Given China's weak helicopter industry and lack of large capacity helicopters, I don't think having LHA is realistic in the foreseeable future. In my opinion, they money would be better spent on procuring another aircraft carrier. The reason being that an aircraft carrier can take the role of a helicopter carrier when needed, while a helicopter carrier cannot take on fixed wing aircraft and act as an aircraft carrier.
Well going by the chart (as dubious as it is) the first 075 will be finished constructing by end of 2014. They'll need a year or two to iron out the kinks. By 2015, 2016 it isn't implausible the PLA should have a decent number of helicopters to embark aboard a LHD.
Don't know about the whole list but I think we can assume a LHD is under development as is a indigenous carrier
We already seen Type 052D and new frigate will show up soon enough
Future speculation on a larger DDG or 10,000 CG is also believable
Talk about a Type 052E and LSD/LPD or whatever is bit far fetched at this point
Why would an LPD be far fetched? They've only produced 3 071s you would expect them to produce a few more.
But I too am slightly surprised they would continue production on what would supposedly be a development continuing from 052D... But I suppose they need to continue producing something in the 8000 ton class to replace continuing aging DDGs while 055 I believe may be an entirely new hierarchy in the fleet.
----
I hope no western "analyst" who reads this forum takes this thread seriously. Seeing this kind of prediction and taking it seriously would make them freak.
It's nice, I always thought the three fleets together should end up having 6 LPDs and 3 LHDs collectively, which would act as a good "critical mass" for the PLAN's expected missions from medium to long term.
The carrier production prediction is also somewhat similar to what we'd expect, that we'd have the first two conventional carriers buitl from now up to 2020, and a nuclear carrier starting construction sometime around 2020.
The presence of so many 055s building is a nice surprise, but considering a 10k ton vessel isn't that much bigger than 8k ton, 8+ 055s from built from 2014 to 2020 isn't beyond belief. Surely it won't only be JNCX building the 055s and 052D/Es, though?
054B's construction from 2013 is also interesting, and not unexpected.
The large numbers of 095s does somewhat deviate from 093's "four batch a class" which many expected to be followed for 095 as well. If they build so many PLAN must really be satisfied with its performance.
Either way, this decade will be an interesting one to watch, and I suspect will make the PLAN's ship construction in the 2000s look laughable (regardless of how accurate this chart is)