The War in the Ukraine

OTCDebunker

New Member
Registered Member
Honestly I think one of the biggest fuckups of the war was Russia's decision to always go full domestic and not buy any chinese military hardware before the war started. It's kinda insane to think that despite being allies and Russia deciding to invade the 2nd largest country in Europe on it's lonesome, Russia hasn't actually bought any chinese military hardware before, they do buy commercial stuff like DJI drones, radios or components like tires, electronics, bearings and raw materials but not ever a complete weapon system.

Yeah hindsight is 20/20 and there's good reasons for Russia choosing not to buy Chinese weapons systems, Russian equipment being fairly good on it's own especially when compared to Ukraine, Russia being fairly broke, Russia wanting to support it's domestic arms industry and not wanting to look bad in front of their massive arms export market. But I can't help but think that one of the biggest reasons is the Russia believing their own hype about the "2nd most powerful military" and looking down on chinese hardware as always, I find even the average Russian to be quite arrogant, especially towards China even to this day.

Russia must have known that they would get sanctioned after the invasion, that China wouldn't be able to ship them much weapons after the sanctions kicked in in fear of losing it's access to the Western market. That Ukraine was going to be very different from all of their previous invasions, considering it's one of the largest countries in Europe, or that America/NATO/Europe would be providing heavy support to Ukraine.

Chinese hardware generally outclassed Russian hardware, especially in areas like drones, electronics, radar, software and precision weapons, important force multipliers. Even if chinese equipment were equal, or even inferior, having a massive stockpile when deciding to invade the 2nd largest country in Europe would have been a good idea, especially when you know that you're gonna to be sanctioned to death as soon as the war started. Not to mention that smuggling ammo and replacement parts is easier than smuggling in an entire artillery battery or tank division.

Of course, it won't help much now, even if China were to start shipping in large amounts of hardware today. But it would have helped greatly in the initial invasion, in their push to Kiev, if Russia had a few billion dollars worth of carefully selected chinese weapons designed to shore up their weakness in electronic warfare, drone/anti-drone warfare etc etc, things could have gone very differently. And as I said before, smuggling ammo to a MRLS battery is a lot easier than smuggling in an MRLS battery.

It would greatly benefit China too, seeing as it would be a great opportunity to see how chinese hardware stacks up in an actual war and against NATO hardware and it they performed well, a great advisement for their performance to the world and the international arms market. If I were in charge of China, I would have offered Putin a big discount on weapon systems before the war started, granted that Russia provided China with all the raw data and an extensive report on how the hardware performed.

Instead we get this mess of a war where Putin is now asking Iran and north korea of all countries for weapons and ammo, because when you're desperate enough, anything goes. And chinese equipment, despite not even really being in the conflict, are also having their name dragged though the mud alongside with Russia, because the general public tends to lump the two countries military equipment/technology together espically with the long history of chinese/russian weapon development, where Russia has historically been the leader until the last 10 years or so. All because the Russian military industrial complex couldn't get their head out of their ass and see past their own propaganda.
Perfect agreement here.

But especially on that part about Russians still thinking that they are the number 2 in the world.

Honestly, I suspect that many of the Russian people do not yet completely see Chinese as friends. They certainly don't dislike us, but maybe not quite best friends either.

That's fine. A friendship is just like a relationship. It takes time to build, effort to nurture, and is at ever-present risk of turning sour if something bad happens.

However, I also believe that slowly but surely more and more of the Russian people are starting to just begrudingly swallow the hard-to-swallow pill of reality. That China has surpassed Russia. And especially Chinese military technology/hardware.

Right now I think it's quite obvious that Putin is buttering up Kim Fucking Jong Un of all people and Iran because he knows that the next year he will need their ammo, their weapons, their support in whatever offensives Russia is planning.

Note that 2024 is an election year. After the clownshow debacles of the previous decades election years it's obvious that Putin can EASILY EASILY EASILY time the new Russian offensives and new Russian propagnda attacks to SERIOUSLY weaken the chances of any candidate during their primaries and also during the main election run.

Joe Biden says "hurrr durrr *brain freezes a second* we're gonna beat Russia with new M1 Abrams tanks!"

