PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

Kurt

Junior Member
That claim about Koxinga is counterfactual if you look at later reports about what is actually going on on this island.

Take a look why the Japanese occupied this very island. The non-Chinese natives in the 19th century beheaded Japanese fishermen according to their ancient tradition. The resulting naval expedition to the island resulted in rather one sided combat between Japanese forces and tribal villages. The upside of this was that the fierce warrior tribes were well received on the path of becoming Japanese, resulting in the quite successful japanization there.

So the Koxinga sinicization claim is part of a partly constructed myth to claim this island. I don't doubt that there has been bloodshed and that ever since there have been some Chinese on the island and the emperor officially claimed hegemony. But that rather interested none of the great majority of inhabitants who just continued their way of live and beheaded all who interferred unfavourably in their tribal village live and customs.

Concerning the treaty between China and Japan, you should perhaps read my posts twice before you slam an answer. I totally agree that the Chinese in fact did claim souvereignity on this island. The problem is that they didn't have much actual control of the island, nor of its inhabitants.
That's nothing unusual in China, many of todays minority inhabited regions were hardly ever under firm imperial control and law inforcement was often by ethnic cleansing for Han Chinese settlers. Just ask the Thai and Vietnamese why they left their homelands in today's southern China and moved south.
The question boils down whether you accept such dealings of an unaccepted authority over the heads of a countries inhabitants or you don't. From a legal perspective it's problematic to do so, that doesn't mean it hasn't been done.

Now back to modern realism, you seem to be cherry-picking in my reading and then garble a sense together. Please read again, I'm not opposed to a Chinese unification, but I consider the legal argument for a reunification quite questionable. This reunification argument is however central to achieve the unification means through a legitimized violence and serves as a casus belli. The problem with this and many other justifications of wars is that truth is the first casualty.
 
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i.e.

Senior Member
"Cease quoting the law, we carry weapons" - Pompey the Great.

If you want to talk about legal argument of chinese reunification,
then the simple fact that the Chinese civil war is not legally concluded - there is no legal instrument that concluded the war - should be staring one at the face.
 

Kurt

Junior Member
Yes, I totally agree that might makes right and that this is the final operation of the civil war to wipe out the last opposition stronghold. I said that before, Taiwan is a systemic challenge to mainland China and they are quite aware of the great potential of a small enduring stronghold (remember The Long March).

So after we have clarified the political will, I don't think it's wrong to understand the legal and historical background and see how truth gets twisted.
It makes me still wonder that it needed such a long discussion. Seems like I didn't get my point across very well from the start.

Back to the might makes right and "Cease quoting the law, we carry weapons" - Pompey the Great.
I just wonder about the rather flexible interpretation of which "rightful ancient Chinese claims" to press home (Taiwan) and which not (Russian Far East).

You have to understand that Chinese law worked different from European concepts because a Chinese law could never be in the way of the interests of the Son of Heaven who modeled the society (or let the scholar class model society would be more correct) to live in harmony. In Europe since the enlightment it's generally accepted that the law is supreme to everybody in theory, although not enacted everywhere. The Chinese law is in a way more a gut feeling about what a morally right world should look like backed up by more or less thorough scholarly thinking. In the end the theoretically differing concepts can (doesn't mean they are!) be quite close in actual application.

Now I might be called a China basher and heretic again, but I consider the rather numerous ruling party/factions not dissimilar to the ancient concepts of ruling China. Perhaps they are even better because of a not too intellectual composition and because they use modern scientific methods for analyses. That doesn't mean that I favour the Chinese system over a true democracy. But I think, it's a very efficient system for achieving China's current goals and for this reason has broad public support.
I fear that they are too good at their job while nationalism will be an ever more important drive, so they might not stop after Taiwan and rethink ancient Chinese "borders", tributaries and wrongs in order to keep working for "natural" goals.
 

i.e.

