This sounds like you are looking at English language literature. Honestly, would you expect any kind of English language fiction where "commies" win? Guaranteed NYT worst-sellers list.
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
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This sounds like you are looking at English language literature. Honestly, would you expect any kind of English language fiction where "commies" win? Guaranteed NYT worst-sellers list.
Anglo cultural products have an extremely formulaic pattern as you have now observed.
Anyhow in Star Trek Deep Space 9, humans from the Federation were puzzled about Cardassian literature. The end was always known - the ultimate guilt of traitors, destruction of the enemy and triumph of the Cardassian state. Cardassians explained that what made it great literature was how that end was achieved. Humans were still confused.
132 page report to Congress
- Washington sees China as the main threat, followed by Russia, and then its allies North Korea and Iran.
- Beijing has already neutralized the US military advantage in the Western Pacific and is preparing to attack Taiwan by 2027.
- The main US goal is to contain China, since even without war, a blockade of Taiwan would cost $5 trillion.
- The threat from Russia is described as constant, it is increasing its military power and has the largest nuclear arsenal in the world.
- Russian control of Ukraine would threaten NATO, since Russia's border would run from the Arctic to the Black Sea.
- The only effective course of action is to increase aid to Ukraine and authorize the use of weapons against targets in Russia.
- The United States cannot confront China and the Russian Federation alone, so alliances like NATO and AUKUS are important.
- If Russia achieves its goals in Ukraine, China/Russia will exert synchronous pressure on two fronts that the US will not be able to resist.
- If Russia fails in Ukraine, US allies will be able to deter Chinese aggression and force China to reconsider its plans for Taiwan.
Probably not wrong. By 2027, China would have had more mileage out of its new construction facilities/arms factories. Also it makes geopolitical sense for China to seek the creation of a security buffer zone, to neutralize foreign threats to Taiwan.
The death of Haniyeh led a chain of events that culminated (or does it get worse from here?) in 4.5 trillion $ being wiped out in American stock markets. So in a roundabout way, this tells us that US doesn't expect a blockade to cause anything except temporary inconvenience to China.
China is using Russia to crack open the hard shell into EU, this way, Beijing can force Europe to adhere to international norms once US commits territorial aggression against China.
While the Ukraine front is highly important for China's home defense plans, I don't think everything hinges on it either. Assuming NATO-max realistic victory in Ukraine (Ukraine in NATO, Russian gains restricted to Donbass), it's still not easy for EU to send their forces to support US aggression. Plus China can also use Iran/Middle East to block European transit and attack them back economically.
US report is cloaked heavily with language that helps them save face. But the important underlying message beneath is:
US assesses itself currently as not having the power take Taiwan by force, and China may within a few years create a security zone in East Asia, which US would also be powerless to stop.
Don't forget a 4th front via North Korea.
broadsword
Brigadier
20207? I was belligerent when Pelosi dumped in Taiwan, but I think that date is too early. I don't Xi is interested in taking that gamble when aircraft carriers, submarines, fighters, etc are not sufficient in numbers yet. Can't count on drone warfare yet.
Oh yes the irritating yet so entertaining "SSN" geomil novel in late 1995-1996 IIRC about China -Taiwan AR campaign which is thwarted by the fictional USS Cheyenne captained by Cpt.Bart"macky" Mack who with this 1 sub basically sinks the entire PLAN while feasting,drinking and bawdy carousing in Taiwan("Taiwanese hospitality was incredible"-like a large Thailand ) while China disintegrates and hints at Japan and India attacking and occupying chunks of China all under the watchful,democratic,powerful gaze of the USA.I blame this crap on Tom Clancy's then new Taiwanese girlfriend after he got rich and famous and diched his longtime wife.Oh yes desperate China then forks out 1billion plus for an Akula 2 SSNfrom Russia to the continue war and sink Cheyenne-unsuccessfully of course.I wish that drunken idiot Clancy was alive today to see how things have REALLY changed!!!
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It's the classic White racist fantasy. Exterminate the foreign men and steal all their women and land.