PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

KFX said:

Another big challlenge for the PLA is that it's primary mission is keeping the CCP in power - not foreign conquest. Despite the big parades and all the nice kit we see on this excellent forum, the PLA is optimised to be loyal to the CCP, with combat as a secondary consideration. And regarding Taiwan, even assuming the PLA can, in a contengincy, invade it, what happens later? The CCP would be looking at a big insurgency because the majority of Taiwanese won't relish CCP rule. Yes, China has tons of good hardware, but does Xi trust his PLA guys to get the job done? Sure, he'll trust them to put down internal dissent. But can they be effective in a dynamic combat environment where somebody is shooting back? He certainly seems to doubt it!

Click to expand...

There's also the Coming Collapse of China™ to consider and the fact that 83% of the Chinese population is now above retirement age, all while China's youth unemployment is over 87%.

KFX said:

Another big challlenge for the PLA is that it's primary mission is keeping the CCP in power - not foreign conquest. Despite the big parades and all the nice kit we see on this excellent forum, the PLA is optimised to be loyal to the CCP, with combat as a secondary consideration. And regarding Taiwan, even assuming the PLA can, in a contengincy, invade it, what happens later? The CCP would be looking at a big insurgency because the majority of Taiwanese won't relish CCP rule. Yes, China has tons of good hardware, but does Xi trust his PLA guys to get the job done? Sure, he'll trust them to put down internal dissent. But can they be effective in a dynamic combat environment where somebody is shooting back? He certainly seems to doubt it!

Click to expand...

You will never be white.

KFX said:

Another big challlenge for the PLA is that it's primary mission is keeping the CCP in power - not foreign conquest. Despite the big parades and all the nice kit we see on this excellent forum, the PLA is optimised to be loyal to the CCP, with combat as a secondary consideration. And regarding Taiwan, even assuming the PLA can, in a contengincy, invade it, what happens later? The CCP would be looking at a big insurgency because the majority of Taiwanese won't relish CCP rule. Yes, China has tons of good hardware, but does Xi trust his PLA guys to get the job done? Sure, he'll trust them to put down internal dissent. But can they be effective in a dynamic combat environment where somebody is shooting back? He certainly seems to doubt it!

Click to expand...

wrong again
The goals of China military, the PLA.

1-To, as many militaries do, defend the country against foreign adversaries and make sure that if you bring war to them they will bring war to you, no matter where you are.
2- To defend the country territorial integrity by whatever means necessary.
3- To use overwhelming force to make sure that the country is never forced to sign any unfair treaty.
4- To defend the government, the SeeSeePee as you say.

Any one who understand modern China military history since WW2 understand this.

The have red lines, they have crystal clear red lines, as Douglas Mc Arthur, the general who defeated Japan, find out when he crossed the Yalu river despite of being warned that was a crystal red line for China, he was met by an army that he underestimated. Taiwan independence is a crystal territorial integrity red line for China. And would probably be met with overwhelming force.
China would rather see that island and their brothers there to prosper and it semiconductor industry to be world class. But is red line.

I understand is difficult to current Japan right wingers and extremists to understand, they live blindsided in a defeated past and finding ways to screw normal average Japanese people well being. Is like John Bolton trying to understand why he is an idiot and why his policies would bring disaster for the US. Is impossible, he is too far gone.

KFX said:

Another big challlenge for the PLA is that it's primary mission is keeping the CCP in power - not foreign conquest. Despite the big parades and all the nice kit we see on this excellent forum, the PLA is optimised to be loyal to the CCP, with combat as a secondary consideration. And regarding Taiwan, even assuming the PLA can, in a contengincy, invade it, what happens later? The CCP would be looking at a big insurgency because the majority of Taiwanese won't relish CCP rule. Yes, China has tons of good hardware, but does Xi trust his PLA guys to get the job done? Sure, he'll trust them to put down internal dissent. But can they be effective in a dynamic combat environment where somebody is shooting back? He certainly seems to doubt it!

Click to expand...

Collin (I assume you are him), stop projecting Western countries' issues to China. The number of French police and Gendarmerie is greater then French arm forces, and the French army is positioned within the country to put down rebellions.