Miscellaneous News

FriedButter said:

Just imagine an emergency evacuation from this plane.

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I would not even be surprised if they purposely designed the seats to collapse and crush the lower class passengers as additional shock absorbers to help improve the survival chances of the upper class passengers sitting above, who would then also have a much lower drop from their seats to the floor, because just think of their poor ankles!

BoraTas said:

Likely a worse brain drain than PR China ever experienced.

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No.

About 30-35 % top US AI researchers are from China. The number from India is more like 7-8 %. The gap of brain drain is even bigger in Physics, Chemistry, Biology and ECE/Semiconductor. Just look at US Physics, Chemistry, Life Science and ECE faculty, PhD students and Postdoc list. Then look at the engineering teams of top US semiconductor companies, and the people who are putting out the patents.

plawolf said:

I would not even be surprised if they purposely designed the seats to collapse and crush the lower class passengers as additional shock absorbers to help improve the survival chances of the upper class passengers sitting above, who would then also have a much lower drop from their seats to the floor, because just think of their poor ankles!

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Yet another attempt to thin out the herd I guess. Typical western elite, always looking out for themselves while throwing everyone under the bus. One must wonder when all the lower class is gone, who else will they throw under the bus next.

Wuhun said:

No.

About 30-35 % top US AI researchers are from China. The number from India is more like 7-8 %. The gap of brain drain is even bigger in Physics, Chemistry, Biology and ECE/Semiconductor. Just look at US Physics, Chemistry, Life Science and ECE faculty, PhD students and Postdoc list. Then look at the engineering teams of top US semiconductor companies, and the people who are putting out the patents.

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It is important to compare the cohort size and who is going where. The brightest of China have tended to return to China for a very long time and for Chinese, emigration to the US was usually done before university graduation. At no point China had 60% of its best university students emigrating to the US after graduating. The larger number of ethnic Chinese in the USA can be easily explained by more people studying STEM.

Giga based if true. Should also host a few nuclear-tipped ICMBs there to promote regional peace and stability.

It's worse than Bladerunner.

When talking about inflation and your country appears in the same sentence with Argentina and Turkiye, you got problems.

UK faces highest inflation in developed world – OECD​

Consumer price growth in Britain will outpace any G20 member except Argentina and Türkiye, a report says

The UK will have one of the highest inflation rates of any major developed economy this year, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) reported on Wednesday.

According to the forecast, British inflation, which only recently fell to single digits for the first time since last summer, will be higher in 2023 than nearly any G20 member except Argentina and Türkiye.

Although headline inflation in the UK declined to 8.7% in April from 10.1% in March amid cooling energy prices, food inflation has been stubbornly high. Grocery price growth reached 19.1% in April, which is the highest rate in more than 45 years, according to the Office for National Statistics.

The OECD predicted that even as Britain is expected to narrowly avoid a recession in 2023, higher interest rates are likely to dent economic growth and incomes in the coming months.

"The high interest burden on public debt and the recent drop in average debt maturity leave the public finances exposed to movements in bond yields," the OECD said in its Economic Outlook.

The Paris-based organization expects the UK’s economy to grow by 0.3% this year and by 1% in 2024. It noted, however, that the forecast includes "significant risks."

Renewed increases in wholesale energy prices will “further squeeze real incomes given the United Kingdom's high dependence on natural gas. Faster-than-expected resolution of uncertainty regarding future trade relationships is an upside risk,” the forecast warned.

Responding to the OECD data, UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt admitted that inflation was still “too high,” adding that “we must stick relentlessly to our plan to halve it this year. That is the only long-term way to grow the economy and ease the cost-of-living pressures on families.”

The inflation rate in Britain should average 6.9% by the end of the year, the report concluded.

What can I say but genius!

BoraTas said:

The brightest of China have tended to return to China for a very long time

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Not all but some.

BoraTas said:

for Chinese, emigration to the US was usually done before university graduation.

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I wasn't talking about undergrad trashes but STEM PhD students who emigrates to the US, and after completing their PhD vast majority becomes faculties in US universities, becomes scientists at US national labs, or joins the US deep tech companies.

