Perfect agreement here.Honestly I think one of the biggest fuckups of the war was Russia's decision to always go full domestic and not buy any chinese military hardware before the war started. It's kinda insane to think that despite being allies and Russia deciding to invade the 2nd largest country in Europe on it's lonesome, Russia hasn't actually bought any chinese military hardware before, they do buy commercial stuff like DJI drones, radios or components like tires, electronics, bearings and raw materials but not ever a complete weapon system.
Yeah hindsight is 20/20 and there's good reasons for Russia choosing not to buy Chinese weapons systems, Russian equipment being fairly good on it's own especially when compared to Ukraine, Russia being fairly broke, Russia wanting to support it's domestic arms industry and not wanting to look bad in front of their massive arms export market. But I can't help but think that one of the biggest reasons is the Russia believing their own hype about the "2nd most powerful military" and looking down on chinese hardware as always, I find even the average Russian to be quite arrogant, especially towards China even to this day.
Russia must have known that they would get sanctioned after the invasion, that China wouldn't be able to ship them much weapons after the sanctions kicked in in fear of losing it's access to the Western market. That Ukraine was going to be very different from all of their previous invasions, considering it's one of the largest countries in Europe, or that America/NATO/Europe would be providing heavy support to Ukraine.
Chinese hardware generally outclassed Russian hardware, especially in areas like drones, electronics, radar, software and precision weapons, important force multipliers. Even if chinese equipment were equal, or even inferior, having a massive stockpile when deciding to invade the 2nd largest country in Europe would have been a good idea, especially when you know that you're gonna to be sanctioned to death as soon as the war started. Not to mention that smuggling ammo and replacement parts is easier than smuggling in an entire artillery battery or tank division.
Of course, it won't help much now, even if China were to start shipping in large amounts of hardware today. But it would have helped greatly in the initial invasion, in their push to Kiev, if Russia had a few billion dollars worth of carefully selected chinese weapons designed to shore up their weakness in electronic warfare, drone/anti-drone warfare etc etc, things could have gone very differently. And as I said before, smuggling ammo to a MRLS battery is a lot easier than smuggling in an MRLS battery.
It would greatly benefit China too, seeing as it would be a great opportunity to see how chinese hardware stacks up in an actual war and against NATO hardware and it they performed well, a great advisement for their performance to the world and the international arms market. If I were in charge of China, I would have offered Putin a big discount on weapon systems before the war started, granted that Russia provided China with all the raw data and an extensive report on how the hardware performed.
Instead we get this mess of a war where Putin is now asking Iran and north korea of all countries for weapons and ammo, because when you're desperate enough, anything goes. And chinese equipment, despite not even really being in the conflict, are also having their name dragged though the mud alongside with Russia, because the general public tends to lump the two countries military equipment/technology together espically with the long history of chinese/russian weapon development, where Russia has historically been the leader until the last 10 years or so. All because the Russian military industrial complex couldn't get their head out of their ass and see past their own propaganda.
But especially on that part about Russians still thinking that they are the number 2 in the world.
Honestly, I suspect that many of the Russian people do not yet completely see Chinese as friends. They certainly don't dislike us, but maybe not quite best friends either.
That's fine. A friendship is just like a relationship. It takes time to build, effort to nurture, and is at ever-present risk of turning sour if something bad happens.
However, I also believe that slowly but surely more and more of the Russian people are starting to just begrudingly swallow the hard-to-swallow pill of reality. That China has surpassed Russia. And especially Chinese military technology/hardware.
Right now I think it's quite obvious that Putin is buttering up Kim Fucking Jong Un of all people and Iran because he knows that the next year he will need their ammo, their weapons, their support in whatever offensives Russia is planning.
Note that 2024 is an election year. After the clownshow debacles of the previous decades election years it's obvious that Putin can EASILY EASILY EASILY time the new Russian offensives and new Russian propagnda attacks to SERIOUSLY weaken the chances of any candidate during their primaries and also during the main election run.
Joe Biden says "hurrr durrr *brain freezes a second* we're gonna beat Russia with new M1 Abrams tanks!"
**Russia launches a counter offensive that destroys a bunch of NATO and American tanks then posts it up all over social media where American kids can see first hand what they would look like fighting against a near-peer in 10 years**
Donald Trump says "hurrrrr durrrrr we're gonna bomb Russia into submission with F-Blah Blah Blah&"
**Russian Sukhois blow up some Ukrainian Migs and again blasts it all over social media where American children can again see first-hand what their air support would look like in 10 years**
And so on and so forth.
Americans made the mistake of believeing that Russia hijacked the elections of 2016...they didn't, lol.
Putin can do a soft-hijacking of the 2024 elections if he humiliates and embarasses whichever politician is talking the most shit about Russia in 2024.