airsuperiority
Captain
something wrong with the server? i double-posted twice already as well
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
The ROC Presidential Election in 2008 was a "land slide". 2012 is not, but the gap is reasonably large that you cannot call it a slim margin either.
IMO the 2012 election shows that both the voters and the candidates are more mature in their behavior and actions. Unpleasant incidents were kept at minimum, and both Ma and Tsai at least expressed some conciliatory tune at each other after the election. It's also good that PRC citizens were able to read about the election and gain a better understanding of Taiwan's political framework. So far the improved relations and direct travel has benefited economically only for a smaller number of businesses in Taiwan. President Ma's challenge will be to find ways for more people to get a share of the pie.
We can expect fairly stable PRC-ROC relations over the next 4 years. But 2016 may be a bigger challenge, because both KMT and DPP leadership these days are not good at grooming successors. The reasons are both petty and obvious, but nobody wants to say it. I'll stop here before I start ranting. ;p
IMO the 2012 election shows that both the voters and the candidates are more mature in their behavior and actions. Unpleasant incidents were kept at minimum, and both Ma and Tsai at least expressed some conciliatory tune at each other after the election. It's also good that PRC citizens were able to read about the election and gain a better understanding of Taiwan's political framework. So far the improved relations and direct travel has benefited economically only for a smaller number of businesses in Taiwan. President Ma's challenge will be to find ways for more people to get a share of the pie.
We can expect fairly stable PRC-ROC relations over the next 4 years. But 2016 may be a bigger challenge, because both KMT and DPP leadership these days are not good at grooming successors. The reasons are both petty and obvious, but nobody wants to say it. I'll stop here before I start ranting. ;p
solarz
Brigadier
This is a tune played out in democratic systems over and over again. People get tired of an incumbent government and votes his opposition in in a landslide victory. As the new incumbent governs, discontent is now directed toward them, and their popularity quickly drops.
Although Ma's victory was probably a big relief for both Beijing and Washington, it is more telling that Tsai made several conciliatory gestures toward Mainland in order to get the kind of support she did. I don't think she ever raised the issue of independence at all.
Hendrik_2000
Lieutenant General
escobar
Brigadier
Good Article. People talk a lot about ASBM ans seem to forget that mine is an even greater threat to ships.
In any war scenario in taiwan strait i will bet more on PLAN mine than Second arty ASBM.
And it is strange that USN MCM funding is very puny relative to ABM.
Equation
Lieutenant General
I think because the US Navy already has plenty of Anti-mine ships in its arsenal.
escobar
Brigadier
Nope they don't have plenty of MCM ships.
Last edited:
franco-russe
Senior Member
The US Navy HATES ships under 3,000 tons. They have successfully got rid of the 12 OSPREY class coastal minehunters, mostly by dumping them on assorted client states, but still have to keep the 14 AVENGER class MCM ships, though they are a mere 1,400 tons.
But relief is on its way, in the guise of 3,000-ton, 45-knot minesweepers known as LCS...
But relief is on its way, in the guise of 3,000-ton, 45-knot minesweepers known as LCS...
escobar
Brigadier
Yep, USN future MCM capability depend on LCS with their AN/WLD-1 RMS Remote Minehunting System(an unmanned vehicle) and
the modified Airborne Laser Mine Detection System (ALMDS).