Interesting. Looks like they'll be seeking to maintain a small, possibly enduring presence in the Mediterranean for the foreseeable future.
With their permanent three ship presence off Africa, and the stationing of a frigate in the Mediterranean, I can see them as the collection point for a greater PLAN presence to grow upon in future. Maybe add one more ship, over the next few years, maybe two, a few years later maybe throw in a permanent LPD or LHA, then a few years after that maybe add in a destroyer and another AOR, maybe an SSN for long endurance exercise, and before you know it you'll have a permanently stationed SAG, CSG, or quasi ARG there within a decade.
Well this is really the question
When we are talking about strategic naval locations we first need a thorough understanding of world naval affairs and what will likely happen in the future
The USN under the new Optimized Fleet response plan (OFRP) starting in 2015 will cut the number of US super carriers on station and ready for combat in half from the current 4-5 to around 2-3
Admiral Bill Gortney head of fleet forces command stated this on the Naval institute website last month
OFRP means home training less deployments in the end saving money because deployment cost lots of $$$, it come from budget cuts mandated by the Sequestration laws
It also cuts the number of deployed ships out of 283 to around 70 down from 81 today with 45 based in the Pacific
Just a lot of numbers you say big deal what's the bigger picture? Bigger picture is this, USN will likely drop a carrier strike group from the Mediterranean and this responsibility will fall to the Royal Navy with its own two super carriers cus let's be honest Americans are really doing a lot for UK in terms of pilots and carrier training it's not for nothing they need these two RN carriers to pick up the slack while USN does the "Pacific Pivot"
Two permanent stations for USN will be Western Pacific and Persian Gulf rest of the operations will whine down while they will still deploy two amphibious assault ships
Europe will have to look after itself and also keep a eye on Russia while US-Japan move into the Pacific region which really leaves the Indian Ocean to India and China
CCP has outlined that they will need a four axis approach to the Indian Ocean which means 3 overseas bases, one in the South (Seyschelles) one in the West (East Coast of Africa) one in the North (Gwader) China itself is the fourth position
Each naval bases will have a Flotilla of warships around DDF, FFG and replenishment tanker these bases will provide stops and rest, repairs, overhaul, replacement parts, logistics and everything else that a Chinese carrier strike group requires far away from home, the anti-piracy missions have given PLAN all the knowledge and experience there's even talk of getting 3D printers on Chinese warships to build spare parts when far away from home
China has in the place the stratedgy for Indian Ocean and along with it the entire needs to go with it
So going back to the question will China be permanently based in the Mediterranean answer is no, will they have a more routine presence defiantly yes because they are building the bridges to get closer
Right now China is racing against India to get into the Indian Ocean I believe they will win this race as a matter of fact I believe they have already won it India is too late in the game but will certainly make it's prescence felt, in addition to the 3 future carriers they have plans now for a LHD too
China isn't really that interested in the Mediterranean or even the Atlanic, they are more focused on Pacific and Indian Oceans