Taiwan Military News, Reports, Data, etc.

D

Deleted member 675

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The isolation card has been there since 2001. But the USN knows about this from the start and even up to now, hasn't given an approval sign.

Why was the USN going to approve something when there was no Taiwanese money behind it?

The fear is that if the US starts building diesel subs again....

Yes, we have heard this before.

One the 8 subs probably won't matter much, the ports would be so blockaded anyway and so deeply outnumbered by the PRC subs they won't stand a chance anyway.

Then what exactly would be the point in Taiwan having an indigenous submarine-building programme?! Even if it were able to build a viable design it couldn't afford to build and operate many more than eight. If it had the funds to do that then it could order more from the US.

there are many that believe that sharing technology to Taiwan means eventually passing it to the PRC itself.... The end result is that the new sub won't really perform that well, despite the marketing and mouth hype.

Yet Taiwan is being trusted with P-3C Orions, PAC-3 and plenty of other material. Of course the US doesn't trust it 100% but then again no one is trusted 100%.

No sensitive technology linked to the SSNs would be passed over, so it would be a matter of using what is available world-wide. Now if Taiwan were able to get this from other countries or develop it itself, China would (according to your logic) be able to do the same anyway. So there would be no danger in putting it inside the Taiwanese submarines.

The downgrade will also serve the nuclear faction well, because the sub's performance won't be a threat to nuclear submarines, and the USN will keep its Virginia sub budget.

Aha, and I suppose you'll be the only person that will notice, right?

If the USN did something like that and they really thought Congress would push them towards a mixture of conventional and nuclear-powered submarines, sabotaging the Taiwanese programme would lead to at least some congressmen calling them out on it, suggesting that the only reason they did that was to protect their budget because in their heart-of-hearts they knew they couldn't win on facts against SSKs.

If Congress would change the budget due to a successful new Taiwan sub design, they would probably still do so if the USN were shown to be so rattled by it such that they would sabotage an ally's project. The USN knows this, so I think they would act to keep highly-sensitive material out rather than simply anything making it half-decent.
 
D

Deleted member 675

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A long article, but a few key points maybe missed earlier:

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T$7.4 billion for 30 Apache AH-64D II Apache Longbow helicopters
T$3.84 billion for the HF-IIE cruise missiles (2/3 frozen)
T$21.9 billion for 4 PAC-3 batteries

There is a bit of contradiction in this, as on the last two points I've heard that it was 1/3 frozen for the HF-IIE and just 3 PAC-3 batteries for the moment. Furthermore in regards to the Apache it might be Block III rather than Block II.

Doubtless we shall see when the congressional notices are published in regards to the last two.
 

crobato

Colonel
VIP Professional
Why was the USN going to approve something when there was no Taiwanese money behind it?

It has nothing to do with money. They could have given Electric Boat some encouragement. Read the article between the lines, and you sense the Navy is hesitating. This has happened before.


Yes, we have heard this before.

And the problem is still there.

Then what exactly would be the point in Taiwan having an indigenous submarine-building programme?! Even if it were able to build a viable design it couldn't afford to build and operate many more than eight. If it had the funds to do that then it could order more from the US.

No the point is have the sub designed in the US, then build it in Taiwan to circumvent any need for "approval". Same thing done in the IDF.

Yet Taiwan is being trusted with P-3C Orions, PAC-3 and plenty of other material. Of course the US doesn't trust it 100% but then again no one is trusted 100%.

Yeah but a sub is more "fickle". Taiwan isn't trusted with AEGIS or the most advanced F-16.

No sensitive technology linked to the SSNs would be passed over, so it would be a matter of using what is available world-wide. Now if Taiwan were able to get this from other countries or develop it itself, China would (according to your logic) be able to do the same anyway. So there would be no danger in putting it inside the Taiwanese submarines.

Removing the sensitive techs is not a problem. It just won't make your sub as good.

Aha, and I suppose you'll be the only person that will notice, right?

If the USN did something like that and they really thought Congress would push them towards a mixture of conventional and nuclear-powered submarines, sabotaging the Taiwanese programme would lead to at least some congressmen calling them out on it, suggesting that the only reason they did that was to protect their budget because in their heart-of-hearts they knew they couldn't win on facts against SSKs.

The USN already in effect, already did what you said with potential buys from a whole host of countries and allies. And it is not like they have fought for years and even decades now over the SSN vs. SSK sub issue.

In fact it is because of the bitterness left by these battles that has forged the USN to draw a line in the sand.

