QBZ-191 service rifle family

by78

General
Which one? The former assumes that one side or the other has sufficient air/naval control to successfully conduct and maintain an amphibious operation, but insufficient control to deny it to an adversary—a very fine line, if it even exists at all. I certainly can't think of any plausible battlefield which does not hugely favor one side or the other.

The latter is a given from the enormous disparity in resources put into training/equipment/etc on both an individual and army level.

Not going to derail the thread by going into possible conflicts in the near or medium term. The job of the military is to be prepared for a wide range of conflict scenarios, big or small, short-term or long-term, and not be limited to a select possible few that garner the most headlines and speculation. The cost of a handguard with a basic metal rail is 30 to 40 USD at most. Multiply that by a few million spread out over the next 20 to 25 years (QBZ-191/192s are stated to be the main service rifle over that timespan), the total bill is relative immaterial compared to the overall budget: less than a single 052D destroyer. The cost of infantrymen killed or injured because their accessories won't hold zero is in all probability (much) greater. There is prioritizing budgets wisely, then there is sheer bean counting stupidity.
 

Neurosmith

Junior Member
Registered Member
The PLA does seem to cheap out on a lot of stuff.

But in the end, it's a balance between cost and effectiveness. You can choose to either arm 15% of your personnel with fully-decked-out 191s or 85% of your men with more "vanilla" 191s (numbers are arbitrary). Whether the former is more effective than the latter in the grand scheme of a conflict is up to the commanders and tacticians.

On the topic, though, there does seem to be an MLOK upgraded 191:
F4CQs6ibwAAhMJH.jpg
 

Wrought

Junior Member
Registered Member
Not going to derail the thread by going into possible conflicts in the near or medium term. The job of the military is to be prepared for a wide range of conflict scenarios, big or small, short-term or long-term, and not be limited to a select possible few that garner the most headlines and speculation. The cost of a handguard with a basic metal rail is 30 to 40 USD at most. Multiply that by a few million spread out over the next 20 to 25 years (QBZ-191/192s are stated to be the main service rifle over that timespan), the total bill is relative immaterial compared to the overall budget: less than a single 052D destroyer. The cost of infantrymen killed or injured because their accessories won't hold zero is in probability (much) greater. There is prioritizing budgets wisely, then there is sheer bean counting stupidity.

The PLAGF bean counters in question are presumably thinking not about destroyers, but rather about the obsolete tanks/towed guns/etc still in service which are competing for the same budget. And I would agree that prioritizing such platforms is the sensible choice over rifles.

PLAN having ample funding is a different topic, but the chances of navy funds going to army priorities is a lot lower than the other way around.
 

by78

General
The PLAGF bean counters in question are presumably thinking not about destroyers, but rather about the obsolete tanks/towed guns/etc still in service which are competing for the same budget. And I would agree that prioritizing such platforms is the sensible choice over rifles.

PLAN having ample funding is a different topic, but the chances of navy funds going to army priorities is a lot lower than the other way around.

I used 052D as an example. If you prefer, the cost of mere 100 to 150 Type 99 MBTs is likely to cover the upgrade of hardguards. The economic cost of losing a soldier to death or permanent disability –– I'm talking about the loss of their economic potential as able-bodied men who can contribute to the national economy after their discharge and the cost of long-term medical care –– is likely to far exceed the very minor upfront cost savings of equipping the infantry with a compromised rifle design. There is no way around this simple calculation, unless you're of the view that Chinese peasants' sole purpose is to grow food in peace time and serve as fodder in war. China is long past the point of throwing away lives so needlessly.
 

Neurosmith

Junior Member
Registered Member
I used 052D as an example. If you prefer, the cost of mere 100 to 150 Type 99 MBTs is likely to cover the upgrade of hardguards. The economic cost of losing a soldier to death or permanent disability –– I'm talking about the loss of their economic potential as able-bodied men that can participate in national economy after their discharge and the cost of long-term medical care –– is likely to far exceed the very minor upfront cost savings of equipping the infantry with a compromised rifle design. There is no way around this simple calculation, unless you're of the view that Chinese peasants' sole purpose are to grow food in peace time and serve as fodder in war. China is long past the point of throwing away lives so needlessly.
This logic could be applied to just about any piece of equipment within the PLA. However, with a limited budget and a large standing army, compromises will have to be made. Drawing from your Type 99 MBT thought experiment, equipping all of your men with fully-upgraded QBZ-191s might mean that 150 of your tank crews would need to face enemy armor/missiles with ZTZ-96Bs rather than ZTZ-99As. The economic cost of losing entire tank crews might just outweigh the risks associated with a slightly-less-capable rifle setup.
 

