M. Koffman and Rob Lee opine that holding Bakhmut is probably no longer strategically sound. The attrition ratio no longer favors Ukraine. Furthermore, Russia is well past Bakhmut both north and south. Should Russia reach Chasiv Yar that would put them in a strong position. However, they both believe that Bakhmut is not going to decide the outcome of the war.
The War in the Ukraine
- Thread starter SampanViking
- Start date
Attrition ratio never favored Ukraine in any time. Artillery is responsible for 80 to 90 percent of the losses for both sides, and the Russian advantage in artillery went up from 5-6 last summer to 7-8, sometimes as much as 10 to 1 depending on whose report. If you want to see who is losing more casualties, figure out first who is crying for more ammunition. Personally I don't count human losses as much as I do who is destroying more artillery units.
Chasiv Yar doesn't have as many fortified places like Bakhmut or Ugledar. It's going to be an artillery magnet.
Wagner advancing towards Konstantinovka.
I'm just criticizing people who push the narrative of the usage of T-55s by the Russians, by their logic Russia should have already exhausted their modern tank stockpiles to the point to deploy their handful T-55s in yo Ukraine which i find unlikely.
Also, the war has lasted more than 1 year, it's possible the number of tanks the Russian loses already around a thousand or more.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
The Russian seem really happy with their BMPT Terminators, which is a T72 chassis with an anti-infantry remote turret.
That might be a reason to pull T55s out of storage since T72 hulls are a lot more precious and useful now. Especially if Russia can get vast quantities of engines and spares as non-lethal foreign aid for their T55s.
Also why the hell does it not have auto target tracking? It appears like they are manually aiming the gun lmao.
Maybe some non lethal aid is there.
I think this is pretty big news, given Medvedev's high status and hawkish credentials. Medvedev wants a Korean-style demilitarized buffer zone for it's annexed territories. Did Xi Jinping propose this idea ??
Like I predicted months ago..... Korean-style frozen conflict... that eventually ends in a stalemate along line of actual control. It does not appear Russia is banking on infrastructure attacks, oil/gas embargos, or disproportionate K/D ratios to collapse the regime.... they simply want to get the maximum territories within the annexed oblasts/provinces, and set up an DMZ-style buffer zone. That means Kiev, Odessa, and Kharkiv are not on the table, and why retreat from Kherson makes strategic sense if they wanted defensible buffer zones.
Edit: From same article, Medvedev did make this comment:
Russia wants demilitarised buffer zones in Ukraine, says Putin ally
Like I predicted months ago..... Korean-style frozen conflict... that eventually ends in a stalemate along line of actual control. It does not appear Russia is banking on infrastructure attacks, oil/gas embargos, or disproportionate K/D ratios to collapse the regime.... they simply want to get the maximum territories within the annexed oblasts/provinces, and set up an DMZ-style buffer zone. That means Kiev, Odessa, and Kharkiv are not on the table, and why retreat from Kherson makes strategic sense if they wanted defensible buffer zones.
Edit: From same article, Medvedev did make this comment:
So Kiev (and Lviv!!!) are still on the table... but I think his DMZ-style buffer zone is very telling.
If Ukraine still exist and got absorbed in the EU, it will just help collapse it... imagine that abysmal debts without any PIB to offer, destroyed infrastructures, more than half the frontiers closed down from business. It's way worse than having Greece onboard.
Don't know how big the pie slice will fall in Russia hands but Ukraine is dead as a nation. It will be a burden for the west for the next century if they don't cut it in pieces to give it to Poland, Romania and Hungary. It would be a way to get rid of the corrupt government and give a chance to put the surface area to good uses.
