though. They are lucky there wasn't a direct hit on the tank.

sheogorath said:

First loss of a Leo 1A5, though probably recoverable

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1729611656676733097

Click to expand...

Recoverable until a drone drop a grenade in it...not sure of the value of risking a recovery vehicule for something that would be hard to repair.

These open hatches just calling for it.

Between doing recon in a bmp2 or a leo 1A5 under artillery in possibly a mined field, I would prefer the 1A5...

Offensive in Staromayorsky as Russians storm Ukrainian positions which turned out to be abandoned as the Ukrainians retreated. Some prisoners were taken and wounded Ukrainian soldiers were tended.


Lancet hits a Ukrainian 80K6M radar at the Dnipropetrovsk region. This is a modern air defense search radar and one that only a few the Ukrainians have, so a significant loss.


The number of published Lancet videos have reached 800.


"According to updated colleagues with Lostarmour , by the evening of November 28, 2023, exactly 800 episodes of the use of kamikaze drones « Lancet » in the zone of SVO were published. This November has already taken third place in the number of episodes published in a month.

Of the 800 targets, 244 were destroyed, another 434 targets were damaged. The results of the other 64 hits could not be precisely determined. Unfortunately, 56 videos recorded misses.

More than half of the « Lancet » military use episodes are in various artillery. 206 towed guns and mortars, 175 SAU and 24 RSZO were affected. Other common goals: tanks and heavy special equipment ( 103 episode ), light armored vehicles ( 80 episodes ), various radars ( 63 episodes ) and air defense systems ( 49 episodes ).

Recall that only part of the « Lancet » application episodes gets into the network."

Su-34 drops FAB-500M62 with UMPK on Ukrainian positions in Berislav, Kherson.


Zelensky office ordered regional administrators to not communicate with the head of the Armed Forces in a deepening rift.


Leopard 1A5 gets damaged and disabled from a near miss or artillery. Getting disabled so quickly isn't very encouraging.


Ukrainians go defensive throughout the Rabotino Verbove salient as the Russians go into full counterattack mode.


Wife of Ukrainian GUR head Budanov poisoned with heavy metals. Power struggle on foot in Ukraine?


Hospital in Tokmak hit by HIMARS.


123rd Brigade strikes Ukrainian positions near Artemovosk with FPV drones and artillery as the Russians go to counteroffensive mode in the area.


Russian tank firing at Ukrainian positions gets hit by Ukrainian tank but keeps on ticking.


Ukraine's rift with Poland widens as Polish activist claims that Lviv must be returned to Poland. Already borders are closed preventing supplies to reach Ukraine.


Rare shot of a T-80BV of the AFU with anti drone cage.


T-80BVM of the Russian Pacific Fleet Marines with portable anti drone jamming unit RP-377UM2.


Video from Ukrainian trenches from the 47th Mechanized Brigade of the AFU. A note on this is the commander here is a woman. Later the Ukrainians had to retreat from this position.

gelgoog said:

The Russians disabled the tank with just a near miss with artillery. It looks like there was damage to the tracks.

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Leopard is good against heavy 6" splinters from 30m. Here it was more like 3.

Russians have successfully captured Khromove to the North-West of Bakhmut, an area that Wagner attempted to but never did capture during the siege on Bakhmut.

Russian special forces found and targeted Ukrainian force concentrations in Avdiivka, which are then hit by FAB bombs with UMPK.


Ukrainians with HIV, schizophrenia and dementia will be mobilized according to Ukrainian media. Those with dementia and schizophrenia will not be sent to the front however but used to fill headquarters positions in the rear.


Battle in Rabotino. Ukrainian vehicles getting hit by elements of the 58th Army.


Russians collected so much EW units in Sevastopol that they managed to interfere with satellite SAR.


MRAP gets taken out by Lancet from the 155th Marines Brigade in n Ugledar.


A soldier from the 40th Marines Brigade fires an RPG-16 towards Ukrainian forces. Both the 40th and 155th are tied to the Russian Far East Fleet.


This one from one of these two units. A serviceman fires a MANPADS against a Ukrainian drone and scores a hit.


Ukrainians must have hid some fuel and ammo here as it all went up when a tank shell from the 60th Brigade hits it.


Tankers from the 36th MR Brigade firing at Ukrainian positions in Nikolsky.


2S1 Gvozdika hit by Lancet in Kherson.


Zaporozhye. Ukrainian positions and forces subjected to MLRS.

Footage of the battle and the first defeat of the Ukrainian Leopard 1A5 tank made in Germany have been published. The battle episode was filmed in the Kupyansk area; the tank was in service with the 44th mechanized brigade of the Ukrainian Army. The tank was not directly hit; the tank was probably damaged by a nearby artillery shell explosion, after which the crew abandoned it. The German Leopard 1A5 tank is a modernization of the first Leopard-1 tank, created in 1987. The tank is very vulnerable as it has thin armor. The thickness of the frontal armor of the tank is up to 70 mm, the turret armor is up to 65 mm, the sides of the tank have armor 35-45 mm thick. Data on the first versions of Leopard 1 tanks.

