PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

Trailer of a Taiwanese miniseries depicting the impact of a hypothetical invasion by Mainland China to the lives of everyday Taiwanese.

The miniseries has a very Green-tilt to it. The production looks suspiciously reminiscent of Japanese disaster films. The Armed Reunification is depicted to occur right around the time of the Taiwanese election. People are panicking as their everyday lives are distrupted by a blockade from the Chinese mainland. The innocent and good looking people are the patriotic Taiwanese. While the ugly, scum, and criminals are the fifth column who desires reunification. The AR depicted in the trailer is too quiet and too calm, like a post-apocalyptic movie. Its like a desperate plea to the Taiwanese to not abandon their "freedom" when the real AR comes.

Sardaukar20 said:

Trailer of a Taiwanese miniseries depicting the impact of a hypothetical invasion by Mainland China to the lives of everyday Taiwanese.

The miniseries has a very Green-tilt to it. The production looks suspiciously reminiscent of Japanese disaster films. The Armed Reunification is depicted to occur right around the time of the Taiwanese election. People are panicking as their everyday lives are distrupted by a blockade from the Chinese mainland. The innocent and good looking people are the patriotic Taiwanese. While the ugly, scum, and criminals are the fifth column who desires reunification.

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In reality, it's basically everyone except some fanatic compradors who want to help US and Japan invade China.

Sardaukar20 said:

The AR depicted in the trailer is too quiet and too calm, like a post-apocalyptic movie. Its like a desperate plea to the Taiwanese to not abandon their "freedom" when the real AR comes.

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I do however think it's a very real issue how China can avoid friendly casualties as much as possible should the civil war reheat.

How should the lives of over 20 million be protected while the rebel junta that holds them hostage is destroyed? The best solution would be to fight as little as possible and convince them to dissolve by themselves. In that sense, quiet and calm are realistic.

China can arrange for all civilians to be evacuated into refugee zones, mainly inside Taiwan. Even before PLA reaches them and can bail them out, they can be fed if necessary by air supplies. By doing so, the PLA would solve the issue of accidentally hitting civilians.

I believe that Beijing, having pursued to the best of its ability the best possible outcomes in all other national disasters and situations, would not simply make a wasteland of Taiwan and call it peace. Saving Taiwan would be an insane undertaking requiring never before seen logistics capabilities. But I think China can and will rise up to the occasion.

Sardaukar20 said:

Trailer of a Taiwanese miniseries depicting the impact of a hypothetical invasion by Mainland China to the lives of everyday Taiwanese.

The miniseries has a very Green-tilt to it. The production looks suspiciously reminiscent of Japanese disaster films. The Armed Reunification is depicted to occur right around the time of the Taiwanese election. People are panicking as their everyday lives are distrupted by a blockade from the Chinese mainland. The innocent and good looking people are the patriotic Taiwanese. While the ugly, scum, and criminals are the fifth column who desires reunification. The AR depicted in the trailer is too quiet and too calm, like a post-apocalyptic movie. Its like a desperate plea to the Taiwanese to not abandon their "freedom" when the real AR comes.

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I just had a random thought, which I hope someone (not necessarily from here) actually does.
If they coherently splice convincing scenes from a Japanese AV into the trailer and releases the improved trailer before the series is aired, no one will ever be able to watch the show with a straight face when it releases.

I am annoyed that they are representing the PLA marines in the smurf camo.

Sardaukar20 said:

Trailer of a Taiwanese miniseries depicting the impact of a hypothetical invasion by Mainland China to the lives of everyday Taiwanese.

The miniseries has a very Green-tilt to it. The production looks suspiciously reminiscent of Japanese disaster films. The Armed Reunification is depicted to occur right around the time of the Taiwanese election. People are panicking as their everyday lives are distrupted by a blockade from the Chinese mainland. The innocent and good looking people are the patriotic Taiwanese. While the ugly, scum, and criminals are the fifth column who desires reunification. The AR depicted in the trailer is too quiet and too calm, like a post-apocalyptic movie. It’s like a desperate plea to the Taiwanese to not abandon their "freedom" when the real AR comes.

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Portend of things to come, courtesy of their Japanese friends.

I don’t understand why Taiwanese are allowed to dodge and defer service seemingly limitlessly.

It’s also hilarious how everyone in these surveys supports these military measures but no one actually wants a part of it.

US looking at Cocos Islands for military bases to conduct operations against China's oil shipments in the Strait of Malacca, if China makes a move on Taiwan.

grulle said:

US looking at Cocos Islands for military bases to conduct operations against China's oil shipments in the Strait of Malacca, if China makes a move on Taiwan.

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These blockades against China oil shipping will have absolutely zero effect as China is undergoing EV transformation of her entire civilian transport systems. Combined with land Corridor with Russia will ensure that China is energy self-sufficient even without sea trade.

China gets over a million barrels of oil a day from Russia via the ESPO pipeline. This could probably be doubled. That is about the amount Russia of oil used to export via pipeline to Europe. Which is not buying the oil anymore.

China also has a significant amount of oil production in its own territory.

Between that and the electrification of transport with high speed rail and EVs I doubt an oil blockade would be that much of an issue.

The fictions around AR available on Amazon seems to be pretty stilted in their portrayal of both the Chinese and the Taiwanese military and people and where protagonist is inevitably always some US "maverick" type hero and the US is the automatic winner in all conflicted things (including morality) at the end. Any other recommendations for fictions on Taiwan-US-China war where the treatment of people from different sides is less stereotyped and rendered fairly and the results aren't always so cut and dry? If not, I am wondering why there aren't any.