**Russia launches a counter offensive that destroys a bunch of NATO and American tanks then posts it up all over social media where American kids can see first hand what they would look like fighting against a near-peer in 10 years**

Donald Trump says "hurrrrr durrrrr we're gonna bomb Russia into submission with F-Blah Blah Blah&"

**Russian Sukhois blow up some Ukrainian Migs and again blasts it all over social media where American children can again see first-hand what their air support would look like in 10 years**

And so on and so forth.

Americans made the mistake of believeing that Russia hijacked the elections of 2016...they didn't, lol.

Putin can do a soft-hijacking of the 2024 elections if he humiliates and embarasses whichever politician is talking the most shit about Russia in 2024.
 

taxiya

Brigadier
Registered Member
Despite having invaded a country without a navy, Russia has already lost 19 vessels to Ukraine, including 1 submarine (the first lost in a combat context in 80 years) and the "flagship" of the Russian Black Sea Fleet itself. And today, to top it off, Russia lost the headquarters of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, attacked and seriously damaged by a Ukrainian missile. haha

To conclude here:
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Despite strong opposition from some sectors of the Pentagon, the US will send the long-range ATACMS missile to Ukraine.
All your reasoning is a mirror of Vietnam war, US wasn't any better than Russia today even though US was the number one air and sea power, and had overwhelming firepower on the ground. So what is the your point? This kind war is just fought this way, no trick and no amount of "superior" weaponry can make a difference, nobody can do any better.

If we take in Afghan war, it looks even worse for the US retreating from an enemy running on sandals and fighting with only AK and rocket launchers.
 
D

Deleted member 24525

Guest
Honestly I think one of the biggest fuckups of the war was Russia's decision to always go full domestic and not buy any chinese military hardware before the war started. It's kinda insane to think that despite being allies and Russia deciding to invade the 2nd largest country in Europe on it's lonesome, Russia hasn't actually bought any chinese military hardware before, they do buy commercial stuff like DJI drones, radios or components like tires, electronics, bearings and raw materials but not ever a complete weapon system.

Yeah hindsight is 20/20 and there's good reasons for Russia choosing not to buy Chinese weapons systems, Russian equipment being fairly good on it's own especially when compared to Ukraine, Russia being fairly broke, Russia wanting to support it's domestic arms industry and not wanting to look bad in front of their massive arms export market. But I can't help but think that one of the biggest reasons is the Russia believing their own hype about the "2nd most powerful military" and looking down on chinese hardware as always, I find even the average Russian to be quite arrogant, especially towards China even to this day.

Russia must have known that they would get sanctioned after the invasion, that China wouldn't be able to ship them much weapons after the sanctions kicked in in fear of losing it's access to the Western market. That Ukraine was going to be very different from all of their previous invasions, considering it's one of the largest countries in Europe, or that America/NATO/Europe would be providing heavy support to Ukraine.

Chinese hardware generally outclassed Russian hardware, especially in areas like drones, electronics, radar, software and precision weapons, important force multipliers. Even if chinese equipment were equal, or even inferior, having a massive stockpile when deciding to invade the 2nd largest country in Europe would have been a good idea, especially when you know that you're gonna to be sanctioned to death as soon as the war started. Not to mention that smuggling ammo and replacement parts is easier than smuggling in an entire artillery battery or tank division.

Of course, it won't help much now, even if China were to start shipping in large amounts of hardware today. But it would have helped greatly in the initial invasion, in their push to Kiev, if Russia had a few billion dollars worth of carefully selected chinese weapons designed to shore up their weakness in electronic warfare, drone/anti-drone warfare etc etc, things could have gone very differently. And as I said before, smuggling ammo to a MRLS battery is a lot easier than smuggling in an MRLS battery.

It would greatly benefit China too, seeing as it would be a great opportunity to see how chinese hardware stacks up in an actual war and against NATO hardware and it they performed well, a great advisement for their performance to the world and the international arms market. If I were in charge of China, I would have offered Putin a big discount on weapon systems before the war started, granted that Russia provided China with all the raw data and an extensive report on how the hardware performed.