Yet the widespread view that the war has entered a stalemate, and many of the policy prescriptions stemming from this notion, have invited a growing degree of expert scrutiny. “I see no durable or stable stalemate at this stage,” said Michael Kofman, a senior fellow in the Russia and Eurasia Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. “The present inability of either side to establish a decisive advantage is not structural. Extrapolating from the present phase of the war into the future is an exercise fraught with error in my view,” Kofman added.

George Beebe, Director of Grand Strategy at QI, highlighted the perils of extrapolating a “stalemate” from the current lack of significant battlefield movements in Ukraine. “Those who believe this war has settled into a long-term stalemate make the mistake of measuring the relative progress of each side with maps. They see that the frontlines have not moved significantly over the last year and conclude that the sides are stalemated,” Beebe told me.

“But other metrics, though, paint a different picture. Ukraine is using up its quite limited supplies of men, weapons, and ammunition, and the West cannot provide what Ukraine needs. That is not a formula for stalemate; it's a formula for Ukraine's eventual collapse or capitulation,” he continued.

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“Despite everything that’s happened, despite all the stuff we have given, the Bradley’s, the M1 [Abrams] tanks, Patriot air defense systems, the Challenger tanks, the Leopard [tanks], all those things, nothing changed at all except the casualty count,” said former U.S. Army Lt. Col. Daniel Davis, Senior Fellow and Military Expert at Defense Priorities and host of the Daniel Davis Deep Dive.

“While the lines haven’t changed, I don’t call it a stalemate because I think time is continuing to work against Ukraine,” he said in an interview, noting the stark year-on-year decline in U.S. military aid to Ukraine. He added:

“Biden is only shooting for $60 [billion dollars] for the whole FY [fiscal year] instead of $113 billion, so even if gets every penny that he’s asking for, it’s going to be half what it was last year, and we’ve given all the excess equipment that we have. Anything we give now comes out of the muscle, out of the bones, and I don’t think we’re going to give up that much more stuff, certainly not at the level they need to replace all their losses”

Davis noted that the continued lack of sufficient output in Western ammunition production means that Ukrainian troops will face mounting munitions shortages.

“They’re not going to have the ammunition to continue to wage a stalemate,” he added. Davis compared dwindling Ukrainian stocks with Russia’s expanded domestic production of critical munitions and drones. Kyiv’s munitions woes were recently compounded by the diversion of up to tens of thousands of 155mm shells, originally slated for Ukraine, to Israel in the weeks following the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas War.

“The next year, and probably into this winter, I don’t think it’s unreasonable to expect the Ukrainian army, at some point along the front, to actually buckle,” warned Davis.

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Though it appears that the initiative is gradually shifting back to Russia, it remains unclear whether Moscow will try to capitalize on Ukraine's setbacks with a major offensive of its own. “I think they are preparing for something larger, but I bet they would wait until the winter to continue to build up,” said Davis, noting that Russia appears to be accumulating massive manpower reserves and munitions stockpiles for what may be a “big push” at a later time.

“Every category is in Russia’s favor and will continue to tilt in Russia’s favor, so I just don’t think it can continue to stay a stalemate, [but] I just can’t say with any confidence whether Russia will choose the strategic path of a WWI model, overwhelming them with enough volume until they buckle, or if they’re going to try to bust through somewhere with a big maneuver,” he added.

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Beaver hits a Leopard 2A4 with an FPV drone in Zaporozhye.


Destroyed Ukrainian 2S1 Gvozdika.


The AFU training on a water crossing and one of their vehicles sank, taking an unknown number of personnel with it. Accident.


Helicopters firing NARS into Ukrainian positions in Krynki.


A Russian FPV drone manages to film the arrival of an RBK-500 cluster bomb on Ukrainian positions. This was then followed by another RBK-500 before the drone went on to continue it's business.


FABs with UMPCs hit Ukrainian positions in Krynki.


A Lancet takes out a 2S3 Akasya of the AFU on the right side of the Dniepr. The Ukrainians have been sending artillery units to assist their Krynki bridgehead but they are getting picked off by Lancets.


Geran raid on Odessa as the drones strike targets.



Stormtroopers advance and taking over Ukrainian positions in Priyutne.


Russians continue their advance into the coke plant area of Avdiivka.


VDV regiments in counterattack at Verbove.


Russians sent a precision guided bomb into the entrance of this tunnel used by Ukrainian vehicles and supplies in Avdiivka. This is reminiscent of Mariupol.


Russian special forces spotted and targeted Ukrainian units where the blow is delivered by Grad MLRS. Two Ukrainian IFVs were reported destroyed.


CNN reporting on Russian EW being used to defeat HIMARS and Excalibur shells.


UR-77 mine clearer used directly on a Ukrainian fortification instead.


Two Ukrainian high speed boats that tried to land, was confronted by Russian MLRS.