The War in the Ukraine

delta115

Junior Member
Registered Member
I think everyone is really overreacting to the idea of F-16s being given to the Ukraine. First of all, the deal hasn't been completed yet, and it wouldn't surprise me if it never is. There is a reason Poland and the US were so sketchy when it came to sending MiG-29s last year. There is only so many times you can poke the bear before it takes a swipe at you. Up till now Russia has actually show remarkable restraint when NATO sent mercs, AA systems, artillery, but sooner or later even Russia is bound to reach it's limit and will escalate.

Second, just how much use will these F-16s be. This is a weapon system. It needs a place to take off and land. It needs to be supplied with parts, engines, fuel, bombs, missiles. How about a competent ground crew who know what they're doing? Perhaps you can take a Su-27 pilot and train him at Nellis for a month or two to operate the plane, but what about the ground component for maintaining an unfamiliar weapons system? When a couple of screws come loose or a pipe comes off somewhere deep in the plane making the machine unable to fly, will it just be written off? Will they push the plane couple hundred kms to check it in Poland?

Third, is the question of what F-16s will be sent. They won't be the newest planes (block 50/52 and up). They'll be F-16 MLUs, planes which already have been ridden hard for decades. The youngest of those planes will be what? 30-35 years old? And if NATO decides to send anything more advanced, it will be depriving itself of usefull assets. Will Poland send theirs and basically deprive itself of a combat air force? Will Greece weaken itself vis-a-vis Turkey, when Turkey is inching closer and closer to leaving NATO? Or will the Americans stretch themselves even thinner?

What's curious to me is that the Americans seem to be OK with F-16s being sent do the Ukraine, while at the same time being so opposed to sending long range weapons which might be used to strike against Russian soil. Who wants to bet how many F-16s will get shot down while trying to bomb the Kremlin? I can already see the western media OOOh-ing and AAAh-ing when Zelensky proudly anounces that the first-ever F-16 has flown over Russian airspace (completely ignoring the fact that it cost the pilot's life).

Given how many resources these F-16s would require (on top of 4 types of tanks to be sent and God knows how many artillery systems already being sent) I wouldn't be surprised if the next logical step for Russia was to start concentrating their missile attacks on railway lines coming through western Ukraine.
Your take is based on being logical but at this point it wouldn't be surprise if soon F-16 appear in Ukraine despite all the logistic complication. I mean, I believe we will not see advanced NATO tank on Ukraine but here we are.

The west is getting desperate, their world order is challenged and losing grip on their power bit by bit. Don't expect them to think carefully and be reasonable.

As for F-16, while it would make an impact. I don't think it would be a game changer like HIMAR. MIG-29 capability is not that far from F-16 and Ukraine have plenty of them last years. If anything, this might turn out to be trial by fire for Russia. While they getting their ass kicked from time to time, Russia is about to become the most experienced fighting force in modern battleground (If they willing to learn from their mistake).
 

Totoro

Major
VIP Professional
In the south - where NATO ISR has greatest access an F-16 equipped with a datalink can launch AMRAAM without using its own radar being guided entirely by AWACS.
Also @Patchwork_Chimera

Is this talking about bearing mode for amraam? Where AMRAAM is fired with its own radar seeker on, trying to lock onto any target in the general direction?
That I could see working with an AWACS. In the sense that the F-16 has its own radar completely silent, and an AWACS points the F-16 in the right direction. And then the AMRAAM is fired in bearing mode.

I am not saying MarKoz's post is suggesting it, but I want to add that I looked for *direct* AMRAAM AWACS datalink compatibility for years and haven't found sufficient evidence for that. So I am not sure that F-16 can launch an AMRAAM and then have the AWACS send midcourse corrections directly to the missile in flight. In fact, most circumstantial indications seem to be going against it. The datalink array on AMRAAM looks fairly buried, right under the exhaust, optimized for receiving data coming from the rear. Also, It's quite small in size, and thus likely optimized to work with X band, which would be suitable way for F-16 to send the course corrections through. For example using its own radar. That could also ensure the sidelobe emissions are fairly manageable and the source of the course correction data stream is not very detectable to the enemy.

E-3 radar antenna works in S band so it would likely need a separate array to send course corrections. Plus, operationally speaking, the E-3 may quite rarely be in the right position, behind missile's tail, to actually send correction data.

Anyway, I've never seen a publication or a similar source claiming E-3 Awacs being able to guide AMRAAMs directly. Of course, I would love a link to a publication which shares more information on it all.
 

sheogorath

Major
Registered Member
That I could see working with an AWACS. In the sense that the F-16 has its own radar completely silent, and an AWACS points the F-16 in the right direction. And then the AMRAAM is fired in bearing mode.

Isn't the only one capable of that the AIM-120D?. AIM-120C7 and previous variants don't have datalinks and the D have barely entered into service with the US as it is, so Ukraine won't be getting them should they be supplied with western jets.
 

