PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

coolgod

coolgod

Colonel
Registered Member
Why do we automatically assume these barges are for the unification of China? The western propaganda drawings even have Carrier Battle Groups in them, are the Chinese going to deploy CSGs right beside Taiwan?

I think these ships can be very useful if god forbid say Japan had a major earthquake or a large tsunami devastates the Philippines. China should always be prepared to lend a helping hand to their neighbours. If we take these articles at face value, we might even start questioning why China is building so many hospital ships.
 
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broadsword

broadsword

Brigadier
coolgod said:
Why do we automatically assume these barges are for the unification of China? The western propaganda drawings even have Carrier Battle Groups in them, are the Chinese going to deploy CSGs right beside Taiwan?

I think these ships can be very useful if god forbid say Japan had a major earthquake or a large tsunami devastates the Philippines. China should always be prepared to lend a helping hand to their neighbours. If we take these articles at face value, we might even start questioning why China is building so many hospital ships.
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No wonder they look like arks to me.
 
Temstar

Temstar

Brigadier
Registered Member
drowingfish said:
jesus christ, this is what it looks like when you have overwhelming engineering and manufacturing prowess. Taiwan's coastal topography has been noted as one of the major impediments to invasion. rather than looking for exclusively tactical solutions to this, the PLA simply tackled it with engineering solutions.
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Guancha trio recently discussed this, prior to these photos coming to light that there's vast number of medium to small scale ship building companies that's not producing to capacity, you know those ones that could build ships up to several thousand tons and launch them with airbags instead of a proper slipway. The government is well aware of their capabilities because of multiple waves of 工业大摸底 and can at a moment's notice issue them orders to build the landing fleet once the political decision have been made.

So the conventional wisdom of amphibious capability building up giving years of advance warning is questionable. They expect a landing fleet could be built within 6 month of the go ahead.

I don't think discovery of these barges mean armed reunification is due 6 month from now, but on the other hand instead of 6 month full speed everyone and their mother building the landing fleet it could be built in say, 2 years at a measured pace.
 
O

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
Temstar said:
Guancha trio recently discussed this, prior to these photos coming to light that there's vast number of medium to small scale ship building companies that's not producing to capacity, you know those ones that could build ships up to several thousand tons and launch them with airbags instead of a proper slipway. The government is well aware of their capabilities because of multiple waves of 工业大摸底 and can at a moment's notice issue them orders to build the landing fleet once the political decision have been made.

So the conventional wisdom of amphibious capability building up giving years of advance warning is questionable. They expect a landing fleet could be built within 6 month of the go ahead.

I don't think discovery of these barges mean armed reunification is due 6 month from now, but on the other hand instead of 6 month full speed everyone and their mother building the landing fleet it could be built in say, 2 years at a measured pace.
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Definitely a good idea to build some of them. Then you can test, evaluate, develop tactics, familiarise with it. If everything is good and fine, and you have developed tactics, operationalized it, and have a latent trained personnel capacity to deploy them properly, then you can be comfortable enough and say let's not build anything more unless we are x months away from conflict, but even if we build them quick, we will already be familiar with it and thus can effectively operate them properly

Good development
 
Neurosmith

Neurosmith

Junior Member
Registered Member
sequ said:
But even then they are quite large and exposed targets. They'd need something like the C-Dome to protect it from anything from mortars to MLRS.
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The idea is that a notional Taiwan operation would begin with an overwhelming aerial and naval bombardment of Taiwan's military airfields, command centers, naval ports, troop concentrations, military infrastructure, fuel depots, and so on until the country would no longer be able to coordinate a defense of the islands. There is an absurd number of "military analysts" who still buy into the idea that the PLA would initiate a Taiwan operation by launching a massive amphibious assault onto defended territory.

That, combined with air superiority over Taiwan, should clear the way for these ships to unload their crew and payload. Of course, it should be expected that these vessels would be equipped with point defense weaponry for sporadic resistance and guerilla style attacks.
 
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