If Congress would change the budget due to a successful new Taiwan sub design, they would probably still do so if the USN were shown to be so rattled by it such that they would sabotage an ally's project. The USN knows this, so I think they would act to keep highly-sensitive material out rather than simply anything making it half-decent.

Its the highly sensitive stuff that makes a sub decent. The most important thing about the sub is its stealth, the noise reduction technologies.
 
D

Deleted member 675

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you sense the Navy is hesitating.

I never said that it wasn't. It's an issue some would prefer not to have come up - when pressed the organisation as a whole will have to make a choice.

No the point is have the sub designed in the US, then build it in Taiwan to circumvent any need for "approval".

That has no relation to what you said. You said that eight submarines wouldn't make a difference. So, again I ask you, what would the point in Taiwan making their own be? If it could afford more it could place a larger order with the US - that would also reduce the unit price.

Yeah but a sub is more "fickle". Taiwan isn't trusted with AEGIS or the most advanced F-16.

It's arguable whether Taiwan really needs an AEGIS destroyer like the Arleigh Burke. I read somewhere that the SPY-1F was approved for sale years ago for use in a modified Perry design, though I can't remember where. As for the F-16 Block 52, the sale has been held up by politics rather than concerns over technology.

Removing the sensitive techs is not a problem. It just won't make your sub as good.

I meant any highly classified stuff that is exclusively used in nuclear-powered submarines that might work its way into the design. Given there are "quiet" SSKs that have their own technology for avoiding detection there's no need to use tech from nuclear subs.

To go back to what you mentioned previously about Taiwan building its own, if it can access "quiet technology" anyway then there's no point in the USN objecting to its use as the Chinese could get their hands on it if Taiwan passed it over.

In fact it is because of the bitterness left by these battles that has forged the USN to draw a line in the sand.

And who is not to say if the USN tries to sabotage a project like this (given what you've said it has done in the past) that has a lot of congressional support, Congress decides it's the straw that breaks the camel's back and cuts funding such that the USN can only build SSKs or see its submarine fleet shrink?
 

crobato

Colonel
VIP Professional
I never said that it wasn't. It's an issue some would prefer not to have come up - when pressed the organisation as a whole will have to make a choice.

And they seemed to have already done that. They have drawn a line in the sand.

That has no relation to what you said. You said that eight submarines wouldn't make a difference. So, again I ask you, what would the point in Taiwan making their own be? If it could afford more it could place a larger order with the US - that would also reduce the unit price.

I never said that 8 submarines won't make a difference. The difference about Taiwan making their own is that they can guarantee their own destiny on this matter not just in the next decade, but in the decades afterward. The PLAN is moving ahead. They will have more submarines---heck they pump out 3 to 4 submarines each year. These submarines keep getting better, and their surface ASW will keep on improving. The difference 8 submarines will make is only temporary. You need to plan for the long term.

It's arguable whether Taiwan really needs an AEGIS destroyer like the Arleigh Burke. I read somewhere that the SPY-1F was approved for sale years ago for use in a modified Perry design, though I can't remember where. As for the F-16 Block 52, the sale has been held up by politics rather than concerns over technology.

Block 52+ for a delivery date of 2012 isn't very impressive for the way it sounds, because while it is adequete for today, even today it is teetering at the edge of obsolescence. By 2012, the obsolescence will peer out more.

Sorry but Taiwan does need something like an Arleigh Burke, or at least rapid fire VLS. Modified Perry design without VLS won't work either. Without VLS, and using rail mounted launchers like the four current destroyers, you won't have the ROF needed to stave off a multiple vector saturation attack.

I meant any highly classified stuff that is exclusively used in nuclear-powered submarines that might work its way into the design. Given there are "quiet" SSKs that have their own technology for avoiding detection there's no need to use tech from nuclear subs.

Sorry but for the most part, a lot of quieting stuff between conventionals and nuclear subs are in fact common. "Quieting" a nuclear reactor is quite obvious, to use as much natural circulation for cooling and reduce the need for circulation pumps as much as possible.

What are the common stuff? Among other things,

The anecholic tiles.
The adhesive to attach them and keep them attach for a long time.
The coatings applied throughout, inside and outside of the hull.
The elastic or liquid shock mounts for the powerplant.


To go back to what you mentioned previously about Taiwan building its own, if it can access "quiet technology" anyway then there's no point in the USN objecting to its use as the Chinese could get their hands on it if Taiwan passed it over.