You can look at the faculty list of Top US Physics, Chemistry, Life Science, ECE and CS departments, and how many of them were born in China. You can look at the people working in Google Deepmind, Meta FAIR, Microsoft Research, and how many of them were born in China. You can also look at Apple, Qualcomm, Nvidia, AMD, Intel, AMAT, LAM, KLA, Synopsis/Cadence, Scientific instrumentation companies patent authors list and how many of them were born in China.

BoraTas said:

The larger number of ethnic Chinese in the USA can be easily explained by more people studying STEM.

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I was talking about Chinese people born in China, did their STEM undergrad in China, and then emigrated to the US.

GodRektsNoobs said:

US is already overstretched, losing its edge and running low on resources to sustain its hegemony, and yet it continues to expand militarily on two fronts (Europe, Asia) while trying to hold onto Middle East. If US keeps this up, it is inevitable that US will eventually exhaust all resources, runs itself into the ground and implodes. It is impossible for US elites and their vassals to not see this. It is conceivable that US is gearing up for an all-out pre-emptive attack against China a la Pearl Habour when oppertune time arrives. I propose a hypothetic scenario:

Circa 2030. China's economy has matched or slightly surpassed US economy, and China has achieved approximate technological parity with the entire Western world. Meanwhile US debt has hit 300% of GDP as US dollar's usage in global FX transactions have dropped to around 60%. Civil unrest across US has reached an all-time high and prominent researchers are being dismissed and imprisoned for "propagating Chinese Physik" instead of "American Science." Russia-Ukraine war has stalemated into low-level exchanges around the Dniper River for the last 5 years. US military budget has surged passed $1 trillion for the 3rd year in a row and have just managed to finish deployment of long-range cruise missiles across China's coastline. Unofficial US "advisors" in Taiwan has reached brigade strength and it is estimated that there is sufficient weapons stockpiled on the island to last 3 months of all out war. The 2nd and 3rd island chain has been fortified by US military, which has ballooned to 3 million troops. Suddenly, China expriences a national crisis akin to 2020 COVID outbreak, resulting in mass lockdowns, economic shutdown, and temporary demobilization of workforce. US leadership decides that the oppertunity has arrived for Taiwan to declare independence, followed by a massed pre-emptive strike against Chinese mainland regardless of China's reaction.

I am not saying that this is written in stone. As long as China continues to make no major strategic mistakes while beefing up its military deterrance and economy there is still hope that US decline can be managed. But judging from the way that US is speeding up its own decline through further overexertion I see war looming over the horizon.

Yes, Chinese tech companies have learned from US work culture, but not all companies. 军事化管理 is still prevalent amongst Chinese companies.

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It's not impossible that America would feel pressured to begin a military operation on China, especially when China may get an equal or larger sized military.

But the communist leadership is very wily. They might not be a "strong" government like the Americans which can impose whatever domestic dictats and opinion changes freely, but when it comes to playing international relations, that's their strength.

China will more than likely call in favors and play cards that makes a special operation on Taiwan impossible. Events such as the Ukraine war will spring up whenever US thinks they're ready to launch, forcing them to respond. If not for the war last year, it's likely that America intended to send Pelosi to begin the negotiation with local anti government forces in order to spring a total invasion. However, because of the Ukraine war, US had to focus all it's energy there instead, and the meeting had nothing important in it.

China has plays ongoing in South America, in Central America, in Mexico, in Iran and in the Middle East. Any one of these could rapidly heat up into a situation where US must respond and grind it's time, money and possibly lives away, while China merely needs to provide back line support to the anti-US faction.

That is probably the major reason why China does not engage in military buildup and keeps the budget low. Its plans only call for a minimum to guard the home territories and technologies that can be used for proxy wars.

In essence it is like the surrounding from the countryside strategy. US would prefer to launch an assault on the metropolis where they can fight the China's garrison 1 on 1. But China will disperse forces into the countryside and whittle down the Americans together with local guerrillas from all across the world, until the US military can no longer sustain offensive operations.