Senior Member
I wouldn;t go as far as the saying might makes right,

What I would say is the civil war is not legally over that's ample enough legal reasons to continue.
If KMT have won and it is the CCP that is hold up on TW, KMT would have done the same thing... if KMT have won the civil war they would likely to have demonstrated plenty of moral integrity to continue the time honoured tradition of Chinese territorial integrity and centralized power, thus would have acted as the powers in Beijing have acted on this issue today.


even from the standpoint of current ROC, they should have ample legal reason to continue the war too. as far as they are concerned they still are in war with a regime that is a product of a rebellion.

I am happy if there is just a treaty that finally end the war and return to peace.

My argument for unificatoin is actually big weird:
Taiwan is too big and too close to splinter out from the chinese central sphere. Even there is independence with out bloodshed today, this is a moral misalignment of epic proportions and will invite countless bloodshed in the future. things have to return to their proper place in the universe.
 

Kurt

Junior Member
I agree on the civil war continuation, but I do favour that the people on Taiwan have a choice in whether to be independent or a part of China. China could do without this island for almost her whole existence (despite the occasional pirates there) and China did lose and never recover territories like Central Asian Samarkand (important because the Muslims captured the know-how for paper production there) or the now Russian Far East.
But no matter what is done there, a bloodshed would make things worse for everybody.
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
I agree on the civil war continuation, but I do favour that the people on Taiwan have a choice in whether to be independent or a part of China. China could do without this island for almost her whole existence (despite the occasional pirates there) and China did lose and never recover territories like Central Asian Samarkand (important because the Muslims captured the know-how for paper production there) or the now Russian Far East.
But no matter what is done there, a bloodshed would make things worse for everybody.

Kurt again you are mouthing this self determination and delusion of no Chinese control over Taiwan against the historical reality of over 150 years of Qing souverignity. Taiwan separation is the continuation of unfinished civil war. You of all people should know that the temporary separation of East German and west German is the leftover from WW ll and the ensuing cold war . The same applied to Vietnam and Korea

You are right that might make it right but you applied to the wrong country. It is the continuation of US meddling that continue the separation of Taiwan.

China already de emphasize the importance of reunification as there are more pressing problem of raising the living standard of majority of the people .

Russian far east was never been proper Chinese province even during the Qing Dynasty . It is an area of influence and suzerainty . The separation of Far east has been legalized by recent treaty between Soviet and China so it is done deal Has no comparison whasoever with Taiwan Taiwan is unresolved civil war

It is one of the few cases where China hand is tied and willing to risk the war, if there is Taiwan de jure independence. The regime legitimacy depend on maintaining territorial integrity.

In fact it is the law of the land with the promulgation of Anti Secessionist law in 2005
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Mr T

Senior Member
What I would say is the civil war is not legally over that's ample enough legal reasons to continue.

But the civil war was a conflict between the CCP and KMT. If the CCP wanted to take the KMT leadership as its prisoners and confiscate its considerable financial assets, that would be one thing. But as the civil war by definition was between political parties it wouldn't hold that Taiwan could be annexed as well.

Imagine that there was a civil war in the UK, which spilled into Ireland with the losing faction ousting the Dublin authorities. You wouldn't say that the the UK government could annex Ireland because it was controlled by a party to the UK civil war, would you? I know that China argues Taiwan was historically part of its territory, but Ireland also used to be part of the UK.

even from the standpoint of current ROC, they should have ample legal reason to continue the war too. as far as they are concerned they still are in war with a regime that is a product of a rebellion

Actually, the current view of most Taiwanese is that the Chinese civil war is over. The KMT holds to a quaint view of "old China" and dreams of returning to Chinese politics (I'm not sure they actually care about Taiwan that much), but they certainly don't think the war is still going on.

Taiwan is too big and too close to splinter out from the chinese central sphere.

Even if I agreed it was once part of the Chinese "central sphere" (whatever that means), it hasn't been for a long time. Perhaps it's time to wake up and realise that the Emperor is naked - he can then get dressed and we can all move on.

Even there is independence with out bloodshed today, this is a moral misalignment of epic proportions and will invite countless bloodshed in the future.

Why?

things have to return to their proper place in the universe.

