PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

Hi,
but what will happen in case of nuking china, in case if China can’t eliminate USA
they might pop one towards india in that case Indian will retaliate towards Pakistan
and then so on, I don’t want to speculate further but I’m sure by the time Israel will
too want to get rid of first strike towards Iran and some towards Pakistan
in the meanwhile while nuking China USA has to keep an eye on Russians, which is
too difficult to keep an eye on so many
another thing when they nuke China where the fumes will go if towards NK then
you guys know what will happen next
so big no to Nukes No nukes
im pretty much sure if China is taking drastic action against Taiwan, before that they
might have something near to usa shores just for some leverage
thank you

coolgod said:

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Hongmen association on both sides of the strait denounced Taiwan independence movement and vows to eliminate those hanjian.

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I can't decide whether this is ironic or appriopriate. Unless Jingyong lied to me, Hongmen comes from Tiandihui, which was established by Chen Jinnan, who was working for the Ming government-in-exile on Taiwan at the time.

solarz said:

I can't decide whether this is ironic or appriopriate. Unless Jingyong lied to me, Hongmen comes from Tiandihui, which was established by Chen Jinnan, who was working for the Ming government-in-exile on Taiwan at the time.

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Gotta get with the times. Chinese secret societies and gangs now prefer the PRC to the ROC. Those gangsters in Taiwan will be the first to defect during reunification, hardcore separatists better watch out.

US Army War College supported analysis

China’s military and defense industry have prioritized the development of amphibious armored vehicles with high water speed (HWS) capabilities in preparation for potential Taiwan invasion scenarios. Following the successful development of the Type-05 family of HWS amphibious armored vehicles in the early 2000s, China’s military and defense industry have continued to develop amphibious armored vehicles with new or improved capabilities, maintaining their focus on HWS. The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) very likely believes that such vehicles would be instrumental in securing beachheads and ensuring the success of initial landing operations during an invasion of Taiwan.

plawolf said:

And glassing Hawaii will not trigger MAD. You think America is going to see a handful of ICBMs heading to Hawaii and press the ‘reply all’ button? No. They are going to wait until those missiles land to make a decision because they can afford to wait and see before acting since their second strike capabilities are not at risk.

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I agree 100% Countries speak tough as they always do but I don't think there is any country in the world that will continue exchanging cities after losing a few. No country wants to became a lifeless wasteland over anything. Leaders (of any level and kind) don't want to lose their family members either. For the same reason, I think there is no scenario a country would launch all of its nukes unless the other side is attempting a counterforce strike.

Taiban said:

China’s military and defense industry have prioritized the development of amphibious armored vehicles with high water speed (HWS) capabilities in preparation for potential Taiwan invasion scenarios. Following the successful development of the Type-05 family of HWS amphibious armored vehicles in the early 2000s, China’s military and defense industry have continued to develop amphibious armored vehicles with new or improved capabilities, maintaining their focus on HWS. The People’s Liberation Army (PLA) very likely believes that such vehicles would be instrumental in securing beachheads and ensuring the success of initial landing operations during an invasion of Taiwan.

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The distance between Taiwan and the mainland is too great for vehicles like the Type 05 to be fully useful. But they will be useful for taking the islands between the mainland and Taiwan.

For Taiwan proper I think China needs to increase the amount of helicopters it operates. A helicopter will be several times faster than any water borne vehicle. Drones can provide localized air support for ground troops while helicopters can carry infantry.

china needs to shift their strategy to 2x building more fighter jets and submarine. U.S seems to be very focused on sinking China's warship.

Fighter jets are better imo. They provide air superiority and less dangerous compared to a warship. Warship requires hundreds of crewmen to operate which is risky. Fighter jet only one guy. It can shoot all of their ammo and return back to base easier than a navy ship.

Index said:

About the same chance as UK and France nuking US, buddy.

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So pretty high then? During the Cold War, US nuclear strategy was that in the event of an all out strategic nuclear exchange, the US must guarantee that no country on earth could be left in a more advantageous situation than the US. No exception was made for NATO/allied nations. Also, nuking UK and France is a great way to ensure British and French nukes are launched at Russia/China.

gelgoog said:

The distance between Taiwan and the mainland is too great for vehicles like the Type 05 to be fully useful. But they will be useful for taking the islands between the mainland and Taiwan.

For Taiwan proper I think China needs to increase the amount of helicopters it operates. A helicopter will be several times faster than any water borne vehicle. Drones can provide localized air support for ground troops while helicopters can carry infantry.

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DOn't expect PLA to send those HWS amphibious armours over the straits swimming direct from the shores of Fujian province. They are to be sent by all types of landing ships like Type 071, 072, 073, 074, 075 and 076, and launch when they are near the shores of Taiwan.

Helicopters work with amphibious tanks, they don't exclude each other.

Delete. Double postings.