Look at the scream of that engine
Does anyone here read or speak Russian or are familiar with what this is?
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The Shahed 136 drone is so useful because it's cheaper and easier to make than even the most simple anti air missiles like MANPADS. As long as the enemy hasn't learned how to bring them down with electronic warfare, any missile spent on shooting done a drone can't shoot down a more valuable target. At the same time, the warhead of the Shahed 136 is also big enough that you can't just ignore it. Plus, more capable drones/missiles might be hiding among a larger number of simple drones.Xi Yazhou's weekly show, this time talking about kamikazi-UAV/pseudo cruise missile in the context of the recent Russian airstrikes.
He first pointed out that Shahed-136/Geran-2, on account of its small warhead, moderate range and cheap price intended to be used in mass should conceptually thought of as fancy MLRS rounds instead of low grade cruise missile. The reason for the cheapness is partly to do with size and partly because you're using an engine that's only a small step above an RC plane, guidance package that's about as complex as a smart phone's gyroscope and GPS. This results in a weapon that's easy to intercept for air defense but due to their numbers when used in large enough number they can penetrate any air defense.
The downside is the warhead. With only a 50kg warhead it won't be effective against a lot of targets you may want to hit. If you try to scale it up to a 450kg warhead you necessarily need to give it a much more military like and expensive engine, this drives up the cost enough that you have to worry about getting shot down by air defense so it then also need fancy guidance and in the end you'll just end up with a Tomahawk or Kalibr.
One suggestion out of this dilemma he suggests is for Russia to go down the same path as PLA's J-6 UAV. J-6 UAV can pack 2 tons of explosive all together, is much faster than Shahed-136 and is actually not that much more expensive given the air frame is sunk cost and you just need to pay for the conversion kit.
Instead of Mig-19 though he suggest Russia's stockpile of Mig-23 could be used for this. If they can get help from certain companies already experienced in this work such converted drone missiles could be available in a number of month. Their main disadvantage - that of hogging runway time would not be a large drawback in this war given plentiful military airfields in western Russia and the fact that VKS isn't making that many sorties a day.
Agree, the MiG-23 is an odd choice. Mig-21 would be better as Russia probably has thousands of them somewhere. I would prefer them to be used in a suicide AA drone role, but if they're desperate it'll make a very powerful missile. 2 tons of HE + fuel + the kinetic energy is going to do a lot of damage.I don't think that's gonna work very well. Mig-23 are notoriously maintenance intensive and getting them out of the graveyard is gonna be such a hassle that it isn't going to worth it.
I don't know about MiG-23, but most of F-14's maintenance headache comes from the variable swept wings right? Assuming it's similar with MiG-23 for these sort of "Last Hurrah" mission don't worry about maintaining the wing mechanism, just set the wings to some optimum sweep angle on the ground before take off and bolt it down so it can't move.Agree, the MiG-23 is an odd choice. Mig-21 would be better as Russia probably has thousands of them somewhere. I would prefer them to be used in a suicide AA drone role, but if they're desperate it'll make a very powerful missile. 2 tons of HE + fuel + the kinetic energy is going to do a lot of damage.
Maintaince shouldn't be an issue whatever platform is choosen. It only needs to take off and fly for half an hour. The main reason I thought the MiG-21 was better because of the abundance of them - a lot of the Mig-23s have probably been cannibalised for spares.I don't know about MiG-23, but most of F-14's maintenance headache comes from the variable swept wings right? Assuming it's similar with MiG-23 for these sort of "Last Hurrah" mission don't worry about maintaining the wing mechanism, just set the wings to some optimum sweep angle on the ground before take off and bolt it down so it can't move.
That said I agree, whatever is available and works. MiG-21 if available would work fine too, PLAAF also has J-7 UAVs so there's even precedent.
This is bollocks. The US chopped up the F-14s and destroyed the tooling because Dick Cheney wanted to cut that program out and make it totally impossible to recover. Iran was just an excuse. Iran also has F-4 Phantom fighters and other US aircraft in larger numbers and nothing like that was done to those aircraft.Off topic but F-14s maintaince reputation was a myth, look how long the Iranians kept theirs airworthy for. The Americans just wanted to retire them after 9/11 to stop the Iranians from maintaining their fleet. Third party suppliers were selling to the Iranians and the MIC figured the only way to stop it was to chop up their F-14 fleet.
Agree, the MiG-23 is an odd choice. Mig-21 would be better as Russia probably has thousands of them somewhere. I would prefer them to be used in a suicide AA drone role, but if they're desperate it'll make a very powerful missile. 2 tons of HE + fuel + the kinetic energy is going to do a lot of damage.
Well, why not just build more Kh-101's or Kalibr's...
If the purpose is to decoy air defense.. well You know, Russia can just use their old target drones, then add Luneburg lens or other RCS enhancement technique to make it look like aircraft. and they actually done so in the early phase of the war.
Target drones based on M-23 does exist. Although im not sure how many are there or how easy it is to convert into cruise missile. Still why not just build more dedicated cruise missile instead.
Soviet or Russians did build Missile based on MiG-19 which is the Kh-20 (AS-3 Kangaroo) and they actually use MiG-19 suspended from Tu-95 to emulate the missile. Still, the flying article of the missile is a dedicated airframe which does not really share anything with MiG-19's except wing sweep.
Mig-23 drones being shot down could possibly give propaganda fuel as Mig-23 is still in operational reserve and are a more modern plane, so they can claim Russian desperation.Xi Yazhou's weekly show, this time talking about kamikazi-UAV/pseudo cruise missile in the context of the recent Russian airstrikes.
He first pointed out that Shahed-136/Geran-2, on account of its small warhead, moderate range and cheap price intended to be used in mass should conceptually thought of as fancy MLRS rounds instead of low grade cruise missile. The reason for the cheapness is partly to do with size and partly because you're using an engine that's only a small step above an RC plane, guidance package that's about as complex as a smart phone's gyroscope and GPS. This results in a weapon that's easy to intercept for air defense but due to their numbers when used in large enough number they can penetrate any air defense.
The downside is the warhead. With only a 50kg warhead it won't be effective against a lot of targets you may want to hit. If you try to scale it up to a 450kg warhead you necessarily need to give it a much more military like and expensive engine, this drives up the cost enough that you have to worry about getting shot down by air defense so it then also need fancy guidance and in the end you'll just end up with a Tomahawk or Kalibr.
One suggestion out of this dilemma he suggests is for Russia to go down the same path as PLA's J-6 UAV. J-6 UAV can pack 2 tons of explosive all together, is much faster than Shahed-136 and is actually not that much more expensive given the air frame is sunk cost and you just need to pay for the conversion kit.
Instead of Mig-19 though he suggest Russia's stockpile of Mig-23 could be used for this. If they can get help from certain companies already experienced in this work such converted drone missiles could be available in a number of month. Their main disadvantage - that of hogging runway time would not be a large drawback in this war given plentiful military airfields in western Russia and the fact that VKS isn't making that many sorties a day.