berkhivka fell today to the wagners, yahidne still up in the air, but once it does, then we can see denouement in the bakhmut front. zelensky will have to make a call then on whether to withdraw, to fight, or withdraw part of his forces and leave some to fight like in azovstal.
The War in the Ukraine
- Thread starter SampanViking
- Start date
Footage of the assault on the Ukrainian stronghold by three Russian combat vehicles, BMPT "Terminator", BMD-2K-AU and BTR-D with a ZU-23 anti-aircraft artillery mount. The crews of combat vehicles approached the enemy and opened heavy fire on him. The video has been edited, the dead Ukrainian servicemen have been cut from the video.
A Russian professional sniper, howling near Ugledar, spoke about the intricacies of a sniper's work in battles in Ukraine. The sniper's interview is large and the most detailed at the moment.
Russian craftsmen conducted a test flight of a homemade FPV kamikaze drone with a simulated rocket-propelled grenade from an RPG grenade launcher.
The Su-24M aircraft of PMC Wagner, hit by a MANPADS missile of the Ukrainian armies, was able to return to the base. After the impact of the Ukrainian missile, a fire started in the engines, despite this and the fact that the aircraft's controls were damaged, the crew was able to land the aircraft.
A 152-mm divisional self-propelled howitzer 2S19 "Msta-S" of the Ukrainian army came under attack from a Russian kamikaze drone "Lancet". This is the first footage of Ukraine's Msta-S self-propelled guns being hit by Lancet drones.
Footage of the assault on the Ukrainian stronghold by three Russian combat vehicles, BMPT "Terminator", BMD-2K-AU and BTR-D with a ZU-23 anti-aircraft artillery mount. The crews of combat vehicles approached the enemy and opened heavy fire on him. The video has been edited, the dead Ukrainian servicemen have been cut from the video.
Russian craftsmen conducted a test flight of a homemade FPV kamikaze drone with a simulated rocket-propelled grenade from an RPG grenade launcher.
The Su-24M aircraft of PMC Wagner, hit by a MANPADS missile of the Ukrainian armies, was able to return to the base. After the impact of the Ukrainian missile, a fire started in the engines, despite this and the fact that the aircraft's controls were damaged, the crew was able to land the aircraft.
A 152-mm divisional self-propelled howitzer 2S19 "Msta-S" of the Ukrainian army came under attack from a Russian kamikaze drone "Lancet". This is the first footage of Ukraine's Msta-S self-propelled guns being hit by Lancet drones.
Footage of the assault on the Ukrainian stronghold by three Russian combat vehicles, BMPT "Terminator", BMD-2K-AU and BTR-D with a ZU-23 anti-aircraft artillery mount. The crews of combat vehicles approached the enemy and opened heavy fire on him. The video has been edited, the dead Ukrainian servicemen have been cut from the video.
Which is why manpower losses are so impactful for both sides. Losing trained personnel, especially specialists and junior officers, is crippling to force quality and capability.
S-60 anti aircraft guns being used to shell a Ukrainian position. Old stuff, these are 57mm rapid fire AA guns that goes back to the early '50s. Spectacular at night. The shells are HE-FRAG so there is an area radius of damage around them where they explode, similar to why the ZSU 30mm on BMP-2 are often used against infantry targets.
Destroyed Ukrainian pickup used to support troops. Based on the grill, this one might be a Foton Tunland, which is a popular export Chinese make of pickup, or a Mitsubishi L200 Triton, another pickup that I have seen commonly used on both sides as a support and a technical.
Destroyed Ukrainian pickup used to support troops. Based on the grill, this one might be a Foton Tunland, which is a popular export Chinese make of pickup, or a Mitsubishi L200 Triton, another pickup that I have seen commonly used on both sides as a support and a technical.
