The War in the Ukraine

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Here's the explosion video again if you don't like telegram link.

Pro-Ukrainian sources are claiming this is "38 old ballistic missiles (SS-24) with 1,800 tons of rocket fuel. They were stored at the Pavlohrad Chemical Plant. They were not decommissioned due to lack of funds" instead of S-300 missile.

I would think both. The big massive explosion is probably the chemical plant, followed with subsequent strikes and cook offs of the S-300s and ammo trains nearby. Smart or stupid of them to store weapons and ammo near the plant Pavolograd is an important transportation hub for east and south Donetsk, it's obvious it will be protected and surrounded by your best AD, which unfortunately has gone up in smoke. There are numerous videos showing windows blasting which is apparently a massive shockwave in the area. More than depots there are ammunition and supply trains in the area that would have been targeted. I would think the culprit are Iskanders. Bombers on the air like Tu-95s are for followup strikes all over the front.

 

zszczhyx

Junior Member
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Russian artillery also occasionally get stuck, but because of its metal, claw-like tracks, the Peony actually performs better in muddy conditions. The Panzers delivered to the Ukrainian unit have rubber treads that are better for flat, hard surfaces, troops said.

In the right conditions, the Panzer is fast and maneuverable, allowing soldiers to fire off a few rounds and then scoot away before the Russian side returns fire. A howitzer commander who uses the call sign Boychik said it was “like the difference between a Zhiguli and a Mercedes,” referring to a cheap, Soviet-era car.

But the howitzer is also delicate. Its sensitive electronics go haywire when exposed to moisture or dirt. The soldiers have to put on special booties or slippers when they go inside to avoid tracking in mud, and each vehicle comes with its own vacuum cleaner. In Germany, soldiers said, the howitzers had their own climate-controlled garages where they were stored when not in use — conditions clearly not available on the Ukrainian battlefield.

“The Panzer really loves cleanliness,” said Mykola, a young artillery commander. He and his men were struggling to clean out the barrel of their mud-encrusted howitzer with a long metal brush like a chimney sweep. “If you fire off two full loads of ammunition, you need to spend a day servicing it,” he added.
 

drowingfish

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wow really? army equipment is not meant to be like that. who in their right mind would allow in service a kind of weapon that cannot withstand mud? if this is the bulwark of Ukrainian equipment for the upcoming offensive then this offensive is surely going to fail without direct NATO intervention.
 

tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
We'll see if there is real Satellite photo soon. particularly to assess the damage.

For me tho they really hit the Pavlograd chemical plant, where the old boosters were stored (turn out US actually backed away from the disarmament deal in 2004) Thus some missiles were not properly decommissioned.

The thing is that of course whether only missiles remain there or did Ukraine do Store "additional" stuff there like weapon cache etc.
Regarding possibility of re-purposing the propellant, i think it's small probability as the propellant are like 20-30 years old by now and the chemical compositions and stability may not be as good as they were before. Solid propellant do Rot.

Also re-purposing propellant may require re-melting and then re-casting the propellant to fit into the new missile. I dont think that would easily be done.
Geolocation based on footage seems to support that the strike did not hit the train yard. So last 3 pages of back and forth is basically moot.
 

drowingfish

Junior Member
Registered Member
Geolocation based on footage seems to support that the strike did not hit the train yard. So last 3 pages of back and forth is basically moot.
if russia aimed for that location its because there is something there worth hitting, in the end they clearly hit the intended target. its not like they were supposed to hit the train yard then missed but hit some storage facility instead. the tweet in my opinion is a lot of cope.
 

tankphobia

Senior Member
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if russia aimed for that location its because there is something there worth hitting, in the end they clearly hit the intended target. its not like they were supposed to hit the train yard then missed but hit some storage facility instead. the tweet in my opinion is a lot of cope.
It went from doomposting half of ukranian ammo for offensive and 12-16 s-300 launchers to some expired rocket fuel, I think the cope is justified.
 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
It went from doomposting half of ukranian ammo for offensive and 12-16 s-300 launchers to some expired rocket fuel, I think the cope is justified.

SS-24 were built before the '90s. Solid rocket fuel deterioration already happens around 10 years, and we know this long ago because the Russians had a warranty on the S-300, S-400 and Shtils (naval Buks) sold to China. This would put those solid fuel propellants already over 40 years old.

But something caused it to blow up like this,


That's like a tactical nuke. Earthquake sensors in Turkey detected it. That looks to me a lot of non expired explosive material is stockpiled there.
 

Anlsvrthng

Captain
Registered Member
It went from doomposting half of ukranian ammo for offensive and 12-16 s-300 launchers to some expired rocket fuel, I think the cope is justified.
Sensible reasons of strike :
1. Show that "if required we can make visible and nice booms , similar like in Crimea"
2. Something was stored / manufactured on the site, this explosion destroyed everything in a huge area. The falling fuel debris ignited everything .
3. They hit something relevant.
SS-24 were built before the '90s. Solid rocket fuel deterioration already happens around 10 years, and we know this long ago because the Russians had a warranty on the S-300, S-400 and Shtils (naval Buks) sold to China. This would put those solid fuel propellants already over 40 years old.

But something caused it to blow up like this,


That's like a tactical nuke. Earthquake sensors in Turkey detected it. That looks to me a lot of non expired explosive material is stockpiled there.
Ukraine using similar vintage S-300 missiles.

The most likelly problem with the old ICBM missiles is the lack of spares to keep allive/test the steering systems .
 

Anlsvrthng

Captain
Registered Member
This sound like a joke

www.businessinsider.com

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Germany sent 14 Panzerhaubitze 2000 self-propelled howitzers to Ukraine, according to an inventory of its military support to Kyiv.
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A muddy mess in Ukraine is making trouble for new howitzers so sensitive to dirt they come with their own vacuum cleaners


  • Ukraine's recently obtained German-made self-propelled howitzers are particularly vulnerable to mud.
  • Soldiers have to be very clean and careful when entering the vehicles, The New York Times reported.
  • ...
....
Germany has sent 14 Panzerhaubitze 2000 self-propelled howitzers to Ukraine, according to an
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of its military support to Kyiv. These weapons contain electronics that are so vulnerable to dirt and moisture that soldiers have to wear slippers or booties when they enter the vehicles so they don't track in any mud, the New York Times
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on Monday.
....
Each howitzer even comes with a vacuum cleaner, and the barrels sometimes have to be cleaned with a long brush. "The Panzer really loves cleanliness," an artillery commander named Mykola told the Times, referring to a nickname for the Panzerhaubitze. "If you fire off two full loads of ammunition, you need to spend a day servicing it."



Serious ?

They made these for static display, or for war ?
Semingly these system lack full and rigous testing and evaluation.

I tought that this kind of issue is a problem for the USA ( Ford carrier, F35 and so on), but seemingly it plagued the whole NATO and Co. .
 
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