As emphasis by all of my post, why I think that ABM is quite ineffective at this present moment, is that it is deployed in China mainland. It will be like bringing the war to China soil, which even if you succeed in the end, still it was going to cost alot for your general public.
Why I think US's defence is more forbiddable at present moment, is that the defence umbrella that was being set up was not on her mainland but on the grounds of their allies which actually surround China and Russia. So before Chinese missiles are to leave China airspace, there is a good chance of it being knock off sky, when a missile reached above your atmosphere, it is practically too late to do much, even if you knock the missile off... if the missile is nuclear tipped or contain Multiple warheads, it would be extremely difficult to knock them off... plus the subsequence nuclear blast, even above your atmosphere, is not something that is very desirable.
China's ABM however, as mentioned and stressed a couple of time already, is on mainland... so the difference is that she had to wait for the missile to approach her and neared her (even above atmosphere) to be able to hit the missile.
Not a good tactic if you ask me. And by that I mean passive defence.
If China could develope a much bigger and more capable blue water navy (I will not go into nuclear now, as explained in my previous post), a stronger and more capable air force, then she could do the following,
1) Launch offensive strikes first, before enemy could react.
2) Deploy her ships further away from mainland in what I call a spider-web method.
3) Deploy ship base anti-missile system to provide multi-tiers defence.
With that opponent's missiles will have to pass through multi-layer of defences before it could hit China mainland.
Unless the opponent would choose to attack all of China's ships and submarines at once, it simply is quite difficult to counter the Chinese defence.
Also with the deployment of a larger and more capable airforce with more AWAC, ELINT, and whatever system in place, coupled with better radars thingies, satellites (space technology), supported by carriers, and escorted by larger and more powerful destroyers and cruisers, then they could even carry up aerial interception of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and stuff like that.
It is all an integrated package and not just developing ground base ABM in China mainland and hope that these kinetic kill vehicles are enough to knock enemy's missiles out.
And by that, I mean active defence.
And how to you achieve that? First resources had to be poured in to upgrade the current Navy and air force... and these resources are huge...
Second, to build larger amount of nuclear or conventional ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and their carriers (submarines and/or ground based mobile launchers). This was mainly to counter for opponent's own ABM system which could be everywhere around China.
Third, is the developement of the ABM system... but doesn't actually need to be ground base or based on kinetic kill vehicles thingies which was large and very expensive to maintain... developement was to focus, as many had mentioned before, on energy weaponries. Of course before that could happen, more radar and miniaturization of the electronic components needed to be done first... also more satellites, AWAC and other support equipments and machineries needed to be done first... which again go back to the first two phases.
Why I think US's defence is more forbiddable at present moment, is that the defence umbrella that was being set up was not on her mainland but on the grounds of their allies which actually surround China and Russia. So before Chinese missiles are to leave China airspace, there is a good chance of it being knock off sky, when a missile reached above your atmosphere, it is practically too late to do much, even if you knock the missile off... if the missile is nuclear tipped or contain Multiple warheads, it would be extremely difficult to knock them off... plus the subsequence nuclear blast, even above your atmosphere, is not something that is very desirable.
China's ABM however, as mentioned and stressed a couple of time already, is on mainland... so the difference is that she had to wait for the missile to approach her and neared her (even above atmosphere) to be able to hit the missile.
Not a good tactic if you ask me. And by that I mean passive defence.
If China could develope a much bigger and more capable blue water navy (I will not go into nuclear now, as explained in my previous post), a stronger and more capable air force, then she could do the following,
1) Launch offensive strikes first, before enemy could react.
2) Deploy her ships further away from mainland in what I call a spider-web method.
3) Deploy ship base anti-missile system to provide multi-tiers defence.
With that opponent's missiles will have to pass through multi-layer of defences before it could hit China mainland.
Unless the opponent would choose to attack all of China's ships and submarines at once, it simply is quite difficult to counter the Chinese defence.
Also with the deployment of a larger and more capable airforce with more AWAC, ELINT, and whatever system in place, coupled with better radars thingies, satellites (space technology), supported by carriers, and escorted by larger and more powerful destroyers and cruisers, then they could even carry up aerial interception of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and stuff like that.
It is all an integrated package and not just developing ground base ABM in China mainland and hope that these kinetic kill vehicles are enough to knock enemy's missiles out.
And by that, I mean active defence.
And how to you achieve that? First resources had to be poured in to upgrade the current Navy and air force... and these resources are huge...
Second, to build larger amount of nuclear or conventional ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and their carriers (submarines and/or ground based mobile launchers). This was mainly to counter for opponent's own ABM system which could be everywhere around China.
Third, is the developement of the ABM system... but doesn't actually need to be ground base or based on kinetic kill vehicles thingies which was large and very expensive to maintain... developement was to focus, as many had mentioned before, on energy weaponries. Of course before that could happen, more radar and miniaturization of the electronic components needed to be done first... also more satellites, AWAC and other support equipments and machineries needed to be done first... which again go back to the first two phases.
