The War in the Ukraine

ShaoLaoDragon

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Soldier30

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Collision with mines of a large column of Ukrainian armored vehicles near Novodarovka. Published footage of hitting mines, a large column of military equipment of the Ukrainian army in the area of Novodarovka in the Zaporozhye region. After hitting the mines, Russian artillery began to work along the column. As a result of the battle, if it can be called that, 8 armored vehicles were destroyed, among them MaxxPro armored vehicles, as well as 2 tanks. In the same place, you can see 2 armored vehicles previously knocked out. It is not clear why, when the first armored vehicles hit the mines, the column did not stop moving and why there were no mine-clearing vehicles and minesweeping tanks.


Footage of a colossal explosion when using the tank as a kamikaze vehicle of the same role. A Russian kamikaze tank was equipped with 6 tons of explosives and sent towards Ukrainian positions. The tank did not reach the target, hitting a mine, after which it was destroyed from an RPG, despite this, the explosion of such an amount of explosives at a short distance is dangerous for soldiers in positions. Ukrainian units reportedly retreated from the stronghold after the explosion.


Published footage of a ram by a German tank Leopard 2A6 of the army of Ukraine, an armored personnel carrier M2A2 Bradley, previously delivered from the United States to Ukraine. In the video, a damaged Ukrainian Leopard 2A6 tank crashes into a wrecked M2A2 Bradley armored personnel carrier, after which an explosion occurs and it starts to move back. The reasons for what happened to the Ukrainian tank Leopard 2A6 and the fate of its crew are not reported.


A kamikaze armored car with 3 tons of explosives was blown up in Ukraine. A Russian serviceman spoke about turning an MT-LB armored personnel carrier into a kamikaze vehicle with 3.5 tons of explosives and sending it to a stronghold of the Ukrainian army.

 
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I haven't followed all the details of the war closely. Can anyone update how is the Ukranian offensive going? The western media articles are portraying that the offensive is slow but still gaining more ground. Is this the case? What is the big picture assesment of the war at the moment?

Can Russia hold on to the land it already controls? What about the prospect of making new territorial gains? Or are they losing the war?
One things for sure is that there's going to be no repeat of the Kharkiv counteroffensive. The current war is the closest Russia has come to going all in on a conflict, rather than just treating it as a foreign expedition. With all the men they've mobilized and defences they've set up, the current offensive more resembles Kherson, where the Ukrainians are going up against miles of trenches and minefields against a prepared enemy. The Ukrainians will probably make breakthroughs here and there, but by and large its going to be a stalemate.

What it will come down to in the end is both sides' will to continue fighting. Ukraine can probably continue to rely on American backing for another year, although when 2024 rolls around if the extreme right win America's elections they're probably screwed. On the other hand for Russia, people have certainly understimated their will to fight the war. It's clear by this point to Putin and the Russian people, this is not Afghanistan or Chechnya and they will continue to fight no matter the costs. Be that as it may the war is not taking place on their turf, so their tolerance for pain is still below Ukraine's. How long they will continue to tolerate such pain is a question mark as well.
 

ShaoLaoDragon

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One things for sure is that there's going to be no repeat of the Kharkiv counteroffensive. The current war is the closest Russia has come to going all in on a conflict, rather than just treating it as a foreign expedition. With all the men they've mobilized and defences they've set up, the current offensive more resembles Kherson, where the Ukrainians are going up against miles of trenches and minefields against a prepared enemy. The Ukrainians will probably make breakthroughs here and there, but by and large its going to be a stalemate.

What it will come down to in the end is both sides' will to continue fighting. Ukraine can probably continue to rely on American backing for another year, although when 2024 rolls around if the extreme right win America's elections they're probably screwed. On the other hand for Russia, people have certainly understimated their will to fight the war. It's clear by this point to Putin and the Russian people, this is not Afghanistan or Chechnya and they will continue to fight no matter the costs. Be that as it may the war is not taking place on their turf, so their tolerance for pain is still below Ukraine's. How long they will continue to tolerate such pain is a question mark as well.

Russia sacrificed millions of men to win the Great Patriotic War. There is no reason to expect Russia is not willing to sacrifice millions of men to take back Crimea.
 

tankphobia

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We're now 500 days into this war. There are really no signs that each side is willing to let up, I feel like I will make the same post 500 days later and lines will still be roughly the same. The Ukranian lines will now be fortified when Russia inevitably launches a counter offensive and the grind will continue.
 

Tootensky

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We're now 500 days into this war. There are really no signs that each side is willing to let up, I feel like I will make the same post 500 days later and lines will still be roughly the same. The Ukranian lines will now be fortified when Russia inevitably launches a counter offensive and the grind will continue.
That kind of depends on where they attack. However big the Ukrainian army might be, they can't man the entire border.
 
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