It seems that the whole world is waking up to the paper tiger of the US's so-called global military dominance now that they can't (or don't have the courage) to attack/defeat Houthis after everything they've been doing in the Red Sea (many times in the past promised to never in million years allow those important waterways to be blocked with their space-shuttle, ultra-powerful navy, by anyone in the region). If they can't even deal with and pressure Houthis, which is basically a semi-state actor, or ethnic group, imagine dealing with Iran, and then imagine dealing with China right on its shores, who have way more advanced missiles and drones, of all kinds, and the ability to produce them in the quantity that the US can't even fathom. The so-called US global military dominance is an overhyped myth. It seems objective that any decently sized country or a group with strong morale and some basic military technological capability can defeat the US or at least force it to rethink attacking them first.
That's called blunting, China doesn't need nuclear-powered submarines, aircraft carriers, and bombers (that's why it's probably lagging in those areas but already leading the US in various missiles and drone technology) when it's fighting right on its shores, it can use way simpler systems in great quantities to win (like Houthis but on steroids). The US is at a disadvantage, it has to cross the entire Pacific to get to Taiwan, China is already there, with the strongest A2AD on the planet. And to be honest it's debatable how much of the general US Navy can even arrive there in one piece and stay successfully. Not to mention the logistics and supply of continued, prolonged warfare in that kind of environment. We've seen pictures of how rusted and in what state are some of their ships currently due to tremendous over-use and the inability of the US defense industry to replenish them for decades (all of a sudden they will manage to start massively fixing their ships in that kind of environment after the war damage starts - doubt it).
After the war starts, how will they be maintained in that kind of environment for the US? US bases in the region are gone within the first few weeks, they are non-factors. And let's say their ships arrive all in one piece magically, but what will happen when they lose all of their firepower in the first few weeks of the war, and the US feather-weight industrial complex fails to replenish them effectively because its weakness and decades-long atrophy, for this deindustrialized, service-based joke of a country? Not only do they barely produce any kind of steel, but their chemical industry is weaker too. Yes, they currently have more tonnage than China in various main naval ship classes (but not technological advantages anymore), but how much of it will be destroyed and decapitated due to geographical disadvantage and how many new military instruments (systems, explosives, steel) will China manage to create once this entire industrial hyperpower starts the war economy engine fully in the few months after the war starts out? All of a sudden you will have a totally reversed situation, reverse numbers, and US humiliation and loss.
The US MIC is milking their government dry, where did you see such a de-industrialized nation being any kind of global military threat in the history of this world? Why are their weapons costing tens of times more than their real value? How do they imagine fighting against any major country like that? But their stupid propaganda machine up until recently had us all believing in those myths and theology-like beliefs of their 'exceptionalism'. In 2022 against Russia we've seen that the US defense industry is objectively a paper tiger, even the last remaining copers can't deny that fact anymore (alongside its so-called global financial might - or called by them - their financial nuclear bombs haha), and in 2023 we see that the US Navy is a paper tiger as well, or at least that they don't have the guts to fight with Houthis.
But then again, it should've been realized a long time ago already (after eventual total defeats in Afghanistan, and Iraq, and partial defeats in Lybia and Syria, and even before then in Vietnam, and Korea). But now copers will say that America didn't go all-out against those states, but against China, they will magically go all out, they will summon all of its intergalactic powerful navy and show it those 'communists', haha. (As if trillions of dollars wasted in those places aren't already "all-out"). It's not that they didn't go all out, it's that they couldn't go all out due to the social and economic situation in their country being on the verge of civil war and bankruptcy at any time, but against China, it will be even harder to go all out as it is their largest economic partner that could collapse their economy completely in the first few months of the conflict.
Yeah, China doesn't have a recent history of fighting wars, but that's better than having a history of waging wars like the US but losing in the majority of them, partially or fully. It's also better to not have a recent history of wars against a 100 times weaker opponent than yourself in totally different parts of the world and terrains and climates and logistics than a Taiwan war scenario would be, it builds different sets of information in brains which we will be hard to discard once the war starts and acclimate. In fact, not only does China not have any different direction to focus, but it has for decades focused mainly on the war regarding Taiwan and inside the First Island Chain. Not to mention how Chinese military leadership is elected way less on a political, and ideological, basis, but more so on a real meritocracy basis. Probably even many times more intelligent because they got through the entire process of climbing the pyramid, unlike in the US through the backdoor. Anyway, I predict a quick defeat of the US in 4-6 months if the war on Taiwan starts even today, not to mention in the future. My opinions - no offense.