Right, so after Taiwan I guess China will be taking the Russian Far East back?
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
I agree on the civil war continuation, but I do favour that the people on Taiwan have a choice in whether to be independent or a part of China. China could do without this island for almost her whole existence (despite the occasional pirates there) and China did lose and never recover territories like Central Asian Samarkand (important because the Muslims captured the know-how for paper production there) or the now Russian Far East.
But no matter what is done there, a bloodshed would make things worse for everybody.

Why not the entire Chinese people to decide (both mainland and Taiwan), since the war has not been officially over? Yes of course it will favor the PRC big time, but isn't that what a vote and "democracy" means? The elite folks in Taiwan needs to stop pretending to be Westerners and be a proud Chinese instead. Oh, I'm sorry you didn't know they have that kind of behavior since the Chinese civil war started? Well I guess it's time to read another perspective of history and reality. By the way, the Chinese mainland are aware of the western historical hegemony and today's negative perspective on them by the bias western media, how, because overseas relatives told them and show them the many evidence from main stream media. So how's that relevance to the Taiwan question? Easy it would take away one of the three "T" (Tibet, Tienanmen Square, and Taiwan) thorns that some westerners love to pinpoint on China in hopes to restrain her.
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
But the civil war was a conflict between the CCP and KMT. If the CCP wanted to take the KMT leadership as its prisoners and confiscate its considerable financial assets, that would be one thing. But as the civil war by definition was between political parties it wouldn't hold that Taiwan could be annexed as well.

What? So the American Civil War wasn't about slavery, state rights, cotton, but rather "political parties"? Dang you are good at making up history. The KMT loss the war pure and simple, but continue to exercise their power over the people on the island because China didn't have a strong Navy then to ensure complete security from the opposition forces. Now, ever since China has a very strong economy and growing military, all of a sudden a huge out cry for support of Taiwan "independence"?


Imagine that there was a civil war in the UK, which spilled into Ireland with the losing faction ousting the Dublin authorities. You wouldn't say that the the UK government could annex Ireland because it was controlled by a party to the UK civil war, would you? I know that China argues Taiwan was historically part of its territory, but Ireland also used to be part of the UK.

So why are the UK still control Northern Ireland? What about the Falklands or shall I say the Malvinas Island according to Spanish speakers.

Actually, the current view of most Taiwanese is that the Chinese civil war is over. The KMT holds to a quaint view of "old China" and dreams of returning to Chinese politics (I'm not sure they actually care about Taiwan that much), but they certainly don't think the war is still going on.

It maybe over for them, but they still needs to be under the control of the CCP to become a part of the People's Republic of China officially.

Even if I agreed it was once part of the Chinese "central sphere" (whatever that means), it hasn't been for a long time. Perhaps it's time to wake up and realise that the Emperor is naked - he can then get dressed and we can all move on.

Perhaps it's time to put down the "independent" meth drugs down and realize the turning events of today's history. That is get this war over with and unite with the PRC and end this drama once and for all.

Why?

Because there are some 1.3 billion Chinese who still wants unification at all cost. Freedom from outside interference and negative influences that degrades the motherland's dignity. When you're civilization has a 5,000+ years old history, and help impacted the world is so many ways, then we talk.



Right, so after Taiwan I guess China will be taking the Russian Far East back?

Why not? It can be bought also, like Alaska to the US.
 

Kurt

Junior Member
No, the Russians would be selling their own citizens in the Far East and their most important Pacific harbour.
Alaska was sold because the tzar was cash strapped and this lack of cash endangered the existence of his gouvernment while Alaska was only claimed, but hardly settled or explored nor profitable (the gold was found later).

Concerning the "Tibet, Tienanmen Square, and Taiwan" thorns. Are all self-inflicted except Taiwan. If you can't stand the heat, stay out of the kitchen. Similarly there's bias on "the West", Africa or the Middle East in China, that's how we construct easy to grasp concepts of the world. Of course, these do contain many wrongs, but "who is without guilt may throw the first stone."
 
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