Really, it is going to be another small Chinatown bank that got held accountable like we did in 2008 when everyone else got off the hook with golden parachute.
Isn't this a bit one sided now? What's Saudi Arabia getting? They're giving up on Syrian regime change, giving up in the war in Yemen and accepting Iran getting money and trade. What's in it for them?
Contagion risk only for those bank that mismanaged their asset-liabilities like those 2. Major banks hedged against interest risk and invest across all asset classes instead of going all in Tbills.Yep, confirmed on that Signature Bank collapse, another one. Contagion risk likely.
You might have seen all the people who want to paper this crisis over saying "oh SVB is just an one off. They're not some yolo bank and have been following the rules very well, just got unlucky due to fed interest rate hike".
Consider this: then the actual yolo banks, are they not also affected by interest rate hikes? How many unexploded ordinance is out there in the banking sector?
Yep, confirmed on that Signature Bank collapse, another one. Contagion risk likely.
You might have seen all the people who want to paper this crisis over saying "oh SVB is just an one off. They're not some yolo bank and have been following the rules very well, just got unlucky due to fed interest rate hike".
Consider this: then the actual yolo banks, are they not also affected by interest rate hikes? How many unexploded ordinance is out there in the banking sector?
I will give this report today's "Putin soiled himself" investigative journalism award.Good post. Is it really plausible the small boat Andromeda was used to blow up NS2?
No surprise here, considering that unlike Russia, China's manufacturing prowess is as great as the US and EU combined.US lacks the explosive firepower to truly deter China
China has surged past US explosive and propellant production capacity; US stockpiles would run dry within a week of a Taiwan war
I will give this report today's "Putin soiled himself" investigative journalism award.
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The SVB(US$175 billion) and Signature(US$88 billion) situation won't be the only cases.Contagion risk only for those bank that mismanaged their asset-liabilities like those 2. Major banks hedged against interest risk and invest across all asset classes instead of going all in Tbills.
The main root case of SVB is due to 2019-2021 huge swell in deposits because those are the record years for startups' funding raising and they happened to make up the most of SVB's clients. Secondary cause is the funding raising drought in 2022, leading many of these cash burning startups to start using their cash reserve(instead of fund raising), thus forcing SVB who over invested in 1.9% yield TBills to offload them at loss.
US banks sitting on unrealized losses of $620 billion
Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse last week sent tingles of panic down investors’ spines as it highlighted a larger problem across the banking sector: The widening gap between the value large lenders place on the bonds they hold and what they’re actually worth on the market.
SVB's downfall was tied, in part, to the plunge in the value of bonds it acquired during boom times, when it had a lot of customer deposits coming in and needed somewhere to park the cash.
But SVB isn't the only institution with that issue. US banks were sitting on $620 billion in unrealized losses (assets that have decreased in price but haven't been sold yet) at the end of 2022, according to the FDIC.
Lol they’re no fan of Putin either.If Washington Post reported this instead of NY Post I would’ve thought that it’s a case of projection. NY Post is no fan of Biden though.