Last edited:
Seems the Kerch bridge has been fully repaired
Alleged Ukranian Su-25 shot down over Novaya Kakhovka
Alleged Ukranian Su-25 shot down over Novaya Kakhovka
:
About the situation around Transnistria
In recent days, there have been movements of the AFU in the Odessa region in the direction of the border with the Transnistria (Pridnestrovian Moldovan Republic, PMR). And since the beginning of this year, mercenary detachments have been operating in the settlements of Dolzhok, Studenoe and Grabovo.
According to our sources, Western countries are really considering the option of an artificial escalation of tension in Moldova and the subsequent introduction of a NATO contingent to "stabilize" the situation in the PMR.
To implement such a plan, a serious provocation is needed, which the West intends to carry out with the threat of the entry of the AFU into the territory of the PMR with the permission of the Moldovan Parliament and the operation to seize Transnistria.
Given the transfer to border villages, it is possible that the AFU, together with mercenaries, will try to pass from both sides into the PMR and rush to seize important military facilities, and then ship all military supplies to Ukraine.
Prospects
Many associate the upcoming escalation in the PMR with the need for access to warehouses in Kolbasnoye due to the existing shell famine in the West. Yes, there are indeed reserves there, but they should not be exaggerated. A significant part of them has simply fallen into disrepair, and some of them were stolen and sold out in the 90s.
Specifically, in this case, the danger facing the PMR lies in another: Transnistria remained the only pro-Russian stronghold in the region, and the beginning of the AFU operation is fraught with serious consequences for Russia and the pro-Russian population there.
The introduction of troops into the PMR and the lack of a Russian reaction will further damage the reputation of the Russian Federation, and there are practically no ways to solve the problem, since attempts at a peaceful settlement are meaningless in the international arena. Russia's interests are no longer taken into account, and the status of a country to be afraid of is no longer there.
Ways to deter Western action in PMR:
– A ground operation, a total bombing of one of the cities or strikes on important humanitarian facilities in the West of Ukraine, for example, sanitation facilities, without which life in any city is impossible.
However, such an option is unlikely — a ground operation from Belarus is difficult to implement due to the high resource consumption. At the same time, Kyiv is fully prepared for such a scenario: the Volyn fortified area has long been built for defense.
And the total destruction of Lviv or Lutsk will hardly stop the collective West from using ordinary Ukrainians as a bargaining chip: Ukrainian authorities are completely controlled by decisions from overseas and will continue to do what they are told.
The only possible option is to use tactical nuclear weapons (TNW) to intimidate the enemy by striking an unpopulated area in western Ukraine. Now none of the NATO countries considers the threat of the use of TNW in Ukraine to be serious — they simply stopped fearing a huge deterrent factor.
At the same time, for the West, such a scenario is even beneficial for the further "demonization" of Russia, and an artificial escalation in the PMR can be implemented specifically to force the Russian Federation to such a step.
Now the Russian authorities are at a crossroads in the issue of Transnistria: inaction is likely to ruin the whole region and create huge reputational costs, and a TNW strike can make the country an outcast, but at the same time will save thousands of Russian citizens.
History Legends referenced reports of 4 to 5 entire divisions along the Kremmina-Svatove front, dug in for defence in depth... That is an approximate 60,000 personnel. That explains why the Kharkov offensive stopped and Luhansk was not taken back by the Ukrainians.Someone on Weibo spent a lot of time last weekend to put this Russian unit dispossession together:
That is a lot of Russian troops around Svatove. Besides 1st guards tank army there are also elements of 2nd, 5th, 6th, 35th combined arms army and 11th army corps.
Here is worth an important detachment, these would be the Ukrainian troops in Bakhmut:
This look like Operation Uranus. The AFU are over securing their flank defenses with the trenches, but if they fall there will be no time to retreat and a large amount of troops will be trapped inside Bakhmut. Currently, the PMC Wagner has been making an effort to outflank the city, attacking the trenches from the south and north.
The Russians have already physically cut off the main supply routes and the last highway is under fire control. Now it seems to me that the point is not to make the same mistake in Lysychansk, when they missed the chance to lock several brigades in the city due to their failure to cross the Siversk Donets, and the Ukrainians retreated from the city in order along country roads.
