PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

solarz said:

Think you forgot a little caveat:

"I'd prefer that China build the most dominant and capable armed forces the world has ever seen before taking back Taiwan."

I think this alone illustrates how foolish that notion is.

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are you saying the PLA in its current state is able to invade and occupy TW under full US intervention and global redeployment? if that's the case then there's no point in trying to go any further because it seems we disagree on even the basics.

i don't think it's foolish to "expect the best outcome but prepare for the worst", in fact it'll be wise to do so.

unless you are suggesting that no matter how much china prepares it simply cannot match the US, even in the next 30 years?

solarz said:

In other words, if the US could magically overcome their systematic dysfunctions and abandon their hegemonic obligations at no cost.

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I absolutely believe there would be a cost to the US.
I've written multiple times that the US would have to suffer geopolitical losses in Europe as a result of their redeployment of forces to the westpac, and that after a war of attrition I expect the US and the rest of the world will enter a long economic dark age.

But China would still have lost the war.

solarz said:

US air assets will already be engaged in a Taiwan conflict. They're not going to have additional assets to bring to Korea. That leaves only the SK forces, against the combined PLA and DPRK forces.

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I believe the quantity of US air capabilities that they will be able to bring to bear to the western pacific theater will allow them to operate over both Taiwan and Korea.
Furthermore, the ROKAF is very capable in itself, and US ground forces also exist in Korea.

At best, a Korean war will simply be a slaughter of ground forces for both sides. At worst, PLA forces will come under relentless air attack due to the overall westpac disparity of aerial forces at present.

solarz said:

China fights when it needs to, not when everything is ready.

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and i completely disagree with the above. the best thing for china to do right now is to increase MAD capabilities, build CVBGs and blue water navy like crazy.

sinophilia said:

I think you have a basic competency problem.

Your explanations are so simple and repetitively void of any depth of knowledge or information that I don't think you have much to say on this matter.

Like this snippet after I asked for an explanation of your reasoning:



Just another rehash of what I'm asking you to delve deeper into, but you're getting all angry because I do not accept your godly wisdom verbatim lmao..

W - H - Y

You just going to repeat that it's because they can't?

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LOL, you just don't get it, do you?

The US is run by capitalists. Their foremost concern is their own profit. If a venture doesn't go their way, they cut their losses and try something else.

This has been the pattern of US military adventurism for the past 70 years.

ecaedus said:

and i completely disagree with the above. the best thing for china to do right now is to increase MAD capabilities, build CVBGs and blue water navy like crazy.

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That's irrelevant. The question is whether China can take back Taiwan if such a need arises today.

solarz said:

LOL, you just don't get it, do you?

The US is run by capitalists. Their foremost concern is their own profit. If a venture doesn't go their way, they cut their losses and try something else.

This has been the pattern of US military adventurism for the past 70 years.

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Which is why Afghanistan and Iraq were so profitable for them LMAO.

solarz said:

I said the US does not have the capability or the will to fight a protracted war on China's doorsteps.

I've already told you the reason. All imperialists are paper tigers.

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if your reasoning boils down to "imperialists are paper tigers" then i think it's time we pack our bags and go home. This conversion has ran its course i believe.

solarz said:

That's irrelevant. The question is whether China can take back Taiwan if such a need arises today.

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they can TRY taking back TW if the need arises today, and they will fail if US commits to full intervention as of today.

Bltizo said:

I absolutely believe there would be a cost to the US.
I've written multiple times that the US would have to suffer geopolitical losses in Europe as a result of their redeployment of forces to the westpac, and that after a war of attrition I expect the US and the rest of the world will enter a long economic dark age.

But China would still have lost the war.

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1. What makes you think the US would be willing to trade Europe for Taiwan?

2. "Lost the war" in what way? China's objective is to retake Taiwan. Taiwan is always going to be on China's doorsteps. What is the US going to do after it has lost Europe?

Bltizo said:

I believe the quantity of US air capabilities that they will be able to bring to bear to the western pacific theater will allow them to operate over both Taiwan and Korea.
Furthermore, the ROKAF is very capable in itself, and US ground forces also exist in Korea.

At best, a Korean war will simply be a slaughter of ground forces for both sides. At worst, PLA forces will come under relentless air attack due to the overall we

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Again, why are there suddenly more US air capabilities over a second Korean War?

sinophilia said:

Which is why Afghanistan and Iraq were so profitable for them LMAO.

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Exactly, they stayed until it wasn't profitable anymore.