PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

00CuriousObserver

00CuriousObserver

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Registered Member
ACuriousPLAFan said:
The Eastern Theater Command of the PLA will conduct the "Justice Mission 2025" military exercise around the rebel island beginning today (December 29), with the no-entry zones stipulated in the map below in effect for tomorrow (December 30), from 8am till 6pm. Posted by the official Weibo account of CCTV-7.

The coordinates of the no-entey zones are outlined as follows:
(1) the area connected by 26°32′00″N, 121°40′00″E, 26°32′00″N, 122°36′00″E, 25°43′00″N, 122°36′00″E, and 25°43′00″N, 121°40′00″E;
(2) the area connected by 24°59′00″N, 120°04′00″E, 25°39′00″N, 121°13′00″E, 26°17′00″N, 121°13′00″E, and 25°37′00″N, 120°04′00″E;
(3) the area connected by 23°27′00″N, 118°14′00″E, 23°27′00″N, 119°13′00″E, 22°13′00″N, 119°44′00″E, and 22°13′00″N, 118°45′00″E;
(4) the area connected by 21°49′00″N, 119°16′00″E, 21°49′00″N, 121°00′00″E, 21°05′00″N, 121°00′00″E, and 21°05′00″N, 119°16′00″E;
(5) the area connected by 21°58′00″N, 121°40′00″E, 21°58′00″N, 122°28′00″E, 23°23′00″N, 122°28′00″E, and 23°23′00″N, 121°40′00″E.

View attachment 167089
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The exercise in the covered area will happen during the listed times, however the exercise overall will begin on the 29th.

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Senior Colonel Shi Yi, spokesperson of the PLA Eastern Theater Command: Starting from December 29, the PLA Eastern Theater Command is dispatching its Army, Navy, Air Force and Rocket Force troops to conduct joint military drills code-named “Justice Mission 2025” in the Taiwan Strait and areas to the north, southwest, southeast and east of the Taiwan Island, focusing on subjects of sea-air combat readiness patrol, joint seizure of comprehensive superiority, blockade on key ports and areas, as well as all-dimensional deterrence outside the island chain. With vessels and aircraft approaching the Taiwan Island in close proximity from different directions, troops of multiple services engage in joint assaults so as to test their joint operations capabilities. It is a stern warning against “Taiwan Independence” separatist forces, and it is a legitimate and necessary action to safeguard China’s sovereignty and national unity.
Click to expand...

Edit: this poster hints at the possibility of the exercise being a response to the recent sale.

Edit #2: ok they also directly mentioned the sale as the reason for "justice"
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dSMKSoZ.jpeg
 
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Phead128

Phead128

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ACuriousPLAFan said:
The Eastern Theater Command of the PLA will conduct the "Justice Mission 2025" military exercise around the rebel island beginning today (December 29), with the no-entry zones stipulated in the map below in effect for tomorrow (December 30), from 8am till 6pm. Posted by the official Weibo account of CCTV-7.

The coordinates of the no-entey zones are outlined as follows:
(1) the area connected by 26°32′00″N, 121°40′00″E, 26°32′00″N, 122°36′00″E, 25°43′00″N, 122°36′00″E, and 25°43′00″N, 121°40′00″E;
(2) the area connected by 24°59′00″N, 120°04′00″E, 25°39′00″N, 121°13′00″E, 26°17′00″N, 121°13′00″E, and 25°37′00″N, 120°04′00″E;
(3) the area connected by 23°27′00″N, 118°14′00″E, 23°27′00″N, 119°13′00″E, 22°13′00″N, 119°44′00″E, and 22°13′00″N, 118°45′00″E;
(4) the area connected by 21°49′00″N, 119°16′00″E, 21°49′00″N, 121°00′00″E, 21°05′00″N, 121°00′00″E, and 21°05′00″N, 119°16′00″E;
(5) the area connected by 21°58′00″N, 121°40′00″E, 21°58′00″N, 122°28′00″E, 23°23′00″N, 122°28′00″E, and 23°23′00″N, 121°40′00″E.

View attachment 167089
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Thank you Pelosi.

The fact China can normalize a virtual encirclement blockade for a day and no one bats an eye anymore because it's the new normal is kinda crazy. This is great realistic practice for a real encirclement training.
 
00CuriousObserver

00CuriousObserver

Senior Member
Registered Member
Initial thoughts: These zones are MASSIVE compared to past exercises like Joint Sword A, B, and Strait Thunder.

Also, the language on practicing a blockade and A2/AD operations is much clearer. Even the poster for the exercises demonstrates a clear intent to keep the U.S. and allies away from Taiwan.
Click to expand...

By @JaimeOcon1. We should see a map overlay anytime now...

Also, it's interesting how "all-dimensional deterrence outside the island chain" is written as 外线立体慑阻 in Chinese

Edit: here

BdUbXRJ.png
 
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L

leibowitz

Junior Member
00CuriousObserver said:
By @JaimeOcon1. We should see a map overlay anytime now...

Also, it's interesting how "all-dimensional deterrence outside the island chain" is written as 外线立体慑阻 in Chinese

Edit: here

BdUbXRJ.png
Click to expand...
Can someone overlay the 12nm territorial sea limit on this one? Want to see how close the exercises are getting.

China should straight up disrespect that limit as Taiwan's de facto boundaries are not defined de jure. Send a J-16 over the Taipei 101 dumping flares for one of the most iconic photos of the 21st century.
 
S

shiftenter

New Member
Registered Member
Former JASDF major general’s take on recent Chinese activities: BVR radar illumination over 150km suggest PLAAF's incapability or lack of confidence of dogfight; the most capable weapon on J-15 is the PL-12 so it cannot fire on target further than 100km.
I guess JSDF secretly procured time machine from Doraemon and send all the troops from 20 years ago. /s

1766975378817.png
 
manqiangrexue

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
shiftenter said:
Former JASDF major general’s take on recent Chinese activities: BVR radar illumination over 150km suggest PLAAF's incapability or lack of confidence of dogfight; the most capable weapon on J-15 is the PL-12 so it cannot fire on target further than 100km.
I guess JSDF secretly procured time machine from Doraemon and send all the troops from 20 years ago. /s

View attachment 167094
Click to expand...
They can ask the Indians if it's safe to assume that Chinese air to air missiles can't reach you from 100km away... but they won't get an honest answer. IAF pilot on strict orders to keep 300km or more between his Rafale and Pakistani airspace at all times be like, "No biggie; Chinese crap probably reaches 20-50km on a good day. Go for it."
 
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PiSigma

PiSigma

"the engineer"
shiftenter said:
Former JASDF major general’s take on recent Chinese activities: BVR radar illumination over 150km suggest PLAAF's incapability or lack of confidence of dogfight; the most capable weapon on J-15 is the PL-12 so it cannot fire on target further than 100km.
I guess JSDF secretly procured time machine from Doraemon and send all the troops from 20 years ago. /s

View attachment 167094
Click to expand...
Actually chinese missiles are only good for visual range. Japan should fly planes with no concerns for any chinese missiles.
 
Temstar

Temstar

Brigadier
Registered Member
shiftenter said:
Former JASDF major general’s take on recent Chinese activities: BVR radar illumination over 150km suggest PLAAF's incapability or lack of confidence of dogfight; the most capable weapon on J-15 is the PL-12 so it cannot fire on target further than 100km.
I guess JSDF secretly procured time machine from Doraemon and send all the troops from 20 years ago. /s

View attachment 167094
Click to expand...
Bro PLAAF flanker has gotten the upper hand on F-15J in dogfight many many times, here's a drawing depicting one famous case where the crowd at an air show saw JASDF doing emergency take off with F-15J so they knew something was happening.
vi1g-fxypunk6309486.jpg
 
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