Instead we get this mess of a war where Putin is now asking Iran and north korea of all countries for weapons and ammo, because when you're desperate enough, anything goes. And chinese equipment, despite not even really being in the conflict, are also having their name dragged though the mud alongside with Russia, because the general public tends to lump the two countries military equipment/technology together espically with the long history of chinese/russian weapon development, where Russia has historically been the leader until the last 10 years or so. All because the Russian military industrial complex couldn't get their head out of their ass and see past their own propaganda.
China is very very stingy about what war equipment it is willing to export, not only because of obvious secrecy concerns but also because they know how big of a diplomatic shitstorm it would be if footage of Chinese tanks or planes killing foreigners came out. Even if the Russians had tried to buy Chinese tanks or standoffs before the war they would almost certainly not have been allowed to.
 

Abominable

Major
Registered Member
Honestly I think one of the biggest fuckups of the war was Russia's decision to always go full domestic and not buy any chinese military hardware before the war started. It's kinda insane to think that despite being allies and Russia deciding to invade the 2nd largest country in Europe on it's lonesome, Russia hasn't actually bought any chinese military hardware before, they do buy commercial stuff like DJI drones, radios or components like tires, electronics, bearings and raw materials but not ever a complete weapon system.

Yeah hindsight is 20/20 and there's good reasons for Russia choosing not to buy Chinese weapons systems, Russian equipment being fairly good on it's own especially when compared to Ukraine, Russia being fairly broke, Russia wanting to support it's domestic arms industry and not wanting to look bad in front of their massive arms export market. But I can't help but think that one of the biggest reasons is the Russia believing their own hype about the "2nd most powerful military" and looking down on chinese hardware as always, I find even the average Russian to be quite arrogant, especially towards China even to this day.

Russia must have known that they would get sanctioned after the invasion, that China wouldn't be able to ship them much weapons after the sanctions kicked in in fear of losing it's access to the Western market. That Ukraine was going to be very different from all of their previous invasions, considering it's one of the largest countries in Europe, or that America/NATO/Europe would be providing heavy support to Ukraine.

Chinese hardware generally outclassed Russian hardware, especially in areas like drones, electronics, radar, software and precision weapons, important force multipliers. Even if chinese equipment were equal, or even inferior, having a massive stockpile when deciding to invade the 2nd largest country in Europe would have been a good idea, especially when you know that you're gonna to be sanctioned to death as soon as the war started. Not to mention that smuggling ammo and replacement parts is easier than smuggling in an entire artillery battery or tank division.

Of course, it won't help much now, even if China were to start shipping in large amounts of hardware today. But it would have helped greatly in the initial invasion, in their push to Kiev, if Russia had a few billion dollars worth of carefully selected chinese weapons designed to shore up their weakness in electronic warfare, drone/anti-drone warfare etc etc, things could have gone very differently. And as I said before, smuggling ammo to a MRLS battery is a lot easier than smuggling in an MRLS battery.

It would greatly benefit China too, seeing as it would be a great opportunity to see how chinese hardware stacks up in an actual war and against NATO hardware and it they performed well, a great advisement for their performance to the world and the international arms market. If I were in charge of China, I would have offered Putin a big discount on weapon systems before the war started, granted that Russia provided China with all the raw data and an extensive report on how the hardware performed.

Instead we get this mess of a war where Putin is now asking Iran and north korea of all countries for weapons and ammo, because when you're desperate enough, anything goes. And chinese equipment, despite not even really being in the conflict, are also having their name dragged though the mud alongside with Russia, because the general public tends to lump the two countries military equipment/technology together espically with the long history of chinese/russian weapon development, where Russia has historically been the leader until the last 10 years or so. All because the Russian military industrial complex couldn't get their head out of their ass and see past their own propaganda.
No evidence Russia is lacking in tanks, artillery or ammunition. The agreements with DPRK will be to arm them, not vice versa.

Drones were definitely a big shortfall, despite Russian claims about drones before the war it

But it's hard to predict what platforms would be useful in war. Had Russia bought squadrons of TB-2 they would have likely sat around doing nothing, as smaller, more expendable drones are the way to go.

