yes i have heard of those forces in the area as well though not quite sure what composition, and how the jobs are assigned. the situation remains the same, russians have to close the pocket, and ukrainians have to defeat at least one of the two pincers, i think they prefer the north pincer because it is closer to kramatorsk, and also opens up soledar, and reinforces siversk. this will still be a culminating battle because zelensky has drummed it up to become one. some milbloggers suggested that lyman battles are just as intense which i believe, but politically it is not going to as significant as bakhmut now, the loss of which could seriously undermine zelensky.
The War in the Ukraine
- Thread starter SampanViking
- Start date
I would not be as presumptive of this as he is. The Kinzhal is basically an air launched Iskander. And the Russians have lots of Iskander launchers and missiles. For example they have 162 Iskander launchers. Each can carry two missiles. If you add the reloads to that you can guess how many they can have in production if they wanted to. The only reason for the Russians to have a limited number of Kinzhals would not have anything to do with production capacity of the missiles themselves but with the lack of launch platforms for it. They only are supposed to have like 10 MiG-31K carrier aircraft. Or at least that was their number back in 2018. So it makes little sense to produce Kinzhal in large volume.
By the standards of the US, which used to think had some advantage in cruise missile production and storage, it might seem like the current barrage is a lot. But, Shoigu made an announcement in 2021 which few people believed back then, he corrected that the orders the Russian government had made and taken delivery of the previous two years were not for a couple hundred cruise missiles, but in fact thousands. So Russia can likely make over a thousand cruise missiles a year. And that was in peace time.
nah it looks more logistic driven, they produce some missiles, they fire them. no way russia hasnt exhausted its pre-war stock at this point. if russia intends for these strikes to help the front they be hitting logistic nodes and rallying points right now.
It still work a bit but like that, even if it blow out some mines, wider mbt track will get others mines anyway.
But using it with a plow or front roller will make him detonate twice the mines before getting disabled... and for wider tracks. It precipitation and desperate move to use it like that or a lack of basic demining tools.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
Another coin in the ‘Russia is running out of missiles’ jar if you please.
Sounds like copium. Number 1 strategic purpose in strategic bombings is to exhaust the opponent's potential.
That 1 year after the war there are still electricity plants standing says it all in my opinion. Civilian infrastructure needs a lot of time to build up so why not take it out?
The only answer is probably that Russia's cruise missiles stocks are too low. As a counter example see how the US waged its war against Iraq and what kind of targets it destroyed from the first month of their offensive
Problem is two folded.
Ukraine economy is in free fall, big part of the population left the country.
Means there is several times higher electical transmission and generation capacity than needed.
Other , bigger is the S-300 systems in the hadns of Ukraine.
They have lot of them, means any bombing with Tu-95 not possible, and without that it is impossible to deliver enought ordenance to destroy everything.
In Iraq the USA destoryed the air defence befor the invasion, and the air defence over there was magnitude(s) less capable than un Ukraine .And Iraq never received AWACS data from the surrounding countries, and satelite information and so on .
Your second option sounds the most likely lol, although we ofc can't completely deny the possibility of it being option 1.
Russia has filled vehicles with explosives before, placed close to main transit routes, and detonated them as Ukrainian military columns passed nearby before.
It makes little sense for that explosive laden vehicle to be used for mine clearance. That is not how you do mine clearance and the Russians have specific vehicles for it.
It makes little sense for that explosive laden vehicle to be used for mine clearance. That is not how you do mine clearance and the Russians have specific vehicles for it.
Nope, not at all. It is only Russia does not want to bring down those infrastructure. Same missiles landing on transformers also good for production facilities. It is just preference.