Renminbi (RMB)/Yuan Appreciation & Internationalization

Biscuits

Major
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Is CIPS trade volume data publically available like SWIFT? At a glance on google I can't seem to find it.

A theory I've been hearing is with CIPS usage increasing it provides PBoC an information asymmetry advantage since they have access to both SWIFT and CIPS data, while US government only have SWIFT. Thus CPC has an increasingly more complete picture of global trade compared to US government. Does this theory hold water?
Afaik only China and whoever did the transaction has access to the data. Which is interesting because like you say, such an arrangement only really benefits China (in terms of information) and is a minor drawback for other parties, yet in practice, nations still can't stop hugely lining up for CIPS.
 

tphuang

Lieutenant General
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tphuang

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Syria is a pretty small fish, but the goal is to get more MENA countries to use Yuan, especially Saudis & UAE. Not just start to use Yuan for some oil trade, but use Yuan for most of their trading with China

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yep, RMB's new role is to busting Western sanctions. In fact, the main tool here is not RMB, but CIPS. I don't know how they can properly measure RMB usage when they only look at SWIFT data.
 

pipaster

Junior Member
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This layup joke not being used in their thread has been bugging me for a while.

So here goes, I like the Yuan!

Apologies to everyone.
 

luminary

Senior Member
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Another big question is what would the end of Yen carry trade do to USD? Imagine when BOJ no longer defends a 0% interest rate and all that JPY comes back
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Somebody really should pull a George Soros and short the Yen (and USD) when the time comes.

We'll call it the "2024 G7 financial crisis".
 

BlackWindMnt

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tphuang

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I don't see how that is possible, when even Korea is going to be using its own currencies to trade with Indonesia. Both countries have non-deliverable currencies
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They are more restricted currencies than RMB.

EUR is the 2nd most active currency out there and there really isn't that much oil/gas trading between the nations.
 
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