Wrought

Junior Member
Registered Member
I used 052D as an example. If you prefer, the cost of mere 100 to 150 Type 99 MBTs is likely to cover the upgrade of hardguards. The economic cost of losing a soldier to death or permanent disability –– I'm talking about the loss of their economic potential as able-bodied men who can contribute to the national economy after their discharge and the cost of long-term medical care –– is likely to far exceed the very minor upfront cost savings of equipping the infantry with a compromised rifle design. There is no way around this simple calculation, unless you're of the view that Chinese peasants' sole purpose is to grow food in peace time and serve as fodder in war. China is long past the point of throwing away lives so needlessly.

I think framing the military in terms of economic potential is fundamentally wrong from the start. The entire institution is a giant loss-making money pit, one which should be allocated only as much resources as strictly necessary. The rest can be invested far more productively into the civilian economy.

The military resources you do invest must be prioritized not by economic efficiency but by maximum capability. And in that regard, I do think several hundred modern MBTs is of considerably greater value than a slightly-improved standard rifle. The former can be concentrated into an armored spearhead; the latter is a dispersed and diffuse capability whose benefit cannot even be reliably measured, but certainly won't be breaking through any front lines.
 

by78

General
This logic could be applied to just about any piece of equipment within the PLA. However, with a limited budget and a large standing army, compromises will have to be made. Drawing from your Type 99 MBT thought experiment, equipping all of your men with fully-upgraded QBZ-191s might mean that 150 of your tank crews would need to face enemy armor/missiles with ZTZ-96Bs rather than ZTZ-99As. The economic cost of losing entire tank crews might just outweigh the risks associated with a slightly-less-capable rifle setup.

The use Type 99 was an example to illustrate how cheaply the handguards can be upgraded across a 25 year span, not as a thought experiment.
 

by78

General
I think framing the military in terms of economic potential is fundamentally wrong from the start. The entire institution is a giant loss-making money pit, one which should be allocated only as much resources as strictly necessary. The rest can be invested far more productively into the civilian economy.

The military resources you do invest must be prioritized not by economic efficiency but by maximum capability. And in that regard, I do think several hundred modern MBTs is of considerably greater value than a slightly-improved standard rifle. The former can be concentrated into an armored spearhead; the latter is a dispersed and diffuse capability whose benefit cannot even be reliably measured.

You need to re-read my comment. I wasn't talking about the military's economic potential, I was talking about the economic potential of grunts after they have been discharged from the military and/or when a conflict is over.
 

Wrought

Junior Member
Registered Member
You need to re-read my comment. I wasn't talking about the military's economic potential, I was talking about the economic potential of grunts after they have been discharged from the military/or when a conflict is over.

Worrying about what happens after the conflict is a luxury awarded to the victor with a functioning society/economy/institutions/etc. I can only imagine said victor would be happy to face such problems if and when they arise.
 

Neurosmith

Junior Member
Registered Member
The use Type 99 was an example to illustrate how cheaply the handguards can be upgraded across a 25 year span, not as a thought experiment.
Fair enough, but the point still stands; PLA brass obviously has different priorities for the money saved by not upgrading the rifles' handguards. Each individual upgrade plan (such as handguards for service rifles) may seem to be low-cost as a standalone project, but aggregate the hundreds of millions of such possible upgrades across the PLA inventory and suddenly the cost becomes astronomical.

I can opine that the PLA is better off upgrading all of its Z-10 helicopters with MMW radar, graphene armor, upward-facing exhausts, and a new 30mm gun, and make all the arguments for the said upgrades saving lives, but the PLA management obviously does their own assessment in the context of the PLA as a whole.
 
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