Intrepid
Major
They are speeding up to overtake the US in thirty years. It is a long lasting plan, it starts at least ten years ago and it is in progress.
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- Thread starter Jeff Head
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Blackstone
Brigadier
30 years to overtake the US? I don't see it. America sees the danger and wouldn't be caught flatfooted. When you consider the entire package, beyond just military hardware, even 50 years might be optimistic.
Equation
Lieutenant General
Yeah but what's the US and whatever her "allies" war record again? All that fire power and they're playing like the Golden State Warriors last three games of the series. Seems like Lebron "King" James (China) always find a way to win?
Ask the good folks all over the Middle East if things were better AFTER the US intervenes in their constant regime changing operations "winning hearts and minds".
Equation
Lieutenant General
Facts are it doesn't take much to make the US alliance quit and everyone knows it. Not too many Americans today can stomach another heavy casualties over seas after that Middle East debacle. They will fight for their homeland BUT not for someone else's, treaty be darn. Today's world in not the Cold War or World Wars fragile conflict world.
30 years to overtake the U.S. militarily, it'll take LESS than that when you consider the entire package.
Blackstone
Brigadier
What package do you mean? I ask in relation to the following items:
- Chinese secondary schools and universities are still behind US by breath and depth, therefore they produce less well-qualified personnel for PLA. How many generations will it take to catch-up, let alone exceed US?
- How many decades will it take to fully implement Xi Jinping's fundamental structual changes in the PLA?
- How many decades will it take for PLA to hone an NCO corp near US military levels?
- How many more decades will it take to fully modernize PLA hardware?
- How many more decades will it take for PLA personnel and command staff to gain training, expertise, and experience near US levels?
- How many more decades will it take to completely flush obsolete PLA doctrines out of the services and develop/implement new ones that will meet Beijing's ambitions?
- How many more decades would it take for China to have even a tenth of US military presence and support structures around the world?
The bottom line is there's little doubt PLA would make great advances in the next 30 years, but overtaking the US isn't one of them. I highly doubt PLA could do it in 50 years, and that's with China growing at 5-6% a year, while US grows at 2.5-3% per year.
AeroEngineer
Junior Member
America is doomed !!!
I think you will be constantly disappointed in the near future. As Antiterror13 said and I agree, China will NOT send her latest asset to a "rivalry", period.
It has nothing to do with confidence. China is not a showy country, she will not brandishing a big stick around, regardless to whom, strong or weak. China is not kind of person enjoying the competition of "whose dxxk is bigger".
Since you are a Chinese, I'd expect or wish you have read the Chinese history and philosophy, you would find no such behavior in peace time, except in a real bloody war.
yes, and they are very new, the navy need a lot of practice with them before sending them for a long journey regardless where.