You need infrastructure construction for both vertical farming and for water transport for desalinated water, but because your construction for water transport has to be spread across a massive area of land and needs to be large enough to facilitate massive volumes of water to meaningfully reach all the farms that you’re trying to help construction for it is both more times and resource consuming, and far less efficient, than for vertical farms. Vertical farming is about *changing* the cost equation to be less dependent on land and open environment factors, *not* about slapping more costs onto the current method of farming. There are indeed some extra costs for vertical farming relative to current conventional agriculture, but there are also some significant cost savings from vertical farming that conventional farming can’t leverage.Let's start with the sunk costs of building a skyscraper for the purpose of growing a low-value crop. You're going to have to grow a lot of that crop to pay back those costs, and more crop requires more levels which raises the capital cost. That alone kills it, but to add insult to injury we can add the electricity costs for providing the light for photosynthesis - light your competitors get for free from the sun. Water you'll either use a lot of and pay high running costs or you'll use efficiently and increase the capital cost to put in the efficient infrastructure.
As a "meatarian" myself, once the Impossible patty becomes more widely available in my neck of the woods, I won't pick up a packet of 80/20 again.
And this isn't directed at you specifically (you tried the stuff and didn't like it, fair enough), but the mentality I see here is rejection of the idea of plant-based meat out of principle. It's like it's an act of self-affirmation to eat animal meat. In a Westerner, I would say this is just the usual petty entitlement they have about everything, but in this case I believe it's a manifestation of the nouveau riche mentality a lot of Chinese people are afflicted with, "No! I made it and I'm going to eat dead animals, goddamit!!"
I'm giving you the cheat codes that will get China to 100% food security while boosting every single Chinese citizen to middle-class status, and the feedback I'm getting from you is "mUh DeAd PiGs!" America has a fifth of China's population and more arable land, they can afford to rape their environment raising livestock to their hearts' content - China doesn't have that luxury.
Vertical farming is far more pliant to automation, efficient use of energy and other resources, and labor and transport saving methods, in part because farming across a wide physical land area has large cost effects on productivity and efficiency along those factor. Being land area dependent introduces very significant diseconomies of scale that hold back how cost efficiently you can scale up output by land. Heck, if we’re just talking about ensuring enough water for growing food, the much smaller surface area of closed environment growing spaces by itself will do wonders for water efficiency via reduction of evaporation loss. Then you add direct climate and water circulation controls, and the water efficiency gains very quickly adds up.
That said, I don’t think desalination technology by itself will stay unviable. Desalination that depends on thermodynamic cycles will never be as energy or cost efficient relative to passive water sequestration techniques, but there are newer membrane and filter based desalination technologies being studied that don’t require injecting massive amounts of heat, and that’s probably going to break open desalination as a viable water source.
However insofar as desalination can be made workable, trying to transport desalinated water over a wide area of land, especially since all the desalinated water production will have to be on one side of the country and most of the land that will need water assistance is on the other, is probably the *least* efficient way of using that desalinated water to assist agriculture output. It would be far more efficient use that desalinated water on vertical farms located very close to the desalination plants. These technologies are not actually rivals but complements.
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