Regardless whether the sub is made in the US or in Taiwan, the US will certainly not allow to pass classified quieting technologies. But if you built them in Taiwan, you are not stuck for the US as an information source. You can access European sources and still cover your tracks through plausible deniability.


And who is not to say if the USN tries to sabotage a project like this (given what you've said it has done in the past) that has a lot of congressional support, Congress decides it's the straw that breaks the camel's back and cuts funding such that the USN can only build SSKs or see its submarine fleet shrink?

This does not really have much congressional support to begin with. And regardless, any shipmaker in the US does not wish to inquire the ire of USN admirals as that can affect any future long term contracts.
 
D

Deleted member 675

Guest
And they seemed to have already done that. They have drawn a line in the sand.

Some may have done that, but I disagree the organisation as a whole has. Besides, they have to obey the chain-of-command - it will depend in part how serious the administration takes this.

I never said that 8 submarines won't make a difference.

You said:

the 8 subs probably won't matter much, the ports would be so blockaded anyway and so deeply outnumbered by the PRC subs they won't stand a chance anyway

Rather sounds to me like you believe they won't make a difference.

Block 52+ for a delivery date of 2012 isn't very impressive for the way it sounds, because while it is adequete for today, even today it is teetering at the edge of obsolescence.

You didn't say anything about obsolescence, you said that Taiwan isn't trusted with it. Taiwan probably could have got the sale authorised in 2006 when it first asked for the 66 fighters, but due to dragging its feet over the budget and the political squabbling it has been delayed.

Sorry but Taiwan does need something like an Arleigh Burke, or at least rapid fire VLS.

crobato, I would appreciate it if you could take more care to ensure you don't misread what I say. I never said Taiwan does not need any VLS ship that can engage multiple targets at a time. I talked about the Arleigh Burke itself. If something smaller could be built that would be great. If only the AB is available, well I doubt people wouldn't complain that much.

Modified Perry design without VLS won't work either.

I believe the design used the Mk-41 VLS.

Sorry but for the most part, a lot of quieting stuff between conventionals and nuclear subs are in fact common..... But if you built them in Taiwan, you are not stuck for the US as an information source. You can access European sources and still cover your tracks through plausible deniability.

So in that case why is the USN going to worry about tech getting to China? Crobato, you often try to have your cake and eat it. On the one hand you allege that Taiwan can get whatever it needs through a little subversion - that rather suggests China can do the same. Yet you also say the USN will take out these things in case China can access them, despite the fact that according to your logic China already has access!

Crobato, as much as I have respect for you I cannot believe that you know all and see all, whereas the USN sees and knows nothing. If you "know" that Taiwan (and thus China) can get its hands on quietening technology, then the USN knows this too and thus would not object to such parts being used in the Taiwanese submarine design for fear of them falling into Beijing's hands.

And regardless, any shipmaker in the US does not wish to inquire the ire of USN admirals as that can affect any future long term contracts.

The USN wouldn't have a choice if its budget was reduced to the point where it couldn't have enough boats with an all-nuclear fleet.
 

crobato

Colonel
VIP Professional
Some may have done that, but I disagree the organisation as a whole has. Besides, they have to obey the chain-of-command - it will depend in part how serious the administration takes this.

Which they're not. That's another thing.


Rather sounds to me like you believe they won't make a difference.

8 subs won't, but if you have the ability to make your own subs without being vulnerable to foreign whims and so on, you will have an easier option to build a lot more that can finally make the difference. Not to mention the control of the technology.

You didn't say anything about obsolescence, you said that Taiwan isn't trusted with it. Taiwan probably could have got the sale authorised in 2006 when it first asked for the 66 fighters, but due to dragging its feet over the budget and the political squabbling it has been delayed.

The Bush administration is the one that made those preconditions. It could have easily said yes even without those preconditions.

You seem to think that the squabbling is all the KMT's fault. Take a look again at democracies everywhere, that's typical. What everyone wants to is push their own version of a said bill so they can get credit for it. Its also as much as the DPP's fault since they obviously made it a point they cannot work together.

crobato, I would appreciate it if you could take more care to ensure you don't misread what I say. I never said Taiwan does not need any VLS ship that can engage multiple targets at a time. I talked about the Arleigh Burke itself. If something smaller could be built that would be great. If only the AB is available, well I doubt people wouldn't complain that much.

I believe the design used the Mk-41 VLS.

No, the Kidds do not have Mk-41 VLS. The radar on the Kidds are not on the same class as the SPY-1D either, when it comes to multiple tracking and engagement, although some of the arrangement of the Kidd's radars suggest they can better detect and track sea skimmers at range.

