I think a war involved in landing troops into Taiwan is a bad idea. If I am in charge, I would just bomb every military installations, presidential palace, all bunker and hideouts, and schools and call it a day. That is how the israel won the war. Most gaza and Lebanon leaders are dead without even stepping foot on the enemy's territory.
You call that a victory after wiping out entire Gaza city? China is not Israel where they are going to destroy each and every house calling them terrorist hideout. They believe Taiwanese are part of Chinese. What they are going to do is destroy every military base, bunkers, airports, ports, electric utilities, defense company, air defense system and any place that has missile launchpad before landing troops on Taiwan. The main goal of PLA is to reunify Taiwan not to wipe out the nation.I think a war involved in landing troops into Taiwan is a bad idea. If I am in charge, I would just bomb every military installations, presidential palace, all bunker and hideouts, and schools and call it a day. That is how the israel won the war. Most gaza and Lebanon leaders are dead without even stepping foot on the enemy's territory.
December '28 it is then. It's also twilight zone between Trump II and whatever comes after.
I think a war involved in landing troops into Taiwan is a bad idea.
My projected PLAAF ORBAT for December 2027, using conservative figures:By that time >600 J-20 should be in service+up to 100 J-35(A).
At total of 1500 4.5th and 5th gen fighter should be in service by then.
President Xi has been overseeing military reform and construction since 2015. And there has been very good continuity in both of these policies.will Xi remain in power for a 5th term? If so, will he be powerful enough? If not, will his successor view this as a priority?
President Xi has been overseeing military reform and construction since 2015. And there has been very good continuity in both of these policies.
I personally see see no reason to think that there is any reason to suddenly change leaders before the liberation of Taiwan. It would only undermine that continuity.
The term limits for the State President has been eliminated since 2018, and there are no such limits for President Xi's other two key positions - General Secretary and Army Chairman - so I think it could work politically.Assuming it's not done shortly before or after 2030, his age is one reason (though depending on his health, it might be a relatively minor factor). A 5th term is also politically difficult.
I won't go into the politics of China too much but it's a complicated issue and there is far more to consider here than just his military accomplishments.
Assuming President Xi's health deteriorates rapidly in the future (and let's hope it doesn't), I think he will at the very least hold out until he personally gives the resolution to liberate Taiwan. Leaders tend to be especially important when their decisions are needed.The term limits for the State President has been eliminated since 2018, and there are no such limits for President Xi's other two key positions - General Secretary and Army Chairman - so I think it could work politically.
As for health reasons, I can only wish him well.
It is considered that all of the general secretary have longevity, so the possibility is very small.Assuming President Xi's health deteriorates rapidly in the future (and let's hope it doesn't), I think he will at the very least hold out until he personally gives the resolution to liberate Taiwan. Leaders tend to be especially important when their decisions are needed.