As for Chinese assistance, look at the progress of Russian drones in the war. They went from having none/prototypes only to having one of the most extensive drone armies in the world, outnumbering even what all of NATO could provide the Ukraine. I doubt Russia was capable of doing that without extensive Chinese support.
 

james smith esq

Senior Member
Registered Member
No evidence Russia is lacking in tanks, artillery or ammunition. The agreements with DPRK will be to arm them, not vice versa.

Drones were definitely a big shortfall, despite Russian claims about drones before the war it

But it's hard to predict what platforms would be useful in war. Had Russia bought squadrons of TB-2 they would have likely sat around doing nothing, as smaller, more expendable drones are the way to go.

As for Chinese assistance, look at the progress of Russian drones in the war. They went from having none/prototypes only to having one of the most extensive drone armies in the world, outnumbering even what all of NATO could provide the Ukraine. I doubt Russia was capable of doing that without extensive Chinese support.
I’m hoping that Russia gave Lancet drones to DPRK and asked if they could provide about 50,000 by December!
 

LawLeadsToPeace

Senior Member
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Registered Member
I’m hoping that Russia gave Lancet drones to DPRK and asked if they could provide about 50,000 by December!
Funnily enough, the former did happen:
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Reconnaissance drone and a bulletproof vest as gifts from a regional governor on his visit to Russia.

On Saturday he met the Russian defence minister in Vladivostok, where he inspected state-of-the-art weapons, including a hypersonic missile system.

TASS said the “leader of the DPRK received five kamikaze drones and a ‘Geran-25’ reconnaissance drone with vertical takeoff”, using the official name of North Korea.

The report added that the governor of the Primorye region, which borders China and North Korea, also “offered Kim Jong Un a set of bulletproof protection” and “special clothing not detectable by thermal cameras”.
Interestingly enough, those types of drones and individual equipment are being used extensively on both sides. I wont be surprised if we see DPRK produced copies of that equipment being used by both DPRK and Russian troops alike in the future.
 
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Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
The daily hunt continues. Ka-52 knocking out an unidentified Ukrainian armored vehicle.

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Bombs and more bombs. Plenty of bombs lately. FAB glide bomb hits a Ukrainian command post in Zmeeka says the comment. IMO this is a long range Krasnopol strike however. We have been seeing more and more strikes behind Ukrainian lines, and the surge of such strikes might be connected to the extended range Krasnopol-D round.

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Also says bomb in the comment but I also think it's a Krasnopol strike. This one at Ukrainian concentrations near Antonovsky Bridge.

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This one is FAB-250 with UMPC. Half the payload of the -500 but double the range. This one strikes a fuel and oil depot in Lvivo in the Kherson region.

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FPV drone hits an M2A2 Bradley, the work of the Osman special unit

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More glide bombs at Ukrainian targets in Kherson. I would assume the typical concentrations, deployment points, headquarters, ammo and fuel depots.

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38th MR Brigade takes out Ukrainian ammo and fuel depots in Zaporozhye.

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Cruise missile strike at Krememchug.

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More Onix missile strikes at the Odessa region.

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Ukrainian assault in Kleeshevka met with dense fire from AGS-17 grenade launchers, 120mm mortars and 152mm howitzers.

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Lancers taking out Leopards in the northern front.

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Avenger air defense system gets knocked out by Russian artillery.


Appears like ATGM knock out of Ukrainian community post.

 

generalmeng

New Member
Registered Member
All your reasoning is a mirror of Vietnam war, US wasn't any better than Russia today even though US was the number one air and sea power, and had overwhelming firepower on the ground. So what is the your point? This kind war is just fought this way, no trick and no amount of "superior" weaponry can make a difference, nobody can do any better.

If we take in Afghan war, it looks even worse for the US retreating from an enemy running on sandals and fighting with only AK and rocket launchers.
Vietnam was a asymmetrical warfare.

Korea on the other hand, was a conventional warfare between a super power, with all of its buddies against Korea and China. Yet the super power with its full naval and air superiority, was pushed back to where they started.

Keep in mind, China and Korea at the time had little heavy weapons. And moved their bucket of rice (logistics) on donkeys.
 
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