So in that case why is the USN going to worry about tech getting to China? Crobato, you often try to have your cake and eat it. On the one hand you allege that Taiwan can get whatever it needs through a little subversion - that rather suggests China can do the same. Yet you also say the USN will take out these things in case China can access them, despite the fact that according to your logic China already has access!

What? You don't know anything do you? Just because the Seawolf and the Type 212 for example use quieting technologies that work on the same principles does not mean these technologies through their implementation are exactly the same.

They would for example, produce different and unique sound signatures that can let you identify which sub you are dealing with.

Of course, the USN and the other two services, worries about their techs going to China and will try whatever is in their power to stop this. And they won't take chances even with remotely possible ones. Not even Japan and other close allies are exempted from this suspicion.

And I am not talking about subversion. I am talking about Taiwan working deals with the European companies to help develop a sub under plausible deniability and under civilian auspices. If China is able to get MTU engines for its submarines as dual use, why not Taiwan? This is for an example.


Crobato, as much as I have respect for you I cannot believe that you know all and see all, whereas the USN sees and knows nothing. If you "know" that Taiwan (and thus China) can get its hands on quietening technology, then the USN knows this too and thus would not object to such parts being used in the Taiwanese submarine design for fear of them falling into Beijing's hands.

That does not change the fact that for example, Seawolf class acoustic technologies will be classified and inaccessible, and that it will be easier to get hypothetically, assistance and technologies from HDW or Kockums (makers of the Type 212 and Gotland class respectively).

The USN wouldn't have a choice if its budget was reduced to the point where it couldn't have enough boats with an all-nuclear fleet.

Dream on.

I just think you are way too wishy washy about this.
 
D

Deleted member 675

Guest
8 subs won't

Eh, so now you're saying they won't?! First you said:

the 8 subs probably won't matter much

Then it was:

I never said that 8 submarines won't make a difference

Now we're back to:

8 subs won't

Please, make your mind up and stick with one position.

but if you have the ability to make your own subs without being vulnerable to foreign whims and so on, you will have an easier option to build a lot more that can finally make the difference.

And how many submarines does Taiwan need to operate and of what standard do they need to be? I'll say it again, if Taiwan can accord to buy more than eight submarines made locally it could place a larger order with the US.

Yes there are advantages to a domestic industry, but that's not related to whether having 8 SSKs is enough or not. Furthermore if Taiwan couldn't keep whatever submarine business it developed going it would be a horrible waste - the Dutch could tell you all about that.

The Bush administration is the one that made those preconditions.

How does that show America doesn't trust Taiwan with technology?

You seem to think that the squabbling is all the KMT's fault.

Well the KMT wanted all this stuff when they were in power, and they had more than enough votes to pass the arms purchases with the government's allies. The fact they did a complete U-turn on the Patriot and SSK money without giving any reason shows they were being cynical with their nation's defence - it was down to the upcoming elections.

What everyone wants to is push their own version of a said bill so they can get credit for it.

The KMT did not propose its own version of the bill - it just modified the central government budget.

No, the Kidds do not have Mk-41 VLS. The radar on the Kidds are not on the same class as the SPY-1D either, when it comes to multiple tracking and engagement, although some of the arrangement of the Kidd's radars suggest they can better detect and track sea skimmers at range.

crobato, what are you talking about? I never said the Kidds had a VLS. I said that the modified Perry design offered to Taiwan had a Mark 41 and a SPY radar.

What? You don't know anything do you? Just because the Seawolf and the Type 212 for example use quieting technologies that work on the same principles does not mean these technologies through their implementation are exactly the same.

This is rich you saying I don't know anything. I said earlier on:

I meant any highly classified stuff that is exclusively used in nuclear-powered submarines that might work its way into the design. Given there are "quiet" SSKs that have their own technology for avoiding detection there's no need to use tech from nuclear subs.

Then you complained that for the most part, a lot of quieting stuff between conventionals and nuclear subs are in fact common.

Now you're back to saying what I was getting at, that the SSKs wouldn't need to use SSN technology to be quiet.

Am I talking to the same person, or is there more than one personality inside crobato? It really is like having a conversation with more than one person - or at least someone who doesn't remember what he said a few days ago.

it will be easier to get hypothetically, assistance and technologies from HDW or Kockums (makers of the Type 212 and Gotland class respectively)

So why can't the US get such help? And why would the USN be worried about co-operation like that in regards to the security of its own technology? (Leave aside the issue of competitve SSKs being designed/built in the US.)