There are still three more rural roads, recently Wagner cut one of them which is in Yahidne. They are now advancing behind the trenches at Berkhivka to control a second road. If they manage to get to Bohdanivka they will have access to the last country road that passes through the village in Khromove and is the end of the line for the AFU troops, it would be a new Mariupol, they would have to try to force an exit as the AFU is already using all the reserves available within the city, will not have for a relief operation.
If I were the Russians, I would transfer reserve troops to further force the clamp on Bakhmut, trap thousands of troops and valuable equipment inside Bakhmut and catch the moment to conquer Konstantinivka already.
If I were the AFU I would order a retreat immediately, they only have two rural lanes to retreat. You'll have to sacrifice two Brigades on this one, but at least save the rest. In Lysychansk they had the competence to contain the Russians in an attempt to cross the river, this time it will be difficult to close the siege.
Realize that in Bakhmut, the defense of the flanks are under the care of small units in trenches, while the brigades themselves are in the city. Reserves that are outside the map must already be engaged or they will remain in positions.
Ukrainians continue to insist on taking equipment to the region in Kherson. It was reported by the Ukrainians, in addition to the shooting down of this AFU Su-25, an attack by Shaheds drones against Nikopol and Ocharkiv. If the Ukrainians are going to try any counter-offensive, it will definitely be through Zaporizhzhia or Poltava. There is no other possible point to reach Crimea.
Already at Vuhledar and near Avdiivka, Russia continues to face heavy losses.
Another map seized from the Russians by the Ukrainians. That's impressive haha
This look like Operation Uranus. The AFU are over securing their flank defenses with the trenches, but if they fall there will be no time to retreat and a large amount of troops will be trapped inside Bakhmut. Currently, the PMC Wagner has been making an effort to outflank the city, attacking the trenches from the south and north.
The Russians have already physically cut off the main supply routes and the last highway is under fire control. Now it seems to me that the point is not to make the same mistake in Lysychansk, when they missed the chance to lock several brigades in the city due to their failure to cross the Siversk Donets, and the Ukrainians retreated from the city in order along country roads.
There are still three more rural roads, recently Wagner cut one of them which is in Yahidne. They are now advancing behind the trenches at Berkhivka to control a second road. If they manage to get to Bohdanivka they will have access to the last country road that passes through the village in Khromove and is the end of the line for the AFU troops, it would be a new Mariupol, they would have to try to force an exit as the AFU is already using all the reserves available within the city, will not have for a relief operation.
If I were the Russians, I would transfer reserve troops to further force the clamp on Bakhmut, trap thousands of troops and valuable equipment inside Bakhmut and catch the moment to conquer Konstantinivka already.
If I were the AFU I would order a retreat immediately, they only have two rural lanes to retreat. You'll have to sacrifice two Brigades on this one, but at least save the rest. In Lysychansk they had the competence to contain the Russians in an attempt to cross the river, this time it will be difficult to close the siege.
Realize that in Bakhmut, the defense of the flanks are under the care of small units in trenches, while the brigades themselves are in the city. Reserves that are outside the map must already be engaged or they will remain in positions.
The video is very poor quality when zoomed in, but it gives you the opportunity to find some lessons. Kherson is under heavy scrutiny, as is the entire Dniper bank. The Russians have full control of the Dniper bank. It is practically impossible that the Ukrainians can have any success with an offensive against Crimea through Kherson:
Ukrainians continue to insist on taking equipment to the region in Kherson. It was reported by the Ukrainians, in addition to the shooting down of this AFU Su-25, an attack by Shaheds drones against Nikopol and Ocharkiv. If the Ukrainians are going to try any counter-offensive, it will definitely be through Zaporizhzhia or Poltava. There is no other possible point to reach Crimea.
Already at Vuhledar and near Avdiivka, Russia continues to face heavy losses.
Another map seized from the Russians by the Ukrainians. That's impressive haha