Re: Should China develope Space Shuttle to transport minerals and resources from Moo
What drives exploration/risk taking (both on earth, historically) is egoism, greed, and rivalry.
China has egoism (restoration of Superpower glory, respect from others), and rivalry (competition against other Great powers), but greed does not exist (economic incentives for moon base is hard to justify with current technologies).
Just as New World was colonized over centuries and was initially an resources draining endeavor with many failures, the colonization of moon and space will be a long term process, with many blunders, risks, losses, etc...
As technology gets better, the economic incentive will rise to commensurate with the moon's vast potential, and there in lies the first mover advantage (see 950 million descendants of European settlers/risk takers in New World over four-five centuries and lots of failures)
There is no point to any permanent manned lunar outpost at current. The subjectivism displayed by some people in thrashing about to seek redress for past inadequacies is unfortunate. One should be more empirical in judging one's own actions. There is no first mover advantage in committing blunders.
What drives exploration/risk taking (both on earth, historically) is egoism, greed, and rivalry.
China has egoism (restoration of Superpower glory, respect from others), and rivalry (competition against other Great powers), but greed does not exist (economic incentives for moon base is hard to justify with current technologies).
Just as New World was colonized over centuries and was initially an resources draining endeavor with many failures, the colonization of moon and space will be a long term process, with many blunders, risks, losses, etc...
As technology gets better, the economic incentive will rise to commensurate with the moon's vast potential, and there in lies the first mover advantage (see 950 million descendants of European settlers/risk takers in New World over four-five centuries and lots of failures)
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