4. Well, they do know that PGM usage does exist in the PLA, but similar to Blitzo, they only assert what can be demonstrably shown. I myself only assert otherwise because of what I've seen in my career on the less-than-public side of things, discussion and disclosing of which is a very fine line for me to tread as a result lol. It's a bit similar to how - despite there being very very limited coverage and public writing thereof - the PLA conducted ~300 ballistic missile launches in 2021 alone as part of exercises/training (far more than most would have expected), and this was only revealed in a State Dept press conference. There are just some capabilities that you don't or won't see if you're only working with unclass intelligence product.
I posted this video a little while back, and the sheer randomness in terms of where it came from, and the content that it depicts, does lend some meaningful credence to the idea that the PLA are likely still hiding significant bits of capability that they don't want widely circulated.
Ignoring the drum and bass background music, the video clearly depicts a weapons range with many weapons that appear to be air launched in size/trajectory, hitting targets with relative precision, in a way that only PGMs can.
And when checking by frames, at least some of the weapons (if not most of the weapons) appear to have a different profile to the 500kg LT-2 pattern PGM that we all know to be in widespread PLA use as its only "outwardly confirmed in service PGM".
And this is only one of a handful of shortform videos depicting "unidentified PLA PGMs," just the most recent.
Then, when we consider that we know the J-16 is equipped with a targeting pod (with a FLIR hardpoint associated with it), yet we've never seen it carrying an actual A2G weapon that would require a targeting pod to begin with... well, there are a few bits missing from the picture as a whole, but unless one has actual proper intelligence acquired by espionage, at this stage it's difficult to quantify how big those missing bits are.
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