Miscellaneous News

SimaQian

Junior Member
Registered Member
Whether or not that was its intended function, crypto has become America's Frankenstein's Monster and grown out of their control given enemy nations using crypto to skirt US sanctions and why the NSA has been at war against encryption since well before the Snowden Revelations. The digital Yuan for instance does nothing to serve US interests especially since the public will disdain any US Fedcoin or US CDBC.

Also, you know it's bad when Biden has to address this entire SVB thing first thing in the morning before markets open, cuz the Elites know there's gonna be massive dumping of stocks and massive runs on banks in the opening hours of the market:
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Its probably nothing. US just announced in Sunday that all deposits will be backed. AND US futures are green. if fhey can spend 150B$ on Ukraine, surely 200B$ will not hurt for the banks. It is just a number in a computer. They socialize again their losses by bailing banks out. The US financial system is just too powerful, they can print money to inifinity. Let us just be realistic and just make money. Many US bank stocks are distressed last week. Time to buy on Monday morning.
 

pmc

Major
Registered Member
Interesting, wondering whether there is an option to get some SU-35 from China indirectly as I don't see China needs SU-35 anymore

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I dont think when Su-35 exported to China has R-37M integrated and there could be other modifications and upgrades to current standards. They are going to unify electronics of SU-35 and Su-57.
The version of R-37M in MIG-31 is really high speed. in recent reports it was mentioned it is hypersonic through out flight envelope hitting even drones and in ukraine with 100% success rate against every target it is fired. unless Ukraine produce R-37M on ground intact. we can presume Russian claims are accurate.

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The Russian missile was tested last summer by the MiG-31, when it was fired at a training target simulating an enemy aircraft flying at a speed of 5,000 kilometers per hour. The missile was able to destroy the target from a distance of 30 kilometers within 5 seconds.
Source: Russian weapon
 

horse

Colonel
Registered Member
I am not well versed in economic dynamics, why is a bull/appreciation expected ?

1. This is a credit crisis, that really is a credit crisis that is confined to one bank in one region.

(To digress a little bit, the term debt crisis and credit crisis are interchangeable. That is way they calling the Chinese real estate market a debt crisis shows their lack of understanding and bad intentions.)

2. How to solve a credit crisis? With more credit, which the Fed has done, by recapitalizing whatever and whoever. That's it, the problem to this bank more or less over.

(To digress a bit more, these ideas that the Chinese real estate market is a bubble that will lead to a credit crisis, when the Chinese banking system and Chinese saver is overflowing with money, aka credit, which once lent out, that turns into debt, but there is too much savings cannot lend out all of it, and still people who tell you there is a problem with Chinese real estate bubble. Go sell your bridge somewhere else.)

3. This is not crap you learn in the textbook. They do not teach this stuff there.

However, it is very important to learn the textbook well. Then as we go along, we pick up economic history lessons and tidbits, and then we really know how to apply the crap we learned in the textbook, and damn it! It works!


Time to buy is very soon, or maybe even now.

The Fed is stuck between a rock and a hard place.

The increases in rates over the past year or more, has cause distress at various financial institutions. Keep the rates high, and who knows what other bank runs we will see.

Therefore, they will lower rates. But that could fan inflation.

Since Biden is going to speak, he will probably say something about what they intend to do about inflation. They could cut some government spending, or sell more of their oil from their strategic reserves.

Interesting times ahead.

What the 99% or 90% think about all of this, does not matter.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Its probably nothing. US just announced in Sunday that all deposits will be backed. AND US futures are green. if fhey can spend 150B$ on Ukraine, surely 200B$ will not hurt for the banks. It is just a number in a computer. They socialize again their losses by bailing banks out. The US financial system is just too powerful, they can print money to inifinity. Let us just be realistic and just make money. Many US bank stocks are distressed last week. Time to buy on Monday morning.
not nothing. higher inflation, higher interest rates. shortages of everything while people live in cars.
 

9dashline

Captain
Registered Member
Its probably nothing. US just announced in Sunday that all deposits will be backed. AND US futures are green. if fhey can spend 150B$ on Ukraine, surely 200B$ will not hurt for the banks. It is just a number in a computer. They socialize again their losses by bailing banks out. The US financial system is just too powerful, they can print money to inifinity. Let us just be realistic and just make money. Many US bank stocks are distressed last week. Time to buy on Monday morning.
Infinity huh?

 

BoraTas

Captain
Registered Member
FTX was a mole for the US Establishment to get intel on Crypto industry's Big Players (given connection from SBF and the Clintons and other political elites); it was just as well US Elite corruption and Caroline Ellison's gambling destroyed FTX before they could steal market share from other exchanges. Still, the damage is done.
Besides, FTX tried to destroy Binance; i'd say CZ has every right to take that personally.

In the meantime, we're all getting a redux of 2008 GFC: Electric Boogaloo
I think the reason is the government can not bail them out. Because Republicans have been blocking the government from getting more loans by blocking the raising of the debt ceiling. So FED will bail them out instead. Which means FED reserves have to be used or more money printing.
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
Just wonder how that works technically. The funds are in USD which means any transactions to that account is noticed by US government. I don't think the bank would ignore US sanction because US can block the USD transaction in and out of that bank if not specifically that account.

Unless, the US government only knows the total holding of USD of the bank without knowing individual accounts and their transactions. If so, I am seeing this WSJ report as preparing for an US sanction on the Chinese bank as "I don't know if you are sending USD to Iran and I don't care because you may." This would be the same thing US has been doing regarding "China sending lethal weapon to Russia". Truth doesn't matter.

I think you vastly overestimate the power and competence of the US government, just look at the hundreds of billions of ‘frozen’ Russian funds in Europe no one can suddenly find as soon as the politicians started to talk about plundering it.

The US government needs massive logistical support from the banks themselves to enact sanctions. The banks cooperate under existential threat from the US government.

US government financial agencies are overwhelmingly staffed by lawyers and auditors, because the lion share of their work involves fighting court battles and checking compliance. They don’t have anything close to the manpower or do it’s limited manpower have the right training and work experience to do the heavy lifting without total cooperation from the banks themselves to work anything out.

With the trillions of daily dollar transactions that happen worldwide from just normal economic activity, there is an effectively zero chance that the likes of the US Fed would be able to tell which, or even if any of those transactions were for Iran or anyone else without the banks processing the transactions itself telling them.

To be honest, this whole allowing Iran to access frozen funds line seems like an obvious trap from China, who always chaffed at the power the US government had over world finance. I would bet good money that the frozen funds were frozen under US unilaterally imposed domestic sanctions that have no UN mandate. So basically China is daring the US to impose more unilateral domestic sanctions against a Chinese bank (probably a small one with limited international exposure) for helping to create the conditions for a historic peace deal between bitter rivals.

If the US does sanction the Chinese bank, its going to be rather toothless and symbolic only, and the symbolism will look horrific for the US as a real mask-off coming out party to the whole Arab world. If the US doesn’t sanction the Chinese banks, it undermines their whole sanctions power.

This is a great example of what happens when China starts to actively troll you instead of bending backwards to create win-win accommodations.
 
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