I am not well versed in economic dynamics, why is a bull/appreciation expected ?
1. This is a credit crisis, that really is a credit crisis that is confined to one bank in one region.
(To digress a little bit, the term debt crisis and credit crisis are interchangeable. That is way they calling the Chinese real estate market a debt crisis shows their lack of understanding and bad intentions.)
2. How to solve a credit crisis? With more credit, which the Fed has done, by recapitalizing whatever and whoever. That's it, the problem to this bank more or less over.
(To digress a bit more, these ideas that the Chinese real estate market is a bubble that will lead to a credit crisis, when the Chinese banking system and Chinese saver is overflowing with money, aka credit, which once lent out, that turns into debt, but there is too much savings cannot lend out all of it, and still people who tell you there is a problem with Chinese real estate bubble. Go sell your bridge somewhere else.)
3. This is not crap you learn in the textbook. They do not teach this stuff there.
However, it is very important to learn the textbook well. Then as we go along, we pick up economic history lessons and tidbits, and then we really know how to apply the crap we learned in the textbook, and damn it! It works!
Time to buy is very soon, or maybe even now.
The Fed is stuck between a rock and a hard place.
The increases in rates over the past year or more, has cause distress at various financial institutions. Keep the rates high, and who knows what other bank runs we will see.
Therefore, they will lower rates. But that could fan inflation.
Since Biden is going to speak, he will probably say something about what they intend to do about inflation. They could cut some government spending, or sell more of their oil from their strategic reserves.
Interesting times ahead.
What the 99% or 90% think about all of this, does not matter.