LONDON — With publication of Britain’s strategic defense and security review (SDSR) little more than two months away, potential contenders for a likely requirement to plug a gap in maritime patrol were making their case at last week’s DSEI show for why the government should look beyond the Royal Air Force’s apparent preferred choice of buying the Boeing P-8 aircraft without having a competition.
Five years ago, the axing of BAE’s Nimrod MRA4 program before it was completed turned out to be the Conservative government's most controversial decision of a 2010 SDSR fashioned by financial problems rather than strategy.
Now, embarrassed by having to call in allied aircraft to hunt suspected Russian nuclear submarines lurking in the waters near a Scottish ballistic missile submarine base and for other incidents, the government has committed to a decision in the 2015 review whether to plug that capability gap with a new platform.
Given the recent support for refreshing Britain’s ISTAR capabilities from Prime Minister David Cameron and other senior political and military figures, few doubt the government will opt for re-establishing a maritime patrol force, but few know how it will be done, when and at what cost.
DSEI was alive with companies seeking to influence government deliberations over whether to open a competition rather than go for the quick, off-the-shelf answer and purchase a P-8 jet already ordered by the US Navy, India and Australia.
The RAF’s preferred option is the P-8, according to Royal United Services Institute think tankers John Louth and Peter Roberts in a report on the maritime patrol capability published Sept. 11.
“One or two noises coming from senior RAF officers suggest that the P-8 is in pole position,” said the analysts.
One executive said, “the big fear among most of Boeing's rivals is that whatever the question is the customer's answer is the P-8.”
The aircraft doesn’t come cheap, though, and despite the MoD securing a better than expected budget settlement up to 2020, it’s not clear whether the British military could afford to purchase the nine or more aircraft needed to support its nuclear submarine fleet and other uses. ...