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
Also @Patchwork_Chimera

Is this talking about bearing mode for amraam? Where AMRAAM is fired with its own radar seeker on, trying to lock onto any target in the general direction?
That I could see working with an AWACS. In the sense that the F-16 has its own radar completely silent, and an AWACS points the F-16 in the right direction. And then the AMRAAM is fired in bearing mode.

I am not saying MarKoz's post is suggesting it, but I want to add that I looked for *direct* AMRAAM AWACS datalink compatibility for years and haven't found sufficient evidence for that. So I am not sure that F-16 can launch an AMRAAM and then have the AWACS send midcourse corrections directly to the missile in flight. In fact, most circumstantial indications seem to be going against it. The datalink array on AMRAAM looks fairly buried, right under the exhaust, optimized for receiving data coming from the rear. Also, It's quite small in size, and thus likely optimized to work with X band, which would be suitable way for F-16 to send the course corrections through. For example using its own radar. That could also ensure the sidelobe emissions are fairly manageable and the source of the course correction data stream is not very detectable to the enemy.

E-3 radar antenna works in S band so it would likely need a separate array to send course corrections. Plus, operationally speaking, the E-3 may quite rarely be in the right position, behind missile's tail, to actually send correction data.

Anyway, I've never seen a publication or a similar source claiming E-3 Awacs being able to guide AMRAAMs directly. Of course, I would love a link to a publication which shares more information on it all.
Only the AIM-120D is capable of being vectored by an AWACS (or other aircraft) directly, completely eliminating the launch aircraft from the equation. The AIM-120D has a formal antenna and a two-way datalink, called Enhanced Datalink, which allows conversation with other aircraft. The datalink will have an antenna on the nose to exchange data at high angles of attack and does not need a line of sight with the tail. Another aircraft will be able to control the missile allowing the aircraft that fires to escape soon after with another aircraft (AWACS or fighter) further behind controlling the missile.
 

tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
I'm surprised it's taken this long for fpv drones to start making appearances:
bqti03sfkvea1.jpg
Don't get fooled by the appearance, those drones are perfectly capable of lifting rpg warheads due to extremely high power to weight ratio with short (<15 minutes) endurance.

If they're even capable of going at half the speed that fpv drones usually do (150km/h+), they'll be far harder to shoot down than normal suicide UAVs, due to unpredictable pathing, while also probably costing peanuts to make.
 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
I'm surprised it's taken this long for fpv drones to start making appearances:
View attachment 106184
Don't get fooled by the appearance, those drones are perfectly capable of lifting rpg warheads due to extremely high power to weight ratio with short (<15 minutes) endurance.

If they're even capable of going at half the speed that fpv drones usually do (150km/h+), they'll be far harder to shoot down than normal suicide UAVs, due to unpredictable pathing, while also probably costing peanuts to make.

This looks to me that the control links to the drones can be jammed and the purely commercial AliExpress sources components does not guarantee much range.
 

sheogorath

Major
Registered Member
If they're even capable of going at half the speed that fpv drones usually do (150km/h+), they'll be far harder to shoot down than normal suicide UAVs, due to unpredictable pathing, while also probably costing peanuts to make.

Do they go fast enough to arm the fuse of an RPG-7 rocket?. They are inertia activated to avoid accidental detonation if mishandled and a standard RPG has a launch speed of 1060km/h.

Otherwise, it won't do much.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
I'm surprised it's taken this long for fpv drones to start making appearances:
View attachment 106184
Don't get fooled by the appearance, those drones are perfectly capable of lifting rpg warheads due to extremely high power to weight ratio with short (<15 minutes) endurance.

If they're even capable of going at half the speed that fpv drones usually do (150km/h+), they'll be far harder to shoot down than normal suicide UAVs, due to unpredictable pathing, while also probably costing peanuts to make.
These little things are quite neat. I could easily envision them being used down at the squad level with some AI capability added on

Their short endurance is ok for infantry
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
Do they go fast enough to arm the fuse of an RPG-7 rocket?. They are inertia activated to avoid accidental detonation if mishandled and a standard RPG has a launch speed of 1060km/h.

Otherwise, it won't do much.

Might be why all the fuses are removed. Cannot be hard to swop in some impact fuses, which you will only want to screw in just before you launch one of these.
 

tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
This looks to me that the control links to the drones can be jammed and the purely commercial AliExpress sources components does not guarantee much range.
From hobbyist grade fpv gear you can probably squeeze 5km range out of those. Of course they are easy to jam, but jammers aren't everywhere and a HEAT warhead with impact fuse attached make them a very dangerous front line weapon. They are also very low cost running at <$500 each without the warhead.

Most important is the agility you can bring compared to other suicide drones, a good operator can hug the ground, zip through windows in buildings and work through treelines which makes them virtually impossible to kinetically intercept.
 
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