The next PLAN carrier will likely be a CATOBAR/STROBAR hybrid. Sort of like the Ulyanovsk class. It will be a Liaoning like ship with one or two catapults on the angled deck. This is for interoperability with the Liaoning. And the next carrier will be most likely a full CATOBAR carrier.
But i think that the module that we see in Shanghai will be more likely to be a LHD than a carrier.
I think that is in all likely a very possible scenario, after all the Liaoning is still a handicap in many ways because of its inherit design flaws which don’t make it as air centric as it can be, but again it was the Soviets designing and testing it before the moved on to a larger carrier programme
The Chinese have taken it as far as it can go, and that’s the best you’re going to get out of that platform, 2 x Squadrons of 12 x J15 Each, that’s 24 fighter aircraft
We have all heard China saying its next carrier will be larger air wing, which means they will likely establish 3 x Squadrons of 12 x J15 each, that’s 36 aircraft
Now if you want to lift 36 fighter aircraft your carrier has to be >65,000 ton bare minimum if not larger even 75,000 ton and if you go for 4 x Squadron’s we are talking super carriers closing in over 90,000 tons and 100,000 ton class, really your talking Nimitz territory now
I think China wont jump the gun and go for 4 x Squadron’s but likely go for 3 x Squadron’s meaning the next Chinese carrier will be say 65,000-75,000 tons with fixed wing AWACS which means we need two steam catapult from the angled deck, so that’s 2 catapults and 2 ski jumps bang on the Ulyanovsk design
And that is also a good learning and developmental curve, Liaoning carry’s 2 Squadron’s, CV-002 carry’s 3 x Squadrons, CV-003 and CV-004 carry’s 4 x Squadrons, Total naval squadrons from carriers is 13 x Squadrons or 156 fighter aircraft
Liaoning is conventional single class carrier
CV-002 is a conventional single class carrier bit like Ulyanovsk
CVN-003 and CVN-004 are nuclear powered Class carriers of which 2 are built
CV-002-CV-003 go to three fleet and Liaoning remains a “training carrier” but can be called upon for action