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A full article that confirms what has been previously said:

2008 budget is $10.5 billion
4 PAC-3 batteries
30 AH-64D-II Apache helicopters
SSK R&D money
 
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crobato

Colonel
VIP Professional
Eh, so now you're saying they won't?! First you said:

the 8 subs probably won't matter much

Then it was:

I never said that 8 submarines won't make a difference

Now we're back to:

8 subs won't

Please, make your mind up and stick with one position.

And what is the context of the remaining statements that I have said, huh? You duly edited them out.

8 subs won't make that much of a difference but 16, or 24, maybe down the decade or two, that's all going to make a difference, plus the fact you have control of its development. The fact that you can build domestically relieves you from the political circus of dealing with US politics.

And how many submarines does Taiwan need to operate and of what standard do they need to be? I'll say it again, if Taiwan can accord to buy more than eight submarines made locally it could place a larger order with the US.

And how many times do I have to stuff it into your head that the USN does not appear to be willing to let any US shipyard make a diesel sub in the US again. They have known this issue since 2001 and before that, and they're not going to make an exception.

Yes there are advantages to a domestic industry, but that's not related to whether having 8 SSKs is enough or not. Furthermore if Taiwan couldn't keep whatever submarine business it developed going it would be a horrible waste - the Dutch could tell you all about that.

The advantages of having a domestic industry is simple. You don't have to rely on foreign pressure and whims.

The loss of domestic defense industry, read IDF, has not made Taiwan any easier to defend, and in fact, the PLA has not just closed the technology gap but is now even forging ahead at a faster rate of implement.

How does that show America doesn't trust Taiwan with technology?

Ask Mr. Wen Ho Lee.


Well the KMT wanted all this stuff when they were in power, and they had more than enough votes to pass the arms purchases with the government's allies. The fact they did a complete U-turn on the Patriot and SSK money without giving any reason shows they were being cynical with their nation's defence - it was down to the upcoming elections.

Go ahead and fault the KMT for something every party in any democracy would do, which is to shut down their opposition's proposal and submit their own.

Live with it buddy, that's part of being a democracy.

The KMT did not propose its own version of the bill - it just modified the central government budget.

That's still part of being a democracy.

crobato, what are you talking about? I never said the Kidds had a VLS. I said that the modified Perry design offered to Taiwan had a Mark 41 and a SPY radar.

That's the small frigate version, the baby version.

This is rich you saying I don't know anything. I said earlier on:

I meant any highly classified stuff that is exclusively used in nuclear-powered submarines that might work its way into the design. Given there are "quiet" SSKs that have their own technology for avoiding detection there's no need to use tech from nuclear subs.

Then you complained that for the most part, a lot of quieting stuff between conventionals and nuclear subs are in fact common.

It does not change the bottom line the US would not share their PARTICULAR implementation of said technologies. Just because you already have anecholic tile technology and its adhesives from someone else, does not give the US the reason to share their OWN implementation to you.

Now you're back to saying what I was getting at, that the SSKs wouldn't need to use SSN technology to be quiet.

Am I talking to the same person, or is there more than one personality inside crobato? It really is like having a conversation with more than one person - or at least someone who doesn't remember what he said a few days ago.

The problem is that you don't seem to understand or differentiate ownership of technology. Read this, just because you have acquired someone's version of X technology, does not mean the US is willing to share its version of X technology to you.

So why can't the US get such help? And why would the USN be worried about co-operation like that in regards to the security of its own technology? (Leave aside the issue of competitve SSKs being designed/built in the US.)

I already told you again and again, the USN does not want to build diesel subs on its home soil again and that is a deeply religious issue. Even if the ship builder assumes that they will try to obtain the technologies from out of the country, that's still going to cast a review. Furthermore, by outsourcing, you will inflate the costs even further.

For crying out loud, there is not even a formal proposal made by Electric Boat or whoever. Meaning you have not gone into any serious paper yet. You don't even have firm specs even to draw a realistic budget model, and this is already 2008.

While you keep yapping and putting lip service on rather trivial actions such as money for "research", a new sub comes out from the mainland every two or three months.

The way I see it its kind of like the Japan F-22 issue, you want this to be a symbolic test of US commitment to its dear allies. Don't expect too much.
 

flyzies

Junior Member
The absolute bottom line for Taiwan getting new subs is this - build it yourself or tough luck.
Because only by a miracle will US build a SSK again, and IF that happens itll be so far into the future it probably wont give Taiwan as much edge as it would if built 2day. (And thats putting it very lightly...)
 
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