taiwan missile defense and mainland missile

zighail

Banned Idiot
anytime youre dealing with a rogue (u.s backed) state like taiwan, it wont be missile defense, but missile offense
 

zighail

Banned Idiot
Of course, I would agree if PRC decides that nuke is an option then most of the debate is thrown out the window, but as most of us also agree that the global political consequences of this would be too high for almost anyone to seriously take. your counting on alot of stuff to fall in place and if some of them don't not only is the PRC screwed but humanity itself might be at stake.

Let's point out the obvious, in a nuclear war, China can not completely destroy the US, even if we assume they manage to land ALL their nukes where they want, however the US can most likely level almost all of China.

The real question we should ask is, and which many people often don't really clearly see, is how much conventional capacity does China really have in the event of attacking Taiwan?

Going back to the original war game article, the assumpion that the PLA would sail 100,000 men in a landing invasion is pretty absurd, such an invasion would take months to prepare at least and can't be done unnoticed, by that point not only Taiwan would be massively mobilized (in which case teh 100,000 men would still end up being badly out numbered) and the US navy would have more than enough time to be in place. Unlike Operation overlord Taiwan also don't have much of a range of places where you can land. espeically a truely large force, would almost surely have to be somwhere in central to central southern Taiwan to have enough of a beach to make such a landing.

The most easy way to take Taiwan is simply if China can somehow make the US concede and withdraw it's support, at that point no shots need to be fired, China could simply use the UN to impose crazy sanction on Taiwan (if the US concede then this is simple) and we'll be forced into talking immediately under very unfavorable terms. But given that Ron Paul probably won't be President anytime soon, this situation is fairly unlikely

you cant take something thats already yours. liberate would be a much more suitable word
 

bd popeye

The Last Jedi
VIP Professional
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Warned member: zighail

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zighail, since you are new you need to read the forum rules before you post again. If you desire to continue to post as you have you need to find a different forum. Your type of flamebait posting is not allowed here. For your offense you are granted a one week holiday away from SDF. While you are out read the forum rules..then abide by them.


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Franticfrank

New Member
The Taiwanese have become highly skilled at operating their aircraft from highways around the island and with forewarning of any invasion, these aircraft would pose a considerable threat to any landing force. It would be difficult to find the improvised airfields and destroy them. This is a common plan used to defeat a superior enemy - the Swedish and Swiss have planned on this for decades.

Still, if China carried out a conventional or nuclear attack against Taiwan, I wonder how enthusiastic the American people would be about providing assistance -
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. Let's hope the Chinese don't attempt to take the island, the amount of military and civilian casualties would be unimaginable.
 

vesicles

Colonel
The Taiwanese have become highly skilled at operating their aircraft from highways around the island and with forewarning of any invasion, these aircraft would pose a considerable threat to any landing force. It would be difficult to find the improvised airfields and destroy them. This is a common plan used to defeat a superior enemy - the Swedish and Swiss have planned on this for decades.

Still, if China carried out a conventional or nuclear attack against Taiwan, I wonder how enthusiastic the American people would be about providing assistance -
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. Let's hope the Chinese don't attempt to take the island, the amount of military and civilian casualties would be unimaginable.

The moment that they have to start using these highways for their fighters means that their real airfields, along with the majority of their AF, have been destroyed. If they can't be effective in protecting their most critical elements in their national defense network at full strength, how do you expect them to be effective with a few fighters left and a short stretch of highway? They cannot build permanent and sophisticated facilities near the highway for supporting their operations because the whole point of all this is to hide themselves and avoid detection. Any extensive structure will be spotted and become targets. So they won't have facilities they will need to support their fighters. What happens when they finish all the missiles, fuel, food, etc. they store in limited storage space near the highway before the conflict begins? What happens when their fighters need maintenance? even if they use caves in the mountains, that won;t be effective. These facilities must be remote to avoid being detected. This would put huge strain on re-supplying them when their initial stash has been used up. Any extensive supply line will be detected immediately since it's only a small island and all the mountain roads will automatically become the main focus of extensive search for the hide-outs. One easy way of beating these hide-outs would be to block/destroy all the main arteries on the island, main highways, rail roads, etc. With their supply line disrupted, the planes will be sitting ducks in no time. IMHO, these highway stuff is only for show and to boost moral. By the time they have to resort to this kind of tactics, they have already lost.
 
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I really don't think China and Taiwan will go to war unless something really drastic happens. Not saying that it is such a drastic event, but what would Taiwan do if China and Japan did come to blows over the Diaoyutai/Senkakus? Would Taiwan just sit it out? Covertly help one side or the other with intelligence etc? I am having a hard time picturing Taiwan actively partaking militarily in such a conflict despite their water cannon duel with Japan.
 

delft

Brigadier
The armament shopping by Taiwan is clearly symbolic. It is asking for weapons the US won't sell and doesn't buy many of the weapons the US wants to sell. This is quite reasonable as the time for war between China and Taiwan has passed long ago. So all those preparations for using highways in time of war are symbolic too.
 

vesicles

Colonel
I really don't think China and Taiwan will go to war unless something really drastic happens. Not saying that it is such a drastic event, but what would Taiwan do if China and Japan did come to blows over the Diaoyutai/Senkakus? Would Taiwan just sit it out? Covertly help one side or the other with intelligence etc? I am having a hard time picturing Taiwan actively partaking militarily in such a conflict despite their water cannon duel with Japan.

I agree that a war between the Mainland and Taiwan is highly unlikely, mainly because there is no need for it. There are so many different ways for the mainland to achieve its goals without the actual fighting. I also agree that Taiwan will most likely not get physically involved in any conflict between China and Japan over Diaoyu island. Under the table, that would be another story. Covertly helping China, or even simply moral support, might be a possibility. Although Taiwan and the Mainland have their differences, their view on the island is the same.
 

Phead128

Captain
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Taiwan will be secretly pressured by the US to accept an inferior (albeit semi-autonomous) status within the PRC.

US would rather save face by claiming a moral victory after China-Taiwan unification rather than a complete defeat of Communist annexation of a capitalist/free territory. That moral victory being US securing Taiwan's semi-autonomous status within the PRC akin to Hong Kong, while being dejure sovereign territory of China.

We should see a secret negotiation to the question of Taiwan between China and US, akin to the 1982 Sino-British Joint Declaration which settled the transfer of sovereignty of HK from UK to PRC. Protection of Taiwan's capitalistic characteristic is probably the model US would demand if Taiwan were to become part of China and if US were to promise not to intervene in such Chinese military annexation efforts.
 
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Taiwan will be secretly pressured by the US to accept an inferior (albeit semi-autonomous) status within the PRC.

US would rather save face by claiming a moral victory after China-Taiwan unification rather than a complete defeat of Communist annexation of a capitalist/free territory. That moral victory being US securing Taiwan's semi-autonomous status within the PRC akin to Hong Kong, while being dejure sovereign territory of China.

We should see a secret negotiation to the question of Taiwan between China and US, akin to the 1982 Sino-British Joint Declaration which settled the transfer of sovereignty of HK from UK to PRC. Protection of Taiwan's capitalistic characteristic is probably the model US would demand if Taiwan were to become part of China and if US were to promise not to intervene in such Chinese military annexation efforts.

I can see how the US may frame a peaceful China-Taiwan re-unification in a patronizing manner but I don't think Taiwan is the US' or anyone else's to negotiate away to or from China.

Hong Kong was only a city and a colony ceded by China to Britain at that, at no time was it ever an independent entity by definition or by fact. Taiwan is one side of the Chinese civil war, the losing side even if the loss was not total, and has always been an independent entity by fact and by definition, as its government once had and still claims to represent all of China.

Any negotiations about the future of Taiwan will be among the people and rulers of Taiwan first, then the rulers of the rest of China second.
 
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