If a six year old calls a 200 lb grown man “a big fat stupid idiot”, should he beat the child to death? lolWhy China not start AR because of these? It's already cross the red line.
Many mainlanders are angry about this. Pretend nothing happened makes CCP looks like a blustering & weak coward.
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
This may interest you boys. Will highlight some relevant-ish parts, and inject some nonsensical-ish commentary.
The SOFLE will be serving as a headquarters element — kind of like a mini-TSOC, possibly with an O6 at the helm — while ODAs from A/2/1 SFG out of Ft. Lewis will rotate in and out to embed with indigenous forces at the tactical level.
Looks to be a relatively limited footprint, at least at the tactical level, as ODAs typically deploy as an entire team (12 guys) plus at least one or two add-ons (e.g. JTAC, LLVI operator, etc.). Keep in mind these pipe hitters will only represent a portion of the DoD presence on the island of Taiwan, especially if you're counting contractors.
This SOFLE should be co-located with the headquarters of the Republic of China Army Special Forces Command situated at 中华民国台湾省桃园市龙潭区中兴路100号 (124° 52' 39" North, 121° 14' 20" East).
These are austere locations, so guessing 3-6 month TDYs for team guys, perhaps 6-12 month TDYs for SOFLE staff officers and NCOs in 龙潭. A limited number of senior officers and the seniormost E9s might be around for up to two years for the sake of continuity.
Not really permanent assignments compared to Germany, Italy or Japan. Arguably a permanent presence, and reasonably marketable as much by the sitting administration, members of Congress or the DPP leadership to sell themselves as "tough on China."
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When challengers whose power gap is narrowing with the hegemony, this period is precisely when there is no need to launch a genuine challenge. The longer the time, the higher the probability of success.
For challengers, the only situation in which it is truly advisable to launch a challenge is when they have lost momentum or the hegemony has regained momentum. They must challenge at the peak of what they perceive to be the turning point in the power gap; after that, it will be too late.
This is also the origin of the (ridiculous) 2027 window period, just the other way around. It is just that this is the turning point when the hegemon thinks that its strength will recover and the gap between the two sides will widen again.
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They can't, China can make more anti-ship missiles than Americans can make interceptors, there's no way for US to win. Everything you hear about Taiwan is just propaganda for their own population.
Sounds about right. Truly delusional.
Nothing will ever happen (until China can guarantee MAD with the US).
You are very much underestimating the US and overestimating China. Anti ship missiles aren’t the only thing that wins was, if the US decides to go to war with China they could absolutely win
Navy ships are the most vulnerable asset compared to planes and submarine. Knowing China has a numerical advantage in ships, US are going all in on anti-ship missiles.. US has a few companies that can produce cheap 300k anti ship missiles. China knows this. To counter this, China is going to produce the largest 5th fleet with 200/yr production rate soon, very large.
China really need 095 and 096, they already have 8 production hulls already for mass production. After that, China has covered the weakness gaps..
Every manned navy ship needs USV for protection as in help shooting down drones.
I trust China's 5th gen planes to be better than US counterparts. In the future, when China has 2x more 5th gen than U.S, the match is heavily favored China's side.
China really need 095 and 096, they already have 8 production hulls already for mass production. After that, China has covered the weakness gaps..
Every manned navy ship needs USV for protection as in help shooting down drones.
I trust China's 5th gen planes to be better than US counterparts. In the future, when China has 2x more 5th gen than U.S, the match is heavily favored China's side.
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You know what, I know this is bait, but I'll play.
Assumptions: Everything available as of July 21st, 2025. Say the war kicks off July 22nd, 2025.
First: Define what "winning" means.
Second: Tell me just how the U.S. wins, step by step, engagement by engagement.
There are some crazy bastards who think that a nuclear exchange against China is "winnable". If you think of winning as coming out of the exchange comparatively better than the opponent, I guess they would be correct. Which is why China should be sprinting to nuclear parity ASAP.