PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

C

Chevalier

Captain
Registered Member
Anyone been to Taipei?
I was there quite recently and let me tell you, the airport is located like 50km from the city centre, if you take the Chiang Kai Shek Memorial (or Freedom Plaza as the DPP renamed it) as the centre, with a multi lane highway spanning the international airport and the city centre. Enough room for brigades and battalions of ROC reinforcements to pour en masse to the airport within 30-40 min.

I'm not sure if this was a strategic reason but if so, this does bear consideration.

The city is criss crossed with subway tunnels deep enough to double as air raid shelters and indeed, there are also signs pointing towards air raid shelters at certain areas of the city. Taking the city will be a mess and the Americans are anticipating turning taipei into a stalingrad where they can pour atrocity porn on the airwaves against the Chinese rival. Taipei even has the equivalent of the Volga river in Stalingrad with the Tamsui river which bisects New Taipei from Old Taipei.

Rather disturbingly, i also noticed a higher frequency of westerners than in years past, tourists, spies, attaches, journalists? who can tell. Socially, the Taiwanese appear to slavishly idolise japanese culture, so it's like culture never developed from 2005. Many Taiwanese often holiday in japan or korea and even shanghai so the people to people linkages are still there, but anglo propaganda since 2015 is definitely visible. The CPC is going to have to de-toxify and liberate the island from this slavish worhship upon AR.
 
broadsword

broadsword

Brigadier
Chevalier said:
The city is criss crossed with subway tunnels deep enough to double as air raid shelters and indeed, there are also signs pointing towards air raid shelters at certain areas of the city. Taking the city will be a mess and the Americans are anticipating turning taipei into a stalingrad where they can pour atrocity porn on the airwaves against the Chinese rival. Taipei even has the equivalent of the Volga river in Stalingrad with the Tamsui river which bisects New Taipei from Old Taipei.
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China is aware of that and will spare the civilians as much as possible if AR becomes a reality. That is why a blockade will be the weapon of choice. I believe China is more eager to engage the foreign interfering forces and has been preparing for that possibility.
 
B

Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
Chevalier said:
Anyone been to Taipei?
I was there quite recently and let me tell you, the airport is located like 50km from the city centre, if you take the Chiang Kai Shek Memorial (or Freedom Plaza as the DPP renamed it) as the centre, with a multi lane highway spanning the international airport and the city centre. Enough room for brigades and battalions of ROC reinforcements to pour en masse to the airport within 30-40 min.

I'm not sure if this was a strategic reason but if so, this does bear consideration.

The city is criss crossed with subway tunnels deep enough to double as air raid shelters and indeed, there are also signs pointing towards air raid shelters at certain areas of the city. Taking the city will be a mess and the Americans are anticipating turning taipei into a stalingrad where they can pour atrocity porn on the airwaves against the Chinese rival. Taipei even has the equivalent of the Volga river in Stalingrad with the Tamsui river which bisects New Taipei from Old Taipei.

Rather disturbingly, i also noticed a higher frequency of westerners than in years past, tourists, spies, attaches, journalists? who can tell. Socially, the Taiwanese appear to slavishly idolise japanese culture, so it's like culture never developed from 2005. Many Taiwanese often holiday in japan or korea and even shanghai so the people to people linkages are still there, but anglo propaganda since 2015 is definitely visible. The CPC is going to have to de-toxify and liberate the island from this slavish worhship upon AR.
Click to expand...
Nothing that couldn't be dealt with using air and artillery though.

Holding Taiwan will be a mess locally. But China can minimize the central costs by not sending in soldiers until enemies have been severely degraded.
 
Staedler

Staedler

Junior Member
Registered Member
Chevalier said:
Anyone been to Taipei?
I was there quite recently and let me tell you, the airport is located like 50km from the city centre, if you take the Chiang Kai Shek Memorial (or Freedom Plaza as the DPP renamed it) as the centre, with a multi lane highway spanning the international airport and the city centre. Enough room for brigades and battalions of ROC reinforcements to pour en masse to the airport within 30-40 min.

I'm not sure if this was a strategic reason but if so, this does bear consideration.

The city is criss crossed with subway tunnels deep enough to double as air raid shelters and indeed, there are also signs pointing towards air raid shelters at certain areas of the city. Taking the city will be a mess and the Americans are anticipating turning taipei into a stalingrad where they can pour atrocity porn on the airwaves against the Chinese rival. Taipei even has the equivalent of the Volga river in Stalingrad with the Tamsui river which bisects New Taipei from Old Taipei.

Rather disturbingly, i also noticed a higher frequency of westerners than in years past, tourists, spies, attaches, journalists? who can tell. Socially, the Taiwanese appear to slavishly idolise japanese culture, so it's like culture never developed from 2005. Many Taiwanese often holiday in japan or korea and even shanghai so the people to people linkages are still there, but anglo propaganda since 2015 is definitely visible. The CPC is going to have to de-toxify and liberate the island from this slavish worhship upon AR.
Click to expand...
People hiding in tunnels also aren't going to be manufacturing anything in sufficient volume to keep their resistance going. Not food, not fuel, not munitions. Not on a resource-starved, overpopulated, small island with practically all port capacity on the western side (facing the mainland) and piss-poor east-west connectivity.

Stuff like Stalingrad happened only because there was strategic depth, a vast hinderland that could supply the urban fighting. Places on the continent have nearby land/lake connections which makes smuggling supplies possible. Take Leningrad, even when an urban area is all but surrounded, they can still smuggle supplies in. Not so for an urban island where there is no nature's bounty to keep people fed and the nearest "ally" is thousands of miles away on open ocean.

Think about the supply situation in Gaza due to it's urban nature when it's a continental place with possible overland smuggling. How do you think an similarly urban area with no possibility of smuggling supplies and no need to even send physical troops into area to enforce the blockade is going to fare?

I think people frequently underestimate just how strategically bad Taiwan's position is.
 
R

resistance

Junior Member
Registered Member
We should talk about china can also conduct US style embargoes against Cuba. The things that prevents china to do that is semiconductor. If china can put graphene chip into industrial mass production in three years, then it's good when dpp win elections since china will have reason to do embargoes.
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sr338

sr338

New Member
Registered Member
resistance said:
We should talk about china can also conduct US style embargoes against Cuba. The things that prevents china to do that is semiconductor. If china can put graphene chip into industrial mass production in three years, then it's good when dpp win elections since china will have reason to do embargoes.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
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China can already make 7nm by itself, there is nothing stop the Mainland to give Taiwan the cuba treatment, but